MLB DFS: Breaking down the top daily fantasy baseball hitters and team stacks on FanDuel & DraftKings for September 12, 2021
Digging into today’s MLB DFS slate to highlight your best bats to stack.
This article will cover two to three teams that we think are the most stackable for MLB contests. If you are newer to DFS or MLB or want a general refresher on the impact of stacking in MLB, check out our research done this off-season, where we analyzed over 2,000,000 lineups to determine how many times a team of four or five hitters stacked from the same team won contests. In brief, 80.3% of winning lineups across 71 Main Slate tournaments (from 2020) had a stack of at least four players. 71.9% of that 80.3% had a stack of five players. Stacking is the main strategy to focus on when it comes to MLB. Therefore we will be approaching our hitter’s content from a stacking perspective.
Pirates (vs. Nationals)
Most of the DFS world’s attention will be on football, but we still have an 11 game MLB slate on Draftkings and a 10 gamer Fanduel this afternoon, let’s get right to it. The Pirates take on the Nationals in a matchup vs. Patrick Corbin. Over his last 7 starts, Corbin has allowed 44 hits, 31 earned runs, and 12 home runs with a 7.62 ERA across 39 innings pitched. Corbin is in the bottom 14th percentile in K%, the bottom 20th percentile in Barrel%, the bottom 5th percentile in xSLG, and the bottom 29th percentile in Max Exit Velocity. Corbin is coming off one of his better starts of the year, but I think the success will be short-lived. Look for the Pirates to take advantage of Corbin and his 2.07 HR/9 and blow the game wide open. The Pirates have a middling team total which should keep their ownership in check on this slate, and I’ll be looking to utilize them as both primary and secondary stack options.
Pirates vs. Patrick Corbin
$ Tier P C 1B 2B 3B SS OF Medium Patrick Corbin (6.4k / 8.70) (7.3k / 15.50) Jacob Stallings (4k / 7.25) (2.5k / 9.45) Colin Moran (3.7k / 7.81) (2.6k / 10.18) Ke'Bryan Hayes (4.3k / 8.92) (2.9k / 11.64) Bryan Reynolds (4.7k / 9.30) (2.8k / 12.12) Low Yoshi Tsutsugo (2.8k / 0.64) (2.4k / 0.84) Cole Tucker (2k / 0.40) (2.1k / 0.52) Kevin Newman (2.8k / 6.32) (2.3k / 8.24) Ben Gamel (2.4k / 3.58) (2.5k / 4.67)
Jays (@ Orioles)
The Jays are on the road in a matchup vs. the Orioles prospect Zac Lowther. We don’t have much data on Lowther, but he’s certainly in a tough spot vs. this Toronto team. Over his last 6 games, 2 starts, and 14.1 innings pitched, Lowther has a 1.88 HR/9, 19.4 K%, 42.2 hard hit%, and a 6.66 xERA. The Jays will undoubtedly be the chalk team this afternoon, and in tournaments, we’ll have to use them appropriately if we want to win. With that lineup construction thought in mind, I’ll be looking to pair primary Blue Jays stacks with lower owned secondary stacks and one-off players. The Blue Jays are also on the expensive side, so I’ll certainly be using them in secondary stacks to anchor some lower probability of success lineups.
Blue Jays vs. Zac Lowther
|High||Alejandro Kirk (4.7k / 1.15) (2.7k / 1.50)||Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (6.2k / 21.06) (4.5k / 27.46)||Marcus Semien (5.8k / 20.27) (4.5k / 26.43)||Bo Bichette (5.2k / 18.11) (4k / 23.61)||Teoscar Hernandez (5.1k / 18.31) (4.2k / 23.87)|
|George Springer (5.3k / 1.81) (3.9k / 2.36)|
|Medium||Lourdes Gurriel (4k / 13.82) (3.8k / 18.02)|
|Low||Zac Lowther (5.3k / 6.19) (5.7k / 11.03)||Jake Lamb (2.7k / 3.98) (2k / 5.19)||Corey Dickerson (3.3k / 0.92) (2.6k / 1.20)|