DraftKings Tennis DFS Core Plays & Cheat Sheet – US Open – September 2, 2021 (9/2/21)
Herbert Hurkacz: $10,200 (vs. Seppi)
We are 4/4 over our last two core play articles so let’s aim to keep the momentum going heading into a 32-match slate on Thursday. We have 11 players on this slate with odds of -600 or better, while Hurkacz comes through as a -900 favorite over Andreas Seppi. Hurkacz made quick and easy work of Egor Gerasimov, winning in straight sets in just an hour and 43 minutes. The 24-year-old has had an outstanding year which included titles in Delray and Miami and a Wimbledon semi-finals run. Overall, it is a 25-15 record for Hurkacz, including an 18-6 record on hard courts. His opponent here, Andreas Seppi is 37-years-old and took over four hours to defeat Martin Fucsovics in the first round in five grueling sets. Seppi on the year is 19-17, though he is just 2-7 on outdoor hard courts this year and 4-13 over the last two years. I think the wear of a long match on Seppi’s body and a 13-year age gap here pushes the needle even further to the side of Hurkacz here. Hurkacz fired off 14 aces with no double faults on Tuesday, so I feel his form is strong heading into this one. While there are plenty of pay-up options, I think this is the one that could cruise in straight sets and save us a small amount of money up top.
Jack Sock: $6,300 (vs. Bublik)
While Jack Sock dropped his opening set on Tuesday to Nishioka, he rallied back to win the next three in 6-2, 6-4, 6-2 fashion. Sock is just 5-3 at the ATP level this year, but is 17-12 overall with an 11-6 hard court record. His opponent here is Alexander Bublik, who is a -215 favorite and is coming off of a 3-1 win over Hanfmann on Tuesday. Bublik offers a high Ace potential, coming in at a 16.9% average. But he has also committed 25 double faults over his last six sets played and eight or more over his last five matches. While this won’t always come into play as some double faults can happen in leverage spots, it is a high amount of errors committed by a single side. That being said, aside from the win on Tuesday by Bublik, he was in poor form over his last two tournaments in North America, dropping in the second round of Toronto and Cincinnati and then the first round of Winston Salem. I do believe that Bublik is the favorite in this match, but I also don’t believe it is as wide as the oddsmakers are placing it. I have a soft spot for American’s playing in American tournaments and Sock’s recent losses are to Nadal and Isner, though he did take a set from Nadal. If Sock can let Bublik make mistakes with his serve and hold his serve in the process, I think Sock has a strong chance of advancing here. I know what I just said really is the basics of Tennis, but it applies here. Sock broke Nishioka’s serve five times on Tuesday without being broken, while Bublik broke Hanfmann eight times and dropped his serve twice. Both of these guys have some wasted talent, but I give Sock the hometown edge.
$ Tier P High Novak Djokovic (11k / 85.18) Belinda Bencic (10.6k / 77.76) Jessica Pegula (10.4k / 72.20) Hubert Hurkacz (10.2k / 74.59) Reilly Opelka (9.6k / 69.49) Medium Maria Sakkari (8.6k / 56.78) Emma Raducanu (7.9k / 54.35) Jenson Brooksby (7.8k / 48.15) Low Jil Teichmann (6.9k / 40.33) Jack Sock (5.9k / 29.28) Maxime Cressy (6.1k / 29.46) Lauren Davis (5.3k / 25.56)