DraftKings & FanDuel NASCAR DFS – Autotrader EchoPark 500 – October 17, 2021
Ryan Blaney – DK: $9,500 | FD: $11,000 – Starting 4th
There isn’t really an absolutely dominant driver here at Texas over the last three years, with Kevin Harvick having the best average finish at 5.50. However, we have learned our lesson on Harvick so far this year as his top five finishes have been few and far between. Add the fact that Harvick is also this slate’s most expensive driver, I think he is an easier pass than roster this week. So outside of Harvick and Kyle Busch, who is the next best-graded driver at Texas? Well, that would be Ryan Blaney. If we remove a 37th place finish in 2019 that was due to overheating, Blaney would have six straight top-ten finishes and he currently has three straight finishes of eighth or better. Back in July of 2020, Blaney finished 7th, but he also led 150 laps. Over his last eight appearances here, Blaney has led at least 20 laps in five of them and 40 or more laps in four. While it has been a quiet season for Blaney, he still has 20 top-10 finishes in 34 races. We get a pretty big discount on Blaney here at a track he has proven as one of his best.
Daniel Suarez – DK: $6,900 | FD: $6,500 – Starting 19th
I am not going to lie, this is a pretty brutal week to find a strong value option as there isn’t really a cheap driver who has seen much success at Texas. As we already know, most drivers under $6,000 are already unplayable just due to the equipment they are running. Michael McDowell is the only real option under $6,000, but his 16th place starting spot offers us very little upside and a negative differential is the most likely outcome there. Daniel Suarez is starting 19th which is a little too far forward for me, but he also feels like the cheapest option that still gives us some upside. Both of Suarez’s races in 2020 were bad at Texas, but not much went well for Suarez as a member of Gaunt Brothers Racing. In 2019, as a member of Stewart-Haas, Suarez finished third in each of his two races at Texas. This year with Trackhouse Racing, Suarez has had much better equipment and much stronger results, with an average finish of 19th on the year. Over Suarez’s last seven races he does not have a finish worse than 22nd.
$ Tier D High Kevin Harvick (10.9k / 56.94) (10k / 56.94) Kyle Larson (10.5k / 54.45) (14.5k / 54.45) Kyle Busch (9.8k / 54.95) (13k / 54.95) Ryan Blaney (9.5k / 47.96) (11k / 47.96) Alex Bowman (9.3k / 44.46) (9.2k / 44.46) Medium Kurt Busch (8.7k / 49.46) (8.7k / 49.46) Aric Almirola (8.1k / 44.47) (8k / 44.47) Chase Briscoe (7.9k / 42.47) (6.7k / 42.47) Ricky Stenhouse (7.2k / 36.97) (5.7k / 36.97) Low Daniel Suarez (6.9k / 28.48) (6.5k / 28.48) Cole Custer (6.2k / 25.48) (6.2k / 25.48) Michael McDowell (5.8k / 18.48) (5k / 18.48)