The Open – 2021: The Primer – PGA DFS Analysis

Featuring in-depth analysis of The Open – 2021! Daily fantasy golf analysis for this week’s DFS slate to help you build winning cash game and tournament lineups on DraftKings.

Welcome to The Primer column for The 2021 Open! We are here to help you build your DFS lineups for FanDuel, DraftKings or whatever other sites you choose to play on (this article does have a DraftKings bias though).

In case you missed it – you can find my cheat sheet posted for The Open, 2021 here!

The Open Championship is here!  The best in the world head to Royal St. George’s this week to see how their games stack up on the links style course that has hosted the championship a number of times in the past.  The weather is something to always watch closely at this event, and can be a big impact on the field, however as of Wednesday morning, things are looking pretty good all things considered in terms of the projected forecasts.  Darren Clarke won here with a 5 under in 2011, and while I think the field will be able to better that score by a pretty significant margin, I am not expecting them to rip it up here and go really low either.  We’ll be looking at ball striking, history at Open Championships, and recent form as the primary factors to evaluate when it comes to building a line-up, and as is usually the case, the pricing is as soft as butter with plenty of quality golfers in the $6,900-7,900 range, making it pretty easy to spend up for a couple of spots when building line-ups due to the fact that your line-ups can be rounded out by quality golfers.  So – let’s get right to it and look at some of my favourite options on the board this week!

The Best of the best…

  • Rory McIlroy, $10,900

I’m willing to give Rory a mulligan on his 2019 missed cut at The Open.  He’s also a little more expensive than I think he should be given his recent form, but I like the fact that I think it will help keep his ownership levels in check when compared to some of the other elite options this week.  He had three straight top 5 finishes at this event from 2016-18, grew up playig a ton of links courses in England, and he has shown just enough solid play over the course of the season to like the spot for him this week, including a 7th place finish at The US Open recently.  He is an elite ball striker that ranks 11th on tour in SG: TTG (8th OTT, 29th APP), and I think there’s a chance that he could be owned in the 10-15% range – something that I think offers plenty of appeal in large field GPP’s this week as a potential opportunity to take advantage of.

The Next Group

  • Louis Oosthuizen, $9,300

Well – he finally got his price bump in a quality field event.  I think he’s worth it.  Sure, he won’t putt like this forever – but he comes into this one playing outstanding, and I think that some will balk at paying this price for him with some of the other elite golfers priced in a similar range.  He has a had success in majors, including The Open – where he finished in the top 30 the past two trips despite the fact that his game was nowhere near as sharp as it is now heading into the tournament this weekend.  I love what I’ve seen from him pretty much all season, and though there is some risk at the price point, I think he’s worth mixing into builds as a core option this week.

  • Paul Casey, $8,600

He keeps throwing darts out there, ranked 2nd on tour in SG: APP and 7th in SG: TTG.  The price point is reasonable, and he comes into this one with recent top 7 finishes at both The US Open and the PGA Championship.  His recent history at The Open leaves quite a bit to be desired, but I think he is playing too well to ignore this week – and I wouldn’t be one bit surprised if we see him near the top of the leaderboard this week for a third consecutive major.

  • Harris English, $7,300

He’ll be chalk, but it doesn’t bother me too much.  I’ve gone with a couple of guys that I expect to be lower owned than I should be early on in the article, so I don’t mind eating a little chalk here for your cheapest, or second cheapest golfer when it comes to line-up construction.  He’s above average in all major facts of the game, and does a great job of scrambling, ranking 9th on tour – something that I think will come into play this week on the Par 70 track.  If that wasn’t enough for you – he ranks 2nd in the FedEx Cup for the season and is $7,300.  If you’ve followed this piece for any length of time, you’ll know that I’ve been touting him pretty regularly for the past 15 months, and won’t be stopping this week.

Don’t Forget About…

  • Kevin Kisner, $6,900

He has flashed moments of brilliance at The Open, including a 2nd place finish in 2018, and comes into this one with two straight top 10 finishes, granted – in low quality field events.  The price point here is pretty intriguing, I think the course is a great fit for his game, and he is clearly playing well over the past couple of weeks.  While he isn’t an elite ball striker, he is remarkably accurate off the tee (18th on tour), and is a fantastic putter, something that I think will help him keep his score in check this week.  I suspect that he’ll check in around 5% owned – but I wouldn’t be opposed to tossing him into 15-20% of builds to try and push an edge.

About Brad

Brad hates the term fantasy sports expert, so instead he is someone who specializes in NFL, NHL and MLB DFS notes and analysis. He had a 68.2% win rate in 2015 NFL cash games to go along with a 83.5% win rate for the 2014 season. For NHL he had a 58.7% win rate in the 2015-16 season for cash games and a 66.2% win rate for the 2014-15 season. You can follow him on Twitter @bradsgotmoxy.

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