DraftKings Xfinity NASCAR DFS – Pit Boss 250 – May 22, 2021
Austin Cindric – DK: $10,700 – Starting 8th
Nascar travels to the Circuit of the Americas in Austin, Texas for the first time this week in a road course race that also featured live practice and qualifying. With any new track, we are going to have limited data, but what we do have is plenty of road course data for Cindric. Before we hop into that, we can look at his current form, as Cindric has two top-two finishes over his last three races including a win last week. In ten total races on the year, Cindric has eight top-ten’s and three wins. Over Cindric’s last 13 road course races (spread throughout Daytona, Charolette, Indy, Watkin’s Glen, and Road America), Cindric has four victories, eight top-five finishes, and 10 top-ten finishes. In fact, three road courses make up Cindric’s top five in average driver rating. While there is a lot of talent in this field like Kyle Busch and Kevin Harvick, it is Cindric who sits at 2:1 odds to win this race. Match that with an eighth-place starting position and we also have the upside to grab some differential. My worry here is with Kyle Busch starting on the pole, that laps led won’t be as available, but with not as many laps here (46), it is a statistic that isn’t as important as normal. Cindric turned in the fastest practice time and practice speed this week.
Jeremy Clements – DK: $6,900 – Starting 33rd
Clements has very quietly put together a strong year that includes four top-ten finishes in his ten races on the year with an average finish of 12.7. Clements has only fallen below 26 fantasy points twice on the year but has managed to never dip below 15 which sets us up with a pretty nice floor regardless here. In 2020, Clements put together a solid road course resume, which included a 16th at the Roval, 6th at Daytona Road, and 13th at Indy Road. With a 33rd place start, and as mentioned laps led not being that important of a stat this week, the potential differential sets us up very nicely here. Prior to this race, Clements average start on the year was around 14th. The 33rd starting spot is a direct reflection of his qualifying time, and his practice speeds weren’t in the upper group, but they did average out to what would be better than someone starting 33rd. The price and past history make this play worth it for me today.
$ Tier D High Kyle Busch (10.8k / 46.31) Austin Cindric (10.7k / 50.21) AJ Allmendinger (10.4k / 47.36) Kevin Harvick (9.9k / 48.68) Brandon Jones (8.7k / 34.89) Medium Miguel Paludo (8.2k / 34.58) Austin Dillon (7.6k / 28.79) Low Jeremy Clements (6.9k / 33.89) Myatt Snider (6.7k / 25.31) Preston Pardus (6.3k / 16.42)