DraftKings Xfinity NASCAR DFS – Credit Karma Money 250 – July 10, 2021
Harrison Burton – DK: $9,000 – Starting 5th
While Kyle Busch is in this field, he also is priced up again and carries a $14,000 price tag. You aren’t going to hear me talk you off of starting Busch as he has now won all four Xfinity races he has run on the season. Busch will start on the pole in Atlanta and carries a high dominator grade for us here, though he will need to dominate to pay off the high price tag. Atlanta is a track that Busch has had success at, finishing in the top seven in his last four races, though his last Cup victory here was back in 2013. When it comes to equipment, Busch will be pacing the field. That being said, Harrison Burton is my core play here as in his short data for Atlanta, he has had a lot of success. In 2020, Burton started fifth and finished fifth, in 2021 he started fifth and finished third – this race he once again carries a fifth-place starting spot so at least we know he can hold the front of the field. Burton historically has seen success on 1.5-mile tracks, finishing third at Charlotte, ninth at Vegas, and the previously mentioned third here at Atlanta. Rewinding a year, Burton took the checkered flag at Texas as well. Ultimately I just view the price here a bit too low, I wish there was a little more upside for differential, but I think Burton makes a nice upper-to-mid priced option here that shouldn’t carry a ton of ownership.
Jeffrey Earnhardt – DK: $6,900 – Starting 37th
Jeffrey Earnhardt isn’t an exciting or flashy name, but he is a guy who can surprise us every once and a while – he really is a guy who can net us around 40 fantasy points or -10 on any given race. That being said, it has been more good than bad recently, with five races of 26 fantasy points or higher over his last eight. On the year in 14 races, Earnhardt has an average finish of 26th and around 18 fantasy points per race. Earnhardt has raced at Atlanta five times, though two were back in 14-15 so we can exclude those. In his last three races over the last three years, Earnhardt has never finished worse than 21st, and has a 19th and 6th place finish in this stretch. The 37th place starting position here is just the highest differential upside we can get at the lowest price. If you really want to punt this position with a cheap driver, Jesse Little is my next favorite value option at $4,800 who doesn’t have a huge upside, but price that carries very little risk and will allow you to roster the Kyle Busch’s of the world.
$ Tier D High Kyle Busch (14k / 51.81) Austin Cindric (11k / 39.13) Justin Allgaier (10.6k / 44.13) Josh Berry (10k / 55.42) Ty Dillon (9.7k / 47.59) Medium Harrison Burton (9k / 40.05) Brandon Jones (8.8k / 37.75) Santino Ferrucci (8k / 36.69) Brett Moffitt (7.8k / 37.04) Low Jeb Burton (7.3k / 31.71) Jeffrey Earnhardt (6.9k / 30.26) Landon Cassill (6.8k / 23.61) Gray Gaulding (6.6k / 26.41) Jesse Little (4.8k / 19.23)