MLB DFS: Breaking down the top daily fantasy baseball pitchers on FanDuel & DraftKings for October 3, 2021
Diving into today’s MLB DFS slate to uncover your best pitching plays.
Happy last day of the 2021 regular season, folks! Well, maybe. We could see some pretty important tiebreaker action taking place after game 162 for a few clubs, depending on how things play out today.
The NL West still needs to be decided, and the AL Wild Card race is as ridiculously tight as ever.
There are a handful of names on the mound that make the grade for me today, so let’s jump in and have a look at who we should consider on this massive 15 game main slate.
Ready to Cease the day
Dylan Cease – He looks to close out what I would consider a pretty rock solid breakout year, holding a 3.04 SIERA in his last month of action despite a 5.00 ERA on the surface. His strikeouts have been way up lately, rocking a 16.5 K/9 in his last 4 starts (just 18 IP though), which is really pulled down on a IP/GS basis by a 2.2 IP outing against BOS 3 turns ago. Since then, he’s punched out 19 in his last 10.1 innings, and gets the face the Tigers here with plenty of swing and miss action in their lineup. He’s right there with Logan Webb for SP1 not he slate, and is an elite option this afternoon for DFS purposes.
Webb tries to lead the Giants to the AL West title
Logan Webb – The breakout star of 2021 pitching-wise takes the ball for the Giants in their regular season finale here. He’s had ups and downs against the Padres this year, coming off one of his worst starts in 2021 in his last time facing them (4 IP, 4 ER, 4 H). On the whole, this is still very much a profile we need to invest in. He has a 9.8 K/9, 63% ground ball rate and 2.86 SIERA in his last 6 starts (averaging 6 IP per outing in that span). He should have no problem bouncing back here, and is very much worth the price of admission in my eyes today. He’s the slate’s SP1 in my opinion.
Buehler looks to keep the Dodgers around for game 163 (for the AL West title)
Walker Buehler – The NL West is still to be decided, and Buehler has put together another rock solid season for the Dodgers. He’s coming off a 7 inning, 5 K, 3 hit and no earned run outing against the Padres in his last start. Some of the sabermetrics suggest that his skills have eroded a bit lately (4.72 SIERA, 6.1 K/9 in his last month of action), but we all know what September/October Buehler is capable of. And, if it weren’t for that 7 IP gem in his last outing, I’d certainly be saying to steer clear. There’s still a lot to like here in a meaningful game, and although he’s not the kind of GPP option that I’d go heavy with exposure to, he’s cash game and player pool viable for sure.
Sale can punch the Red Sox’ ticket to the wild card game
Chris Sale – This is a pretty darn good situation for the Red Sox. Like the Yankees, they control their own destiny. They had a productive 9th inning yesterday against Tanner Rainey (though some Juan Soto defensive ‘path to the ball’ luck worked in their favor), and look to carry that momentum into this afternoon’s tilt against the Nats. Sale has been solid of late, with a 3.55 SIERA and 10.0 K/9 in his last 4 starts (just shy of 5 IP/GS). The Nats are really not a very talented group right now, but do hit LHP fairly well. I expect a tightly contested offensive one here, and the Red Sox will likely ride Sale as long as possible if they have a good lead. They’ve taxed their bullpen lately and would love to see Sale go 5-6 innings.
Wacha looks to help TB sweep the Yankees
Michael Wacha – He’s going to try to play the role of Yankee heartbreaker here, as the Rays have taken the first 2 games in this series. The Yankees control their own destiny right now, so if they win, they punch their ticket to the Wild Card game. However, Wacha has been electric lately (3.14 SIERA in his last 25 IP) with a 10.08 K/9, 1.44 BB/9 and elite 41% chase rate. His velocity is up, and he’s going to be a very tough opponent for the Yankees to work with here. With enough endurance to go 5 or 6 innings here, he’ll help do what I imagine any Rays fan wants to see – stop the Yankees in their tracks and try to push them out of playoff contention. Dollar for dollar, he’s the slate’s best SP value.
That will do it for our version of the Pitching Primer today, and for the 2021 season. Best of luck in your contests and enjoy the games today!