The 2021 Palmetto Championship : The Primer – PGA DFS Analysis

Featuring in-depth analysis of The 2021 Palmetto Championship! Daily fantasy golf analysis for this week’s DFS slate to help you build winning cash game and tournament lineups on DraftKings.

Welcome to The Primer column for The 2021 Palmetto Championship! We are here to help you build your DFS lineups for FanDuel, DraftKings or whatever other sites you choose to play on (this article does have a DraftKings bias though).

In case you missed it – you can find my cheat sheet posted for The 2021 Palmetto Championship!

This week will be a bit of a weird one as the players tee it up at a new tournament for 2021, The Palmetto Championship – which will be played at a new course Congaree Golf Club, which we have not seen played on tour.  As a result, we don’t have any course history here – but from all accounts it is a stunning course that checks in at over 7600 yards as a Par 71 and should be a tough test.  We’ll be looking at recent form along with focusing on elite ball strikers, slightly giving the edge to SG: APP vs. SG OTT and if you are looking for one metric to focus on to help keep things tight with your analysis, SG: TTG is a great option.  Let’s have a look at five of my favourite plays on the board to consider keeping in your player pools this week!

The Best of the best…

  • Tyrrell Hatton, $10,200

Hatton is an elite ball striker and one of the better players teeing it up this week.  While his stats aren’t quite as good as they were last PGA season – he is still a great golfer and in a weak field event on a tough course, I like the spot for him this week.  His chipping has been poor this season – but his ball striking has been trending up (11th in SG: APP, 39th in SG: OTT, 24th in SG: TTG), and I expect them to continue to trend upwards.  The course this week I think is an excellent fit for his game, and I like his chances of being in the mix when the weekend rolls around.

The Next Group

  • Alexander Noren, $8,900

He’s probably a little over-priced this week for a guy that hasn’t cracked the top 10 in a tournament in quite some time – but in a weak field event, especially after the top couple tiers of players, he is one of the best in the field remaining.  The price point will keep his ownership levels from getting out of control – and I like what I’ve seen from his game lately.  He has made 7 straight cuts and while his ball striking isn’t necessarily a great fit for the course, I do think he has one of the better overall games for less than $9k.  I like his chances of building off a T13 finish last time out.

  • Doc Redman, $8,000

He was dismal at the start of the 2020-21 season, but always an elite ball striker when playing well – we have seen signs of life from Redman’s game of late, highlighted by a 9th place showing at the Byron Nelson.  He’s made two straight cuts since then, and is a strong mid-priced play in the weak field this week.  Even with how poorly he started the year, he has gained strokes on the field in SG: APP, a stat that has been trending upwards, along with the rest of his game.  He won’t pop on the analytics side unless people use last year’s data, but I like what I’ve seen enough to tout him for this week’s event.

  • Matthew NeSmith, $7,800

The short game here can be a mess, but if he can be average around and on the green – he’ll pay off in spades.  An elite ball striker who ranks 9th on tour in SG: APP, he clearly has the ability to navigate the course here this week.  He comes into this one fresh off of a MC, which I am hoping will be able to prevent him from being too chalky.  Don’t expect low ownership levels here as he’s one of the best options for sub $8k – but I love this spot for him and his game this week.

Don’t Forget About…

  • Hank Lebioda, $6,900

He’s not great off the tee, but makes up for it with his approach game (30th on tour in SG: APP and 29th in GIR %).  He went through a rough patch in March and April, but comes into this one on point making three straight cuts that includes two top 20 finishes (17th at the Byron Nelson and 13th at the Valspar).  For less than $7k, there is some risk here, but he really opens things up in terms of roster construction and has more upside than most – if not all players in his price range.


About Brad

Brad hates the term fantasy sports expert, so instead he is someone who specializes in NFL, NHL and MLB DFS notes and analysis. He had a 68.2% win rate in 2015 NFL cash games to go along with a 83.5% win rate for the 2014 season. For NHL he had a 58.7% win rate in the 2015-16 season for cash games and a 66.2% win rate for the 2014-15 season. You can follow him on Twitter @bradsgotmoxy.

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