MLB DFS: The FC Insights team shares their top home-run candidates for the day’s slate
Every day this season, our team will share who we believe has the best chance to leave the yard. We’re calling it the “Dinger of the Day”. From one-off plays to core parts of daily stacks, we hope this fun article will help you build winning lineups along the way.
James: Aaron Judge – “I’ve picked Judge a few times this year and he hasn’t come through for me, but he once again sits in a great spot against lefty J.A. Happ. Happ is currently allowing the highest Barrel% and Exit Velocity of his career, as well as the highest fly ball percentage on balls in play. All eight long balls Happ has given up this year have come to right-handed batters and Happ is fresh off of allowing three in his last start. Happ throws his 4-seam fastball over 55% of the time, though the velocity on it has dropped to just 90.6 MPH on average. Judge is slugging .625 against LHP and .682 against fastballs – with 12 of his home runs on the year being hit on fastballs. So we have the league leader in Exit Velocity and near league leader in Barrel%, who mashes fastballs, against an aging lefty, who throws an ineffective fastball for a strong majority of his pitches and is allowing Barrels and fly balls at an extended rate. It all adds up for me (but if you are backing one of these, just listen to Jared, he has clearly proven himself as the elite here).
Zach: Giancarlo Stanton – “While I like James’ selection of Aaron Judge I am going to go with Judge’s teammate Giancarlo Stanton. Stanton went deep twice yesterday and now has five hits in the first two games of this series. Stanton is not just hitting the ball well in this series but he is also someone that I love to target against left-handed pitching. In his career, Stanton is slugging .616 with a .324 ISO.”
Jared: Aaron Judge – “I was a little late to getting my addition in today to find out that James already selected Judge. While I don’t do it often, I am doubling down on this pick as I feel Judge sits in the best spot to go deep against a left-handed, fly ball pitcher who hasn’t had a ton of success on the year.”