DraftKings Tennis DFS Core Plays & Cheat Sheet – US Open – September 1, 2021 (9/1/21)
Barbora Krejcikova: $10,500 (vs. McHale)
Before we dive into the name listed above, I just wanted to point out that on this 32-match slate, we have 11 matches currently with odds for the favorite above -1000. What this does is really limit the “clearer” value options, because the 10-11 cheapest options are those said opponents. But with so many high favorites on the board, which one stands out against the rest? Really, it is hard to tell, as they all have sweep potential but I think Krejcikova falls as one of my favorites for a few reasons. Krejcikova ran through her first-round opponent in Astra Sharma in just an hour and 15-minutes with a 6-0, 6-4 win. The ability to 6-0, 6-1, 6-2 someone has been a standout to me with Krejcikova, as she has won at least one set by one of these scores in eight of her last ten matches. She 6-0’d Martincova in Prague, also Siniakova, and a 6-1 against Wang. In Cinci, She had a 6-1 and 6-2 set against Muguruza, a 6-1 against Yastremska, and a 6-2 against Kasatkina. So what does Krejcikova get in the second round? Another player outside the top 100 in Christian McHale who has had a season to forget. While McHale did advance to the second round here, she did it by defeating the world 337 in Emma Navarro. Essentially, McHale is here by the pure luck of the draw. At the WTA level, McHale is just 2-15 on the year and 8-21 in total – including just 3-10 on hard courts. In Krejcikova’s last eight wins, she has scored over 78 fantasy points on DraftKings five times. If Krejcikova retains her current form, this could be another straight-set win with less than eight games lost.
Henri Laaksonen: $6,500 (vs. Garin)
This is a bit of a momentum play for me here as I see both of these guys on opposite sides of the spectrum right now. Henri Laaksonen has played a lot of tennis recently, running through all three rounds of qualifiers to get into the main draw here and then defeating John Millman in straight sets on Monday. Laaksonen has only played ten total matches at the ATP level this year but is 29-18 on the year in total and 7-4 on hard courts. Garin had a strong clay-court season but has struggled on the North American side of the competition on hard courts, losing in the first round at both Toronto and Cincinnati. While Garin did grab a win over Norbert Gombos on Monday, Garin did drop the second set and won the final set in tie-breakers. Garin does still have a higher elo than Laaksonen on hard courts, but hard is by far Garin’s worst surface and again, he is just 1-4 on the year and 3-11 over the past two years. I am not entirely sure what “peak form” looks like for Henri Laaksonen as the world 130, but he looked impressive handling Millman in straight sets and I like the discount here for him to carry that momentum against a clay specialist away from clay.
$ Tier P High Daniil Medvedev (10.6k / 79.49) Naomi Osaka (10.8k / 73.65) Barbora Krejcikova (10.2k / 72.09) Felix Auger-Aliassime (10k / 71.42) Ons Jabeur (9.7k / 61.11) Medium Brandon Nakashima (9.1k / 63.28) Diego Schwartzman (8.1k / 57.75) Grigor Dimitrov (8.3k / 56.46) Leylah Annie Fernandez (7.8k / 48.44) Low Marketa Vondrousova (7.4k / 51.93) Marco Trungelliti (6.9k / 44.93) Henri Laaksonen (6.5k / 41.42) Kevin Anderson (6.6k / 39.24) Kamilla Rakhimova (5.6k / 38.47)