The 2021 Wyndham Championship: The Primer – PGA DFS Analysis

Featuring in-depth analysis of The 2021 Wyndham Championship! Daily fantasy golf analysis for this week’s DFS slate to help you build winning cash game and tournament lineups on DraftKings.

Welcome to The Primer column for The 2021 Wyndham Championship!  We are here to help you build your DFS lineups for FanDuel, DraftKings or whatever other sites you choose to play on (this article does have a DraftKings bias though).

In case you missed it – you can find my cheat sheet posted for The 2021 Wyndham Championship here!

We have a mediocre field teeing it up this week at The 2021 Wyndham Championship and the first thing that you will likely notice here is how remarkably consistent Webb Simpson has been.  He has four straight top 3 finishes here and will be EXTREMELY popular this week.  I won’t include him in The Primer this week – he’s a strong play, and you’ll probably want to start your week by determining what to do with him as he’ll be chalk.  The game theory fade is a strong option, though there is plenty of risk to going that route with his remarkably consistent track record at Sedgefield.  As for the course, we have a Par 70 with only two Par 5’s, and it isn’t overly long – so you’ll be looking for golfers that can throw darts with their approach shots, factoring in some course history and recent form.  So – let’s have a look at some of my favorite options in the field this week to consider adding to your player pools as the 2021 PGA season rolls on!

The Best of the best…

  • Louis Oosthuizen, $10,700

Louie doesn’t have a track record here – but he is playing so well and has been so consistent that I think he gives Webb a run for his money despite Webb’s plethora of top 3 finishes here for the top option this week.  I think you can go either way (and Matsuyama is a rock solid choice as well) – but I have touted Oosthuizen a lot this year and he’s been really good to me, so if it ain’t broke and the course appears to be a great fit for him, don’t fix it.  His short game is outstanding – he has been the best putter on tour, ranks 11th in SG: ATG, and 34th in SG: APP while being slightly above average off of the tee.  Factoring in everything, he is second on tour in SG: Total – and in a field like this, he is clearly an elite option and I like the idea of using him heavily this week, especially with so many likely to be focused on Webb Simpson given his course history.

The Next Group

  • Russell Henley, $9,400

Slightly above average in all major stats….but ranked 4th on tour in SG: APP – I think Sedgefield was built for him (and Webb Simpson, clearly).  He placed 9th here a year ago after two pedestrian showings and a missed cut in his previous three attempts, and I love what I’ve seen from his game for most of the 2020-21 season, setting him up in a good spot this week.  He was a dud last week but reeled off three straight top 20 finishes before that and I like his odds for a bounceback effort this week at the 2021 Wyndham Championship.

  • Mito Pereira, $7,900

Pereira comes into this one fresh off of his strong showing at the Olympics – one that saw him lose out in a tiebreaker for the bronze metal in a playoff.  He’s been playing outstanding over the past month – and while the sample size is tiny, he has shown that he has the potential to be among the best in ball striking, gaining almost a full shot relative to the field OTT and over half a shot with his approach game.  While his short game hasn’t looked outstanding, it’s been average, and he showed in Japan that he has the potential to be among the best of the best when his game is on point.  Love the upside here for a sub $8k price point.

  • Zach Johnson, $7,500

He doesn’t have much of a track record here, but I think that the course should be a good fit for his game.  He’s been playing solid, albeit not elite level golf – but at this price point in a weak field event – I love the upside here for your 4th/5th golfer depending on your roster construction.  While he isn’t elite at his approach game, he is above average and is one of the best putters on tour, something that I think will serve him well on the fairly short track at Sedgefield this week.  I like his chances of sticking around into the weekend, and if he can ramp up the ball striking a little bit – I wouldn’t be shocked to see him in the mix as the weekend rolls around, something that I don’t think can be said about many in his price range.

Don’t Forget About…

  • Hank Lebioda, $7,600

He withdrew in his last tournament after a strong showing through 36 holes for personal reasons – but he’s ready to tee it up this week and makes for a strong option to sub into your builds for Pereira and Johnson, above.  He’s been one of my favorite plays all season long, especially during the past two months, and while I wouldn’t expect low ownership levels on him this week – I do think he’ll check in lower owned than he should be.  He ranks 48th on tour in SG: APP and is a great putter, checking in 28th spot.  I think that the course is a great fit for his game, and I think he’s worth the risk coming back this weekend so much so that I like going significantly over-weight on him.

Categorized as GOLF

By Brad

Brad hates the term fantasy sports expert, so instead he is someone who specializes in NFL, NHL and MLB DFS notes and analysis. He had a 68.2% win rate in 2015 NFL cash games to go along with a 83.5% win rate for the 2014 season. For NHL he had a 58.7% win rate in the 2015-16 season for cash games and a 66.2% win rate for the 2014-15 season. You can follow him on Twitter @bradsgotmoxy.