The 2021 AT&T Byron Nelson : The Primer – PGA DFS Analysis

Featuring in-depth analysis of The 2021 AT&T Byron Nelson! Daily fantasy golf analysis for this week’s DFS slate to help you build winning cash game and tournament lineups on DraftKings.

Welcome to The Primer column for The 2021 AT&T Byron Nelson! We are here to help you build your DFS lineups for FanDuel, DraftKings or whatever other sites you choose to play on (this article does have a DraftKings bias though).

In case you missed it – you can find my cheat sheet posted for The 2021 AT&T Byron Nelson!

This week the players will tee it up at TPC Craig Ranch, which checks in at over 7400 yards and is a Par 72 with four par 5’s.  With enough length, we will be focused on ball strikers and players that can score.  The field is solid, but unspectacular this week – and I won’t take the low hanging fruit here by touting any of Jon Rahm, Bryson DeChambeau or Jordan Spieth, all of whom are great options if you don’t find them too restricting from a line-up construction standpoint.  So leaving them aside – let’s have a look at five options that you can consider mixing into your builds for this week’s tournament!

The Best of the best…

  • Will Zalatoris, $9,700

He put up a dud last week – and has now struggled relative to expectations in his last two events after a great showing at The Masters – but I love his game and this course sets up fantastic for the elite ball striker.  He has been above average in all facets of the game, led by his elite approach game, ranking 4th on tour in SG: APP.  When you combine those to facts, you end up with a 10th place ranking on tour in SG: TTG, making him a great option if you think that he will be able to right the ship this week.  There’s some risk here, but he has the ability to rack up scoring this week, and I think his game is a great fit for TPC Craig Ranch this week.

The Next Group

  • Si Woo Kim, $8,800

Kim’s talent has never been in question, and he has really carved out a solid spot on tour, ranking 28th in the FedEx Cup Standings coming into this event.  His game is rock solid all around – an above average ball striker who has a stout touch around the green, he comes into this one ranked 37th on tour in SG: TTG and 38th in SG: Total.  He hit a bump in the road in February and early March with 3 straight missed cuts, but has looked very strong in his last four events, and I think he puts together four quality rounds this week.

  • Doug Ghim, $7,500

He struggled last time out at the Valspar, but I love his game and think he’s one of the best potential scorers in the field this week, especially at a low price point.  While he struggles on the green, he has been among the best on tour in terms of ball striking, checking in ranked 10th in SG: APP and 20th in SG: TTG.  If he can get things rolling with the flatstick, he can rack up the DKP this week and I love the upside for $7,500 with Ghim this week.  This course has the potential to be a dream fit for his game.

  • Talor Gooch, $7,900

Gooch comes into this one playing pretty solid golf, making six of his last seven cuts – and he has shown the ability to be in the mix come Sunday, as evidenced by his 5th place showing at THE PLAYERS.  His game was solid last time out at the Wells Fargo, and I think his game is a strong fit for the course this week.  Like Zalatoris, he is better than average in all the major stats, and checks in 48th in SG: APP and 43rd in SG: Total, which are solid metrics for a sub $8k option this week.  I think he’s a fairly safe play, with a fair amount of upside, and is a strong value for $7,900 this week.

Don’t Forget About…

  • Josh Teater, $6,600

I don’t think you necessarily have to go this deep from a roster construction standpoint, but if you are looking for a punt with upside, I think that Teater is an intriguing option.  He is strong off the tee, and pretty average in all other facets of the game, which is pretty good for someone priced so low.  He has made six straight cuts in largely lower quality tournaments, and in this week’s field, while it isn’t bad persay, it is far from elite.  I think his game checks out and that he’s a little under-priced this week.  If you find yourself with 3-5% of your line-ups in need of someone priced this low, I think he’s a very intriguing option to squeeze in the final spot!

 

About Brad

Brad hates the term fantasy sports expert, so instead he is someone who specializes in NFL, NHL and MLB DFS notes and analysis. He had a 68.2% win rate in 2015 NFL cash games to go along with a 83.5% win rate for the 2014 season. For NHL he had a 58.7% win rate in the 2015-16 season for cash games and a 66.2% win rate for the 2014-15 season. You can follow him on Twitter @bradsgotmoxy.

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