The 3M Open – 2021: The Primer – PGA DFS Analysis

Featuring in-depth analysis of The 3M Open – 2021! Daily fantasy golf analysis for this week’s DFS slate to help you build winning cash game and tournament lineups on DraftKings.

Welcome to The Primer column for The 3M Open! We are here to help you build your DFS lineups for FanDuel, DraftKings or whatever other sites you choose to play on (this article does have a DraftKings bias though).

In case you missed it – you can find my cheat sheet posted for The 3M Open here!

The week after The Open is usually a little bit of a hangover so to speak as the players head back to the US to tee it up after last week’s major – and this week certainly fits that bill with a pretty weak field overall.  We do have DJ, Patrick Reed and Tony Finau leading the way in terms of notable names – but it falls off pretty quick after that.  That gives a chance for a pretty wide open field to take their run at the elite players teeing it up this week, and it should also make for a wide open week of DFS action when it comes to building line-ups.  TPC Twin Cities plays host to the field this week for The 2021 3M Open and it checks in over 7400 yards for the Par 71 track.  We’ll be looking for ball striking and recent form primarily when it comes to screening – so let’s have a look at five of my favourite options on the board for The 2021 3M Open!

The Best of the best…

  • Patrick Reed, $10,300

DJ is the class of the field – but you really don’t need me to tell you that.  Reed is my second favourite option – and maybe you don’t need me to tell you that either, but here I am.  I like the idea of getting significant exposure to both of them in builds this week.  There aren’t too many elite options teeing it up this week, and with that in mind, I usually like a bit more of a barbelled approach to line-up construction in events like that, focusing a lot on a few of the elite options, and ignoring the middle range a little bit more ($8k-9k).  His elite short game really helps raise his floor, and he comes into this one with a great all around game that has him ranked 8th on tour in SG: Total – with all metrics checking in above average.  The course is a great fit for him, and I like his chances of being in the mix near the top of the leaderboard this weekend.

The Next Group

  • Emiliano Grillo, $9,300

He’s been striking the ball incredibly and comes into this one fresh off of a strong showing at The Open where he finished 12th.  He came 3rd in this event a year ago, and I think that the course continues to be a great fit for his game.  He has been throwing darts with his approach shots the past couple of months and the only question with him is how much of a butcher will he be on the green?  He’s expensive, but much like with Oosthuizen last week, I think he’s worth it in this event and is worth considering making him one of the key components of your builds this week for The 2021 3M Open.

  • Hank Lebioda, $7,900

Too cheap.  I’d expect him to be among the highest owned options this week, but have no problem eating chalk here.  He comes into this one with three top 10 finishes in a row and given that I touted him in all three of those tournaments, it probably shouldn’t come as a surprise that I like him at sub $8k in a weak field event.  While he isn’t elite off the tee, he is above average in all other key metrics, and ranks 42nd on tour in SG: Total – which is an excellent figure for the low quality field this week.

  • Chez Reavie, $7,400

He was abysmal to start the season – so his year long stats leave a lot to be desired, but I really like what I have seen from him lately with Chez coming into this one making four of his last 5 cuts.  He’s been striking the ball great, coming into this one ranked 23rd on tour in SG: APP, and is remarkably accurate off the tee, sitting 5th in driving accuracy percentage.  The course is a great fit for his game, and I think that his year long stats will help keep his ownership levels in check this week.  He’s a great option that I think will be lower owned than I feel he should be for The 3M Open.

Don’t Forget About…

  • Matthew NeSmith, $6,800

A great ball striker who has been expectedly inconsistent, the price point here is fantastic in terms of potential upside as an option to mix into your builds to round out some rosters this week.  He has made 3 of his past 4 cuts, and while the results have not been spectacular, he is playing pretty solid right now and just has to get things going with his putter to vault up the leaderboard if he keeps striking the ball like he has been.  He ranks 9th on tour in SG: APP, and when you factor in the low quality field this week – he certainly is one of the best ball strikers teeing it up here this week at TPC Twin Cities.  I love this spot for him at this price point – but as a reminder, going into the sub $7k range, there is plenty of risk here – golfers priced this low usually have their warts and NeSmith is no exception to this.

About Brad

Brad hates the term fantasy sports expert, so instead he is someone who specializes in NFL, NHL and MLB DFS notes and analysis. He had a 68.2% win rate in 2015 NFL cash games to go along with a 83.5% win rate for the 2014 season. For NHL he had a 58.7% win rate in the 2015-16 season for cash games and a 66.2% win rate for the 2014-15 season. You can follow him on Twitter @bradsgotmoxy.

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