Week 5 NFL – The Cruncher List for Week 5: Game-By-Game Analysis for DraftKings and FanDuel

The Cruncher List | Week 5 DraftKings and FanDuel NFL DFS Lineup Advice, Tips & Picks.

Here to help you build the best possible FanDuel & DraftKings NFL Week 5 Line-up.

Detroit @ Minnesota (-9), Projected Total: 49 points

Lions vs. QB: 14th Vikings vs. QB: 16th
Lions vs. RB: 32nd Vikings vs. RB: 22nd
Lions vs. WR: 13th Vikings vs. WR: 22nd
Lions vs. TE: 17th Vikings vs. TE: 13th

Detroit – Projected total: 20 points

QB Jared Goff DK: $5,300 FD: $7,100
RB D’Andre Swift DK: $6,100 FD: $6,900
RB Jamaal Williams DK: $5,200 FD: $6,000
WR Quintez Cephus DK: $4,300 FD: $5,100
WR Kalif Raymond DK: $4,800 FD: $5,300
TE TJ Hockenson DK: $5,500 FD: $6,400

With a low projected total this week, and options that while they don’t break the bank from a salary standpoint, none are particularly cheap – I don’t think that you have to spend too long here.  If you like a Minnesota stack and wanted to use a Lion on the way back, Swift would probably be the best option for his usage in the passing game for Detroit – but for me, the Lions options are a pretty easy pass this week.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • None

Minnesota – Projected total: 29 points

QB Kirk Cousins DK: $6,500 FD: $7,500
RB Dalvin Cook DK: $8,400 FD: $9,000
WR Justin Jefferson DK: $7,700 FD: $8,000
WR Adam Thielen DK: $6,600 FD: $7,500
TE Tyler Conklin DK: $3,500 FD: $5,100

The Vikings come into this one with one of the highest projected totals on the board for Week 5 – not shocking as they go up against the Lions at home.  Keep an eye on the status of RB Dalvin Cook, who sat out practice all week.  The spot is a great one for Cook if he plays – the Lions have given up the most fantasy points to the RB position in the league this season through four weeks and if he does sit, Mattison would be an elite option worthy of a spot on The Cruncher List this week after putting up 26.1 DKP in his last start when Cook was out.

As for the passing game, while the Lions are in the middle of the pack here at defending opposing passing games, part of that is due to the fact that they have been getting blown out in a couple of their games so far this season before storming back late.  To me, Cousins – who has been outstanding to start the season for Minnesota and Jefferson are also elite plays this week.  I’m curious to see where they ultimately will check in for how many decide to roster them, but I like the upside here with both of them, individually, or stacked in line-ups.  Thielen just misses the cut for The Cruncher List, but should be in fewer line-ups than Jefferson and comes into this one seeing 34 targets through the first four weeks.

The Cruncher List

  • QB Kirk Cousins
  • RB Dalvin Cook (if active)
  • RB Alexander Mattison (if Cook is not active)
  • WR Justin Jefferson

Good Plays

  • WR Adam Thielen

New Orleans (-2) @ Washington, Projected total: 44 points

Saints vs. QB: 6th Football Team vs. QB: 32nd
Saints vs. RB: 8th Football Team vs. RB: 23rd
Saints vs. WR: 20th Football Team vs. WR: 24th
Saints vs. TE: 7th Football Team vs. TE: 15th

New Orleans – Projected Total: 23 points

QB Jameis Winston DK: $5,600 FD: $7,000
RB Alvin Kamara DK: $8,600 FD: $8,600
WR Marquez Callaway DK: $4,700 FD: $5,400
WR Deonte Harris DK: $4,100 FD: $4,900

RB Alvin Kamara is an elite play this week, though I would like to see him more involved in the passing game.  Last week he shockingly was not targeted once after seeing 14 targets over the first four weeks of the season.  I assume that was just a blip on the radar, but given the struggles they have had at the wide receiver position, I’m shocked that he isn’t getting 6-7 targets a game.  The Saints have a healthy total projection here and it’s hard to imagine them getting near it without another strong showing from Kamara, who has been rock solid in 3 of 4 starts so far this season – but has yet to pop for a monster game.  It’s only a matter of time….

The passing game here remains an extremely easy fade until further notice.

The Cruncher List

  • RB Alvin Kamara

Good Plays

  • None

Washington – Projected Total: 21 points

QB Taylor Heinicke DK: $5,900 FD: $7,300
RB Antonio Gibson DK: $6,400 FD: $6,600
WR Terry McLaurin DK: $7,400 FD: $7,400
WR Curtis Samuel DK: $3,000 FD: $5,200
TE Ricky Seals-Jones DK: $2,500 FD: $4,900

With Logan Thomas out, one of their more reliable options in the passing game will no longer be at the disposal of Taylor Heinicke, and going up against one of the best defensive units in the game, I don’t have too much interest here in getting significant exposure to any of their options this week.  WR Terry McLaurin is an interesting contrarian play this week.  It’s a tough pill to swallow to pay up to $7,400 for him with Lattimore set to shadow him around the field all day on Sunday.  Keep an eye on the status of WR Curtis Samuel leading up to gametime.  He saw 25 snaps last week, and while his 4-19 line was far from ideal, from a roster construction standpoint on DraftKings this week, using a spot on a $3k spend opens up a lot.  Finally, RB Antonio Gibson is priced reasonably and is talented enough to make some big plays – but I do prefer some other options on the board which is enough for me to keep him off of The Cruncher List this week.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • RB Antonio Gibson (FD)
  • WR Curtis Samuel (DK – if active)

New England (-9) @ Houston, Projected Total: 39.5

Pats vs. QB: 4th Texans vs. QB: 27th
Pats vs. RB: 16th Texans vs. RB: 25th
Pats vs. WR: 4th Texans vs. WR: 9th
Pats vs. TE: 2nd Texans vs. TE: 31st

New England, Projected Total: 24.25 points

QB Mac Jones DK: $5,300 FD: $6,700
RB Damien Harris DK: $5,500 FD: $6,500
WR Jakobi Meyers DK: $5,600 FD: $5,900
WR Nelson Agholor DK: $4,400 FD: $5,500
TE Hunter Henry DK: $3,700 FD: $5,400
TE Jonnu Smith DK: $3,300 FD: $4,900

The Pats are big favorites in this one as they go up against the Texans down in Houston this week.  Coming into this one off of two straight losses, I am curious to see what workload the Patriots give to RB Damien Harris this week.  Harris has only seen 10 carries over the past two games, and while those games were against two of the elite run defending teams in the league (TB & NO), it’s concerning to see and makes the range of outcomes here pretty wide in terms of his usage.  With that said, I do think he will see heavy work in this one – and from a fantasy standpoint, it was encouraging to see him run a career high 17 routes last week in the passing game, something that he was not involved in whatsoever last season.  I think he’s an elite option this week on both sites in a great match-up, and I think he has the potential to fly under the radar in terms of his popularity in contests.

As for the passing game, WR Jakobi Meyers is a high floor option at a reasonable price.  He has seen 41 targets so far on the season, ranking him 7th in the league – and while his air yards are nothing special, I would expect him to get some significant work again this week through the air as rookie QB Mac Jones continues to lean heavily on him.  The fact that Meyers has yet to have a TD in the NFL seems to be gaining steam on twitter feeds at an alarming pace, and I wouldn’t be shocked if he nips that in the bud in this match-up this week.  He’s on The Cruncher List.  Agholor would be the lower owned pivot off of him.  Despite seeing 18 fewer targets, he has almost 100 more air yards than Meyers and is being used down the field by Mac.

The Cruncher List

  • RB Damien Harris
  • WR Jakobi Meyers

Good Plays

  • QB Mac Jones
  • WR Nelson Agholor

Houston – Projected Total: 15.25 points

QB Davis Mills DK: $4,800 FD: $6,300
WR Brandin Cooks DK: $6,100 FD: $6,300
WR Anthony Miller DK: $3,400 FD: $4,900

WR Brandin Cooks had his first quiet game last week, posting a 5-47 line in a 40-0 loss to Buffalo.  The match-up was a tough one for him and Houston really couldn’t get much of anything going when they had the football in Week 4.  This week, another very tough match-up and while I wouldn’t blame anyone that wanted to roster Cooks, I do prefer other options on the board and would probably only consider him if I was stacking Mac Jones with two other Patriots.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • WR Brandin Cooks

Miami @ Tampa Bay (-10), Projected Total: 48

Dolphins vs. QB: 13th Bucs vs. QB: 28th
Dolphins vs. RB: 29th Bucs vs. RB: 7th
Dolphins vs. WR: 12th Bucs vs. WR: 31st
Dolphins vs. TE: 24th Bucs vs. TE: 27th

Miami – Projected Total: 19 points

QB Jacoby Brissett DK: $5,200 FD: $6,300
WR DeVante Parker DK: $5,400 FD: $5,700
WR Jaylen Waddle DK: $4,800 FD: $5,400
TE Mike Gesicki DK: $4,200 FD: $5,600

The Dolphins are likely to be boatraced in this one.  WR Will Fuller is out and WR DeVante Parker is going to be a game time decision, so if he does end up sitting this one out, the passing game would be focused around Waddle, Gesicki and Albert Wilson…which could open up potential for Waddle and Gesicki as options for some significant garbage time work.  They would both be worth considering in some line-ups that you have with Fournette, a Bucs passing stack, or a general Bucs stack….an approach that I think will be popular this week.  For me, Waddle is on The Cruncher List this week while Gesicki is a little too expensive for my liking.

The Cruncher List

  • WR Jaylen Waddle

Good Plays

  • TE Mike Gesicki

Tampa Bay – Projected Total: 29 points

QB Tom Brady DK: $7,400 FD: $8,400
RB Leonard Fournette DK: $5,200 FD: $6,400
WR Chris Godwin DK: $6,300 FD: $7,600
WR Mike Evans DK: $6,800 FD: $7,000
WR Antonio Brown DK: $5,200 FD: $6,500
TE Cameron Brate DK: $3,300 FD: $5,000

The Dolphins don’t rank 32nd against the RB position, but they aren’t far off – and until I see some semblance of an ability to defend the run, I’ll continue to tout whoever is going up against them, and Fournette fits the bill this week as an elite option for a reasonable price at the RB position.  He looked strong against a much better Patriots front in Week 4’s win, picking up 91 yards on 20 carries and chipping in with a 3-47 line in the passing game.  Dollar for dollar this week, he is one of my favorite options on the board.

As for the passing game, with CB Xavien Howard and Byron Jones both on the injured list this week – even if the do suit up, both will likely be less than 100%, and this is a great spot for Brady and company.  So far through four weeks, Mike Evans has out-targeted Godwin 37-31, and has seen significantly more air yards (471 vs. 278).  Antonio Brown has only seen 21 looks though he did miss a game due to Covid, and wasn’t too heavily involved in his return after that, so I wouldn’t be surprised if he got a few more looks this week.  If I had to rank them for this week, it would depend on the site since Evans is more expensive by a fair bit on DK, while Godwin is on FD.  Given all of this love for the Bucs passing options, it shouldn’t be surprising that I have Brady on The Cruncher List this week.  He was off by his standards last week up in Foxboro, but I expect him to be sharper this week against a vulnerable Miami defence.  Brady leads the league in air yards at the QB position by a wide margin and continues to drive the ball down the field, something I expect him to be able to do this week.  My only concern is some blow-out risk.

With Rob Gronkowski out this week with his rib injury, Brate is on the radar for a punt with upside at the TE position.

The Cruncher List

  • QB Tom Brady
  • RB Leonard Fournette
  • WR Chris Godwin (DK)
  • WR Mike Evans (FD)

Good Plays

  • WR Chris Godwin (FD)
  • WR Mike Evans (DK)
  • WR Antonio Brown (DK)
  • TE Cameron Brate

Green Bay (-3) @ Cincinnati, Projected Total: 51

Packers vs. QB: 18th Bengals vs. QB: 7th
Packers vs. RB: 13th Bengals vs. RB: 10th
Packers vs. WR: 11th Bengals vs. WR: 14th
Packers vs. TE: 26th Bengals vs. TE: 6th

Green Bay – Projected Total: 27 points

QB Aaron Rodgers DK: $7,100 FD: $8,000
RB Aaron Jones DK: $7,900 FD: $8,400
WR Davante Adams DK: $8,200 FD: $8,200
WR Randall Cobb DK: $4,000 FD: $5,500
TE Robert Tonyan DK: $4,300 FD: $5,300

The Bengals defence has been excellent so far through four weeks, but in a game with a projected high total – I wouldn’t let that scare me away from using any of the big three for Green Bay this week, if you feel inclined.  WR Davante Adams comes into this one second in the league in targets, 3rd in air yards, and just had a quiet Week 4 game in the Packers win over Pittsburgh last week, catching 6 of 11 targets for 64 yards without finding the endzone.  He’s the best option this week for a high spend at the WR position, though he will be popular.

As for Rodgers and Jones – both are absolutely worth keeping in your player pool this week – but I do personally prefer other options on the board which is enough to keep them both off of The Cruncher List.  WR Randall Cobb found the endzone twice last week, catching 5 of 6 targets for 69 yards and two scores.  With MVS out, he’s worth keeping in your player pool for another week in large field MME formats, but I wouldn’t go nuts with exposure to him in this one – he did just play on 48% of snaps a week ago and I wouldn’t expect him to catch TD’s at a 33% rate this week….

The Cruncher List

  • WR Davante Adams

Good Plays

  • QB Aaron Rodgers
  • RB Aaron Jones
  • WR Randall Cobb

Cincinnati – Projected Total: 24 points

QB Joe Burrow DK: $6,100 FD: $7,000
RB TBD DK: $ FD: $
WR JaMarr Chase DK: $5,800 FD: $7,300
WR Tee Higgins DK: $5,000 FD: $6,700
WR Tyler Boyd DK: $5,300 FD: $6,300
TE CJ Uzomah DK: $3,000 FD: $5,500

Things are looking a little bleak for the availability of Mixon this week.  Personally, I think the best approach here is to likely fade the position entirely.  If Mixon does suit up, he’ll be significantly less than 100%, and if he does sit (which is looking more and more likely), we will likely see some sort of split between Samaje Perine and Chris Evans this week.  The price point on the potential two replacements is intriguing, but with some more more stable options for only $1200 more (Fournette, for example), there is some risk to using them in too many line-ups this week if Mixon does sit.

As for the passing game, it looks like WR Tee Higgins is good to go and set to return from his shoulder injury.  I’m curious to see how the target share plays out now that he is back with how good Chase has been to start his rookie season.  With CB Jaire Alexander out for the Packers this week – there should be some good match-ups available to Burrow and the game has the potential to turn into a shootout.  I prefer Chase to Higgins, but it’s close and I think you can mix both into your builds, especially line-ups where you roster Adams, or a  Packers stack.

The Cruncher List

  • QB Joe Burrow
  • WR JaMarr Chase

Good Plays

  • WR Tee Higgins

Denver (-1) @ Pittsburgh, Projected Total: 39.5 points

Broncos vs. QB: 2nd Steelers vs. QB: 21st
Broncos vs. RB: 1st Steelers vs. RB: 6th
Broncos vs. WR: 17th Steelers vs. WR: 27th
Broncos vs. TE: 4th Steelers vs. TE: 11th

Denver – Projected Total: 20.25 points

QB Teddy Bridgewater DK: $5,400 FD: $6,600
RB Melvin Gordon DK: $5,300 FD: $5,900
RB Javonte Williams DK: $4,900 FD: $5,800
WR Courtland Sutton DK: $5,500 FD: $6,100
WR Tim Patrick DK: $4,700 FD: $6,000
TE Noah Fant DK: $4,900 FD: $5,900

With a projected game total that is tied for the lowest on the slate, and two tough defences – I have no problem fading this game altogether.  It helps to narrow down the slate, and outside of RB Najee Harris – I really don’t see a potential path for anyone here being a part of a large field GPP win in Week 5.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • None

Pittsburgh – Projected Total: 19.75 points

QB Ben Roethlisberger DK: $5,300 FD: $6,600
RB Najee Harris DK: $6,900 FD: $7,300
WR Diontae Johnson DK: $6,500 FD: $7,000
WR Juju Smith-Schuster DK: $5,000 FD: $5,900
WR Chase Claypool DK: $6,000 FD: $6,000

Harris and Diontae Johnson should continue to see plenty of looks from Big Ben in the passing game – but with his inability to throw the ball down the field, and the offences general struggles to move the ball consistently, I am not expecting any big fantasy performances this week from the Steelers.  Given that most of their production is through volume in the passing game, which is helped when they have been down big in a couple of games – I’m not too keen on using even Harris or Johnson this week as I don’t think the Broncos are poised to light up the scoreboard this week either.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • None

Philadelphia @ Carolina (-3), Projected Total: 45

Eagles vs. QB: 17th Panthers vs. QB: 8th
Eagles vs. RB: 24th Panthers vs. RB: 4th
Eagles vs. WR: 18th Panthers vs. WR: 8th
Eagles vs. TE: 18th Panthers vs. TE: 16th

Philadelphia – Projected Total: 21 points

QB Jalen Hurts DK: $7,000 FD: $8,100
RB Miles Sanders DK: $5,700 FD: $5,900
WR DeVonta Smith DK: $5,900 FD: $6,000
WR Jalen Reagor DK: $4,200 FD: $5,300
TE Dallas Goedert DK: $5,100 FD: $6,100
TE Zach Ertz DK: $3,400 FD: $5,000

There are some attractive price points here, but despite Carolina’s struggles defensively last week against the Cowboys, I am willing to give them a mulligan and am not eager to back the truck up here with significant exposure to Philly in a game with a projected total that is in the middle of the pack.  The running game here is a pretty easy fade as it isn’t used much and the division of work between Sanders and Gainwell is pretty murky with Gainwell picking up more work, especially in the passing game.

As for the passing game, I wouldn’t blame anyone that wanted to roster the likes of Hurts, Smith or Goedert – but personally, I do prefer other options on the board this week and don’t have too much interest in using Philly players this week.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • None

Carolina – Projected Total: 24.5 points

QB Sam Darnold DK: $6,600 FD: $7,600
RB Chuba Hubbard DK: $6,000 FD: $6,700
WR DJ Moore DK: $7,500 FD: $7,900
WR Robby Anderson DK: $5,000 FD: $5,600

It’s looking like RB Christian McCaffrey will be out for this one, with him currently listed as doubtful for the Panthers.  Last week, the Panthers dropped their game against Dallas, though there were some encouraging signs for a couple options here that are worth considering:

  • Sam Darnold threw two TD’s and ran another two in, giving him now 5 rushing TD’s on the season.  While I wouldn’t expect him to continue to run at this type of clip, leading the league in rushing TD’s – his price point is affordable, but I do prefer other options on the board this week which is enough to keep him off of The Cruncher List for me.
  • WR DJ Moore gt a big price bump – and for good reason.  He scored twice last week (albiet in garbage time) en route to posting a line of 8-113-2.  He has a 30.7% target share, and ranks 4th in the league in targets and 11th in air yards.  The match-up here is a solid one and I have him on The Cruncher List again this week, though he isn’t my favorite high spend option at the position.
  • WR Robby Anderson saw 11 targets last week, and while he didn’t really get things going – it was encouraging to see him being used.  If McCaffrey is out again this week, I’m tossing him on The Cruncher List at his price point.  He’s an intriguing option that shouldn’t be too highly owned that I think is worth mixing into your week 5 MME GPP builds.

The Cruncher List

  • WR DJ Moore
  • WR Robby Anderson (if CMC is out)

Good Plays

  • QB Sam Darnold

Tennessee (-4) @ Jacksonville, Projected Total: 48.5

Titans vs. QB: 22nd Jags vs. QB: 23rd
Titans vs. RB: 14th Jags vs. RB: 26th
Titans vs. WR: 32nd Jags vs. WR: 19th
Titans vs. TE: 1st Jags vs. TE: 28th

Tennessee – Projected Total: 26.25 points

QB Ryan Tannehill DK: $6,400 FD: $7,200
RB Derrick Henry DK: $9,000 FD: $10,400
WR AJ Brown DK: $6,500 FD: $6,900
TE Anthony Firkser DK: $3,100 FD: $4,700

With WR Julio Jones out, and a match-up against a poor defence – to me, this one is pretty simple.  I like the spot for the big three for Tennessee, and they make for strong consideration to use in a stack.  Henry and Brown should see significant volume in this one – and while Tannehill has not had a week where he has posted a monster fantasy game, given the injuries that the Titans have had, it isn’t too surprising to me.  After last week’s loss to the Jets, I’m expecting the Titans to put up plenty of fantasy production this week.

The Cruncher List

  • QB Ryan Tannehill
  • RB Derrick Henry
  • WR AJ Brown

Good Plays

  • None

Jacksonville – Projected Total: 22.25 points

QB Trevor Lawrence DK: $5,800 FD: $6,500
RB James Robinson DK: $6,000 FD: $7,400
WR Marvin Jones DK: $5,700 FD: $6,600
WR Leviska Shenault Jr. DK: $4,800 FD: $5,800
TE Dan Arnold DK: $2,900 FD: $4,800

If you opt for significant exposure to Titans stacks (or even just Derrick Henry for that matter), there are a couple of options to consider mixing into those builds for a full or mini game stack here:

  • WR Marvin Jones – had a quiet Week 4, but with DJ Chark out – I’d expect him to continue to see plenty of looks from Trevor Lawrence.  Through four weeks, he has seen 31 targets and 359 air yards while scoring twice.  Off of a quiet Week 4, I think Jones will bounce back this week.
  • WR Leviska Sheanult Jr. – Better option on DK than FD due to the full PPR scoring, but with Chark out, I really think this helps Sheanault’s floor a lot.  He has seen 27 targets on the season – and while the air yards are low, he might starting getting the odd look down field with Chark out.

Finally, RB James Robinson.  He’s a great back in the system and should see plenty of work on the ground and in the passing game in what should be a pretty high scoring game.  He has had two great games back to back, and I find it hard to envision the Titans slowing him down too much in this one – he’s an elite option this week, especially on DK for $6k.

The Cruncher List

  • RB James Robinson

Good Plays

  • WR Marvin Jones

Cleveland @ LA Chargers (-1), Projected Total: 47 points

Browns vs. QB: 11th Chargers vs. QB: 5th
Browns vs. RB: 2nd Chargers vs. RB: 15th
Browns vs. WR: 7th Chargers vs. WR: 2nd
Browns vs. TE: 12th Chargers vs. TE: 21st

Cleveland – Projected Total: 23 points

QB Baker Mayfield DK: $5,500 FD: $6,800
RB Nick Chubb DK: $6,700 FD: $7,500
RB Kareem Hunt DK: $5,800 FD: $7,000
WR Odell Beckham Jr. DK: $6,000 FD: $6,400
TE Austin Hooper DK: $3,200 FD: $4,900

A much better real-life team than fantasy team – I don’t have too much interest here in the Browns against a tough defence.  You can always mix in Nick Chubb to your builds in large field GPP’s, and you could say the same against WR Odell Beckham Jr. – but personally, I prefer other options at each position this week in what I think will be a tough match-up for the Browns offence.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • None

LA Chargers – Projected Total: 24 points

QB Justin Herbert DK: $6,800 FD: $7,700
RB Austin Ekeler DK: $7,600 FD: $7,700
RB Keenan Allen DK: $6,500 FD: $7,200
WR Mike Williams DK: $7,200 FD: $7,700
TE Jared Cook DK: $3,600 FD: $5,200

The match-up is a tough one and the options here are pretty expensive – so it will be interesting to see how popular the Chargers are this week.  For me – WR Keenan Allen is an elite play at his price point on each site.  He has seen 44 looks through 4 weeks, and should see plenty of work in this game as well.  The price point is outstanding for a high floor option.  WR Mike Williams will be lower owned and at his higher price point on both sites, makes for an interesting pivot away from Allen from a game theory standpoint.

RB Austin Ekeler just misses the cut.  He’s been outstanding so far through four weeks, but in this match-up, I think it’ll be more difficult for him to pay off at his salary, and even though he’s heavily involved in the passing work, I prefer some other options at the position.

TE Jared Cook is one of the best near punt priced TE’s this week and is on The Cruncher List after a strong showing last week on Monday Night Football that saw him catch 6-70-1 on 7 targets, and his usage on key 4th downs gave a pretty good indication of the level of trust that Herbert and Staley have him him.

The Cruncher List

  • WR Keenan Allen
  • TE Jared Cook

Good Plays

  • Justin Herbert
  • RB Austin Ekeler

Chicago @ Las Vegas (-5), Projected Total: 44.5

Bears vs. QB: 10th Raiders vs. QB: 15th
Bears vs. RB: 12th Raiders vs. RB: 27th
Bears vs. WR: 29th Raiders vs. WR: 5th
Bears vs. TE: 9th Raiders vs. TE: 23rd

Chicago – Projected Total: 19.75

QB Justin Fields DK: $5,200 FD: $6,400
RB Damien Williams DK: $5,600 FD: $5,800
WR Allen Robinson DK: $5,500 FD: $6,100
WR Darnell Mooney DK: $4,700 FD: $5,600
TE Cole Kmet DK: $2,700 FD: $4,800

Even with the strong showing from WR Darnell Mooney a week ago, I don’t have too much interest here.  As great as it was to see, and as much of a Mooney fan that I am – I find it hard to believe that Allen Robinson won’t get his soon….but at the same time, I’m not willing to tout him, opting for the I’d rather wait to see it first approach.  As a result, I’ll remain out on the Bears passing game until further notice – there’s no shortage of quality options league wide.

As for the running game, while I wouldn’t blame anyone that wanted to use Damien Williams, he misses the cut for The Cruncher List for me.  He’s priced fair, and should see plenty of usage – but he is a little too rich for me to have as a great play for the week.  He’s worth mixing into large field GPP builds – and I wouldn’t argue with anyone that did want to use him heavily but I probably won’t be using too much of him in single entry/cash line-ups this week.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • RB Damien Williams
  • WR Darnell Mooney (DK)

Las Vegas – Projected Total: 24.25

QB Derek Carr DK: $6,100 FD: $7,100
RB Josh Jacobs DK: $5,900 FD: $7,200
WR Henry Ruggs DK: $5,600 FD: $5,900
WR Hunter Renfrow DK: $4,900 FD: $5,800
TE Darren Waller DK: $7,400 FD: $7,300

The Bears defence is one that I don’t often pick on, and in a game with a low projected total, I don’t have too much interest for DFS this week in the key cogs in the Raiders offence, outside of one.

TE Darren Waller has been quiet since seeing 19 targets in Week 1, and it is only a matter of time before he has a massive game, and you can make a case that he is the best high spend at a volatile position if you like some of the value plays on the board at RB/WR this week.  He’s on The Cruncher List as a high spend, but you certainly don’t have to go that way when it comes to building out line-ups.  Waller has 11 more targets than the second TE available on the main slate, and 180 more air yards than the second highest on the slate (Gesicki).

RB Josh Jacobs has some appeal.  He looked like he wasn’t quite at 100% against the Chargers – but he did carry the vast majority of the workload out of the backfield and should be in line for plenty of work in this one as well.  While the price point is quite attractive for him, especially on DK – I do prefer other options on the board enough to keep him off of The Cruncher List this week…but he certainly is a viable option at RB.

The Cruncher List

  • TE Darren Waller

Good Plays

  • RB Josh Jacobs

San Francisco @ Arizona (-5), Projected Total: 48.5

Cards vs. QB: 9th 49ers vs. QB: 26th
Cards vs. RB: 11th 49ers vs. RB: 20th
Cards vs. WR: 26th 49ers vs. WR: 16th
Cards vs. TE: 3rd 49ers vs. TE: 10th

San Francisco – Projected Total: 21.75

QB Trey Lance DK: $5,700 FD: $6,900
RB Eli Mitchell DK: $5,200 FD: $5,500
WR Deebo Samuel DK: $7,100 FD: $7,700
WR Brandon Aiyuk DK: $4,500 FD: $5,300
TE George Kittle DK: $5,600 FD: $6,500

For the 49ers, I am going to be working under the assumption that Jimmy Garoppolo is not able to suit up this week and that Trey Lance will be under center.  If Garoppolo does play, I don’t have interest in rostering him and I think you can give a slight uptick to each of the pass catchers due to the fact that I think Lance will be using his legs a fair amount on Sunday against the Cards.

Starting with Lance, there’s risk here (see: Fields, Justin in his first start) – but I think he’s an elite option this week.  His running ability gives him a nice floor (and ceiling) and in a game with one of the higher projected totals on the board, in order to keep up with the high powered Cards offence, Lance will have an opportunity to make plays no matter how the game script plays out.  Whether it’s playing catch-up, or if he and the 49ers offence get off to a good start, I like his chances of having a productive fantasy day in his first NFL start, and at a cheap price point on both sites, he’s a great value option at QB this week.

As for his receiving threats, I think you can mix in exposure to each of Samuel, Aiyuk and Kittle in large field GPP’s, but for me – none of them are plays I am comfortable with enough to toss them onto The Cruncher List.  I expect the 49ers to lean heavily on the ground game (some with Lance), and with Samuel’s price being north of $7k – there’s plenty of risk to using him in cash/GPP’s this week as we don’t know what his target share will be, and how effective Lance will be at moving the ball through the air.  If you think that Lance will be peppering any of these three with targets, you have a chance to get them at low-moderate ownership levels, which does create an opportunity from a game theory standpoint, but the range of outcomes here for all three of these guys (especially Aiyuk with his limited usage so far) is extremely wide.

As for the ground game at the RB position, I’m expecting some sort of split between Eli Mitchell and Trey Sermon.  Mitchell was removed from the injury report late in the week and seems good to go, but I would expect a split backfield here with Mitchell likely seeing more work/snaps.  With that said, I do like the idea of going over-weight the field with exposure in large field GPP’s on both as the 49ers have been an elite rushing team over the years and the Cards have struggled to stop the run so far this season, but using either of them in a single/limited entry is a more boom/bust approach for those that can stomach the risk.

The Cruncher List

  • QB Trey Lance

Good Plays

  • RB Eli Mitchell
  • WR Deebo Samuel
  • TE George Kittle

Arizona – Projected Total: 26.75

QB Kyler Murray DK: $8,000 FD: $8,500
RB Chase Edmonds DK: $5,900 FD: $6,200
WR DeAndre Hopkins DK: $7,600 FD: $7,500
WR Christian Kirk DK: $4,900 FD: $6,100
WR AJ Green DK: $5,100 FD: $5,700
WR Rondale Moore DK: $4,600 FD: $5,200

Kyler and Hopkins are both elite plays this week, though I don’t think either of them will be making their way into my cash/single entry line-ups.  So far through four weeks, we have seen a very spread out approach to the passing game for the Cards:

  • WR DeAndre Hopkins: 17-225-3 on 25 targets, 259 air yards
  • AJ Green: 15-248-3 on 24 targets, 263 air yards
  • Christian Kirk: 16-244-2 on 18 targets, 269 air yards
  • Rondale Moore: 16-211-1 on 18 targets, 40 air yards

I think you can make a case to keep all of them in your large field GPP’s.  If you think that the current distribution of targets will continue – AJ Green is your guy.  Hes affordable on both sites and gives you a reasonably priced player that has been keeping pace with DeAndre Hopkins.  For me, however, I think its only a matter of time before Hopkins starts to dominate the target share and I wouldn’t be surprised if that started this week against a solid defence.  We saw what Rodgers/Adams did to the 49ers, so they can be vulnerable to elite talent, and Murray and Hopkins are a duo that you have a chance to get at what I think will be lower ownership levels than I think they should be at.

As for the running game, James Connor is taking (and succeeding) with the goal-line work while Edmonds does damage between the 20’s.  He’s worth mixing into large field GPP builds due to the high ceiling from his big play ability, but with Connor dominating the goal-line work, it keeps him off of The Cruncher List for me.

The Cruncher List

  • QB Kyler Murray
  • WR DeAndre Hopkins

Good Plays

  • RB Chase Edmonds
  • WR AJ Green

NY Giants @ Dallas (-7), Projected Total: 52

Giants vs. QB: 24th Cowboys vs. QB: 29th
Giants vs. RB: 21st Cowboys vs. RB: 5th
Giants vs. WR: 6th Cowboys vs. WR: 30th
Giants vs. TE: 29th Cowboys vs. TE: 30th

NY Giants – Projected Total: 22.5

QB Daniel Jones DK: $6,000 FD: $7,400
RB Saquon Barkley DK: $7,300 FD: $7,800
WR Kenny Golladay DK: $5,900 FD: $6,200
WR Kadarius Toney DK: $4,000 FD: $5,300
TE Evan Engram DK: $3,200 FD: $5,300

With a high projected total and his running ability, QB Daniel Jones is on The Cruncher List for me this week against a team that has struggled to limit fantasy production from opposing QB’s and passing games.  The price point on him is reasonable and he comes into this one as one of the top producers at the position league-wide through the first four weeks.  His week 3 showing against Atlanta was disappointing, but in the other three games, he has cleared 29 DKP twice, including last week against a tough Saints defence.

As for the receiving threats, Shepard and Slayton are both out again for the Giants this week, so we will likely continue to see Golladay-Toney-Engram see the vast majority of the looks through the air, along with RB Saquon Barkley.  Golladay had a strong showing in Week 4, clearing the century mark – and although I expect him to see plenty of Diggs this weekend from the Cowboys, I think he’ll be a strong option to mix into builds, especially those with Jones in them.  I don’t quite have him on The Cruncher List this week, but he did narrowly miss the cut.  Toney should see plenty of work in this one – he caught 6 of 9 targets for 78 yards and if Diggs is focused on Golladay this week, I really like the spot for Toney at his price point.  He’s a viable punt with upside at WR and I’ve tossed him onto The Cruncher List as just that.  Finally, Engram for $3,200 is a viable option as a punt on DK at TE, though he hasn’t looked good so far in his two games back from a calf injury.  I’d expect him to see ~6 targets in this one, which is more than enough to pay off his price at $3,200 – though the range of outcomes here is pretty wide.

RB Saquon Barkley has had two straight great games for the Giants and seems to be back in prime form.  He was eased back into action in his first two games, but ever since the long week coming off TNF against Washington, he has seen a noticable uptick in his work – specifically in the passing game.  He has seen 13 targets, catching 11 of those for 117 yards and a score over the past two weeks and in a game that could turn into a track meet, he’s an elite option this week.

The Cruncher List

  • QB Daniel Jones
  • RB Saquon Barkley
  • WR Kadarious Toney (punt)

Good Plays

  • TE Evan Engram (DK)

Dallas – Projected Total: 29.5

QB Dak Prescott DK: $6,900 FD: $8,100
RB Ezekiel Elliott DK: $7,000 FD: $8,000
WR Amari Cooper DK: $6,100 FD: $7,100
WR CeeDee Lamb DK: $6,200 FD: $6,900
TE Dalton Schultz DK: $4,400 FD: $6,200

If you think Dallas is going to clear their projected total in this one – there is a lot to like.  The price point on Cooper/Lamb is awfully tempting.  Both of them are elite talents and while Lamb has been quiet for the past two weeks, he could be poised for a breakout game in this one in what has the highest projected total of the entire slate.  As for Cooper – I’ll be fading him this week, though that always carries a fair amount of risk.  His latest ailment is a hamstring injury, and he has only seen 12 targets over the past 3 weeks.  Of course, with Cooper, he can always break a slate when he sees volume and that is a risk here – but on a twelve game slate you have to make some calls, and I’ll go with CeeDee here on The Cruncher List and will likely be fading Cooper.  TE Dalton Schultz has clearly cemented himself as a key cog in the offence and while he isn’t on The Cruncher List this week, he’s worth getting some exposure to in large field GPP’s this week, especially if you opt for some Dallas or game stacks here.

As for Dak, he misses the cut here.  It has nothing to do with how he is playing, but moreso how effective Dallas’ ground game has been.  I think Prescott is still a fine option, but for The Cruncher List, he does narrowly miss the cut.  Dallas put up 36 points a week ago with Dak not clearing 200 yards passing.  I love some of the value options on the board at the position this week and think if you want to spend this high at QB – there are a couple others that I prefer, or you can just pay a little more for someone that I think has a higher ceiling.

As for that ground game, RB Ezekiel Elliott has been great over the past three games, putting up over 63 DKP over that stretch.  He should see another heavy workload in this one – though his limited work in the passing game puts a cap on his ceiling in my opinion.  I’m keeping him off of The Cruncher List this week, but I do think he’ll be able to move the ball on the ground and will likely find the endzone.  I just prefer a couple other options in the high spend price range more as I feel they have a higher ceiling than Zeke.

The Cruncher List

  • WR CeeDee Lamb

Good Plays

  • QB Dak Prescott
  • RB Ezekiel Elliott
  • TE Dalton Schultz

Best of luck in your Week 5 DFS action & just a reminder that we’ll be back each and every week this season for The Cruncher List as you work your way through DFS contests on DraftKings and FanDuel over the course of the season!

About Brad

Brad hates the term fantasy sports expert, so instead he is someone who specializes in NFL, NHL and MLB DFS notes and analysis. He had a 68.2% win rate in 2015 NFL cash games to go along with a 83.5% win rate for the 2014 season. For NHL he had a 58.7% win rate in the 2015-16 season for cash games and a 66.2% win rate for the 2014-15 season. You can follow him on Twitter @bradsgotmoxy.

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