DraftKings MLB Strategy: Analyzing Winning GPP Lineups (9/05/2021 – 9/11/2021)

MLB DFS: Breaking down tournament winning DraftKings MLB lineups and fantasy baseball strategy (9/05/2021 – 9/11/2021)

How do you win MLB tournaments on DraftKings? Let’s dig in and find out


MLB 2021-09-05 $18 150 Max Entries 13071 Total Entries

We start this week with the 10 game slate on 9-5-2021.  This contest ended with 25 users max entering 150 lineups, while 7 turned a profit. Of the top 5 placing lineups, 2 were entered by a 150 max user. Ultimately naturalgrass2112 won the day with 8 entries, 38 players used, and 7 unique teams stacked. naturalgrass2112 cashed 3 lineups and took home the 50k purse.

 

8-22 winner

Breaking it all down.

In this series of articles, I’ll be referencing the batting order positions within the stacks as “no gap,” “1-gap”, “2-gap”, “3-gap”. This describes the total number of spots skipped in the batting order of the stack. For example, a stack containing 1-2-5-6 or 1-2-4-6 would qualify as “2-gap”, this also applies to wrap-around stacks, so a 9-1-2-3 would qualify as “no gap.

The SP1/SP2 combo used up $19,000 of the total $50k salary.  The lineup is also sporting a “2 gap” 4 player NYM stack 1-5-6-7, spending a total of $15,000 in salary. For secondary stacks, we have a “1 gap” 3 player CLE stack 1-3-4, spending $11,000. In total, the lineup used $49,600 in salary and carried 120.8% in ownership percentage sum. For reference, other lineups in the contest ranged from 16.9% ownership to 213.4%

Takeaways and observations.

This lineup keeps it simple with its pitching combo; the pair ended up combining for 66% actual ownership. The Met’s were a middling team in terms of popularity; around 3.4% of the field rostered 5-man Met’s stacks, and only 1.3% rostered a 4-man. 2 lineups out of 13,701 featured this NYM-CLE 4-3 combination. This lineup manages to win comfortably by a 6 point margin.


MLB 2021-09-06 $18 150 Max Entries 13071 Total Entries

Next is the 7 game slate on 9-06-2021. This contest ended with 24 users max entering 150 lineups, while 8 turned a profit. Of the top 5 placing lineups, 2 were entered by a 150 max user. We saw a 3-way dupe at the top as mbhabes, bigbfarro, and mjc08bc split the pot totaling $25,982 each.

 

8-23 Winner

Breaking it all down.

The SP1/SP2 combo used up $19,100 of the total $50k salary. The lineup is also sporting a “2 gap” 5 player PIT stack 1-2-3-5-8, spending a total of $15,500. For secondary stacks, we have a “1 gap” 3 player TOR stack 2-3-5, spending $15,000. In total, the lineup used $49,600 in salary and carried 119.8% in ownership percentage sum. For reference, other lineups in the contest ranged from 10.5% ownership to 258.2%

Takeaways and observations.

This lineup was part of the 3-way tie, but it was a unique entry. PIT was one of the least popular teams on the slate, and only 1.4% of the field rostered a 5-man PIT stack. Even with that limited popularity, the combination of PIT-TOR 5-3 was rather popular as 21 users got there. That explains the dupes. The 5-3 stack is a great option to run but also the easiest to get duplicated. It’s important to give those constructions a little more attention while building. For example, in this tournament, we saw the combination of 5-3 KC-NYM duped 44 times.


MLB 2021-09-07 $18 150 Max Entries 16339 Total Entries
Next, we go to the 12 game slate on 9-7-2021. This contest ended up with 33 users max entering 150 lineups, while 7 users turned a profit. Of the top 5 placing lineups, 3 were entered by 150 max users. Jujujbee5454 won the day with 150 entries, 126 players used, and 16 unique teams stacked. Jujujbee5454 cashed 33 lineups and most notably took 1st and 6th place totaling $52,230 in profit.

 

8-24 winner

Breaking it all down.

The SP1/SP2 combo used up $17,900 of the total $50k salary. This lineup is also sporting a “2 gap” 5 player TB stack 1-2-3-5-8, spending a total of $21,800 in salary. We also have a “2 gap” 3 player LAD stack 2-3-5, spending $11,000. In total, the lineup used $49,900 in salary and carried a 134.7% ownership percentage sum. For reference, other lineups in the contest ranged from 5.4% ownership to 297.9%

Takeaways and observations.

We are on a roll with the chalk pitching combos this week; this combo, in particular, ended up combining for 86.3% actual ownership. This was a Coors slate, and the Rays were overlooked as only 1.8% of the field went with a 5-man TB stack. Much like our last review, the 5-3 combination of TB-LAD, despite the low popularity, was still featured by 19 users. In the end, this lineup managed to win by 7 fantasy points.


MLB 2021-09-08 $15 150 Max Entries 15686 Total Entries

Next, we go to the 9 game slate on 9-8-2021. This contest ended with 32 users max entering 150 lineups, while only 3 of those users turned a profit. Of the top 5 placing lineups, 1 was entered by a 150 max user. Ultimately jpf2812 won the day, entering the same lineup 3 times, claiming 1st, 2nd, and 3rd prizes for a cool $79,954.98 in profits.

 

8-18 winner

Breaking it all down.

The SP1/SP2 combo used up $18,300 of the total $50k salary.  The lineup is also sporting a “no gap” 4 player KC stack 1-2-3-4, spending $18,500 in salary. For secondary stacks, we have a “2 gap” 4 player BAL stack 2-3-5-9, spending $12,900 in salary. In total, the lineup used $49,700 in salary and carried 158.2% in ownership percentage sum. For reference, other lineups in the contest ranged from 19.6% ownership to 227.8%

Takeaways and observations.

This guy nails the “dupe your self” strategy in an impressive win. Only 4% of the field used a 4-4 construction in this tournament, and it is always one of the most underrepresented stack constructions. The BAL-KC 4-4 was rather popular amongst other 4-4 constructions, with 27 users entering a lineup with the combination. In the end, this lineup won by 11 fantasy points.


MLB 2021-09-09 $15 150 Max Entries 7843 Total Entries

Next, we go to the 5 game slate on 9-9-2021. This contest ended with 17 users max entering 150 lineups, while 4 turned a profit. Of the top 5 placing lineups, 1 was entered by a 150 max user. Ultimately mrgoodseats won the day with 150 entries, 67 players used, and 9 unique teams stacked. mrgoodseats cashed 77 lineups and took home the 25k purse.

 

8-26 winner

Breaking it all down.

The SP1/SP2 combo used up $16,800 of the total $50k salary. The lineup is also sporting a “2 gap” 5 player ATL stack 2-3-5-6-8, spending a total of $22,100 in salary. In total, the lineup used $49,700 in salary and carried 191.7% in ownership percentage sum. For reference, other lineups in the contest ranged from 51.6% ownership to 249%

Takeaways and observations.

A crafty move by mrgoodseats in this lineup, allowing 2 hitters vs. his own SPs. When there aren’t many games on the slate, this can be a great strategy to get some differentiation. Most optimizers come standard with a default setting allowing 0 hitters vs. pitchers, and most people will not change this on a 5 game slate, but I do think 5 games is in the range where you should at least consider doing it. It certainly worked in this situation as mrgoodseats won easily by 11 fantasy points.


MLB 2021-09-10 $18 150 Max Entries 15669 Total Entries

Next, we go to the 13 game slate on 9-10-2021.  This contest ended with 30 users max entering 150 lineups, while 2 turned a profit. Of the top 5 placing lineups, 1 was entered by a 150 max user. Ultimately cmacbb07 won the day with 29 entries, 103 players used, and 17 unique teams stacked. cmacbb07 cashed 5 lineups and took home the 50k purse.

 

8-20 winner

Breaking it all down.

The SP1/SP2 combo used up $14,700 of the total $50k salary. The lineup is also sporting a “1 gap” 4 player COL stack 1-2-3-5, spending a total of $18,000. For secondary stacks, we have a “1 gap” 2 player HOU stack 1-3 spending $9,600. In total, the lineup used $49,900 in salary and carried 65.3% in ownership percentage sum. For reference, other lineups in the contest ranged from 10.9% ownership to 217.6%

Takeaways and observations.

This lineup keeps it simple at pitching and goes with a 4-man construction. 0.6% of the field went with a 4-man COL stack in this tournament, and this was the only lineup out of 15,669 to feature the 4-2 COL-HOU combination. In the end, this lineup managed to win by 6 fantasy points.


MLB 2021-09-11 $18 150 Max Entries 7843 Total Entries

Last but not least, we’ll check out the 8 game slate from 9-11-2021.  This contest ended with 14 users max entering 150 lineups; 1 of those users turned a profit. Of the top 5 placing lineups, 1 was entered by a 150 max user.  sabo75 won the day with a single bullet and took home the 30k purse.

 

8-28Winner

Breaking it all down.

The SP1/SP2 combo used up $15,500 of the total $50k salary.  In total, the lineup used $49,900 in salary and carried 128.2% in ownership percentage sum. For reference, other lineups in the contest ranged from 18.5% ownership to 251.6%

Takeaways and observations.

Not going to spend any time on this one.


Final Thoughts

In this weekly article, we will continue to try and answer the question,How do you win MLB Tournaments on DraftKings?

Another week of tournament-winning lineup reviews in the books. We saw the prize pools shrink significantly towards the NFL returning. This is likely the new normal, but we’re going to keep this article going. Hopefully, this article sparks some ideas for you to improve your own DFS process, and as always, we’ll be back next week to run it back.


All data was gathered and analyzed using Lineup Study on FantasyCruncher. Lineup Study is an FC PRO add-on; gain full access to Lineup Study, our platform to research and learn about your opponents. Analyze how the top players are building their lineups to take your game to the next level. Stop guessing and start learning.

About Dustin Shook

Dustin is an experienced DFS player who has had success across multiple sports and platforms. Dustin is a GPP specialist focusing on game theory and data analytics. When he's not grinding daily fantasy sports contests, Dustin enjoys R programming and hanging out with his son. He can be found on twitter @dshook420

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