MLB DFS: The FC Insights team shares their top home-run candidates for the day’s slate
Every day this season, our team will share who we believe has the best chance to leave the yard. We’re calling it the “Dinger of the Day”. From one-off plays to core parts of daily stacks, we hope this fun article will help you build winning lineups along the way.
James: Mike Zunino – “Patrick Corbin has allowed 12 dingers on the year and is posting an ERA of 6.28. Corbin’s K rate is sitting in the bottom 15% of the league and finds himself near the bottom third of all percentile rankings. Corbin is allowing the highest Barrel% of his career, highest xSLG, and has the highest fly ball rate on batted balls of his career. All 12 of the long balls Corbin has given up this year have come to right-handed hitters and righties are slugging .567 and batting .319. Mike Zunino currently has a 26.5% Barrel%, which ranks him in the top 1% of the league. Zunino mashes left-handed pitching, slugging .778 and batting .311 against them on the year. Don’t let the low batting average fool you, Zunino against any lefty provides some of the highest home run upside on any slate.”
Update: Zunino sitting today is a gut punch. I am shifting to Randy Arozarena.
Zach: James McCann – “I was tempted to go with Peter Alonso after he hit two home runs for Jared last night against but decided on another Mets’ player who is actually hitting the ball better than Alonso in McCann. McCann has four home runs in his past eight games and is slugging .857 during this time period. The reason why I am so high on both Alonso and McCann to go deep tonight is not only due to the way they are hitting the ball but also due to the fact they are facing a trash pitcher in Matt Harvey. The former Mets’ Ace has allowed five home runs in his past four games and has really struggled against right-handed hitters allowing them to slug .508 this season.”
Jared: Xander Bogaerts – “Even though he hasn’t left the yard in a chunk of time, I like how things line up match-up wise against Jake Odorizzi. The Houston righty has struggled primarily against RHBs over the course of his career, and his most susceptible split has been on the road against righties. That’s where opposing RHBs have slugged .450 against him with a .331 wOBA lifetime in 258.2 IP. This is the split where 74% of Bogaerts’ HRs have come. Even though he’s not a prolific power hitter, I like the matchup a lot against a fly ball pitcher in a hitter’s park (BOS) where the Green Monster could help his cause, too.”