DraftKings Xfinity NASCAR DFS – Steakhouse Elite 200 – May 8, 2021
Ty Gibbs – DK: $11,100 – Starting 29th
While I expect this play to be chalk, it also is the one that carries the highest overall possible ceiling for us so it is hard to fade it in my book. Ty Gibbs has three career Xfinity races under his belt, in those races he has started 15th, 27th, and 16th and finished them 1st, 2nd, and 4th. That is correct, Ty Gibbs has an average finish of 2.3 on the season and has had at minimum five of the fastest laps every race and has led at least one lap in each race, with 28 led in his last showing. I suppose when you are the Grandson of Joe Gibbs, your Joe Gibbs race car is going to be the absolute best it can offer. In comparison to some other cars in this field, Gibbs has them out-classed and maintenanced in almost every way. So with a fast car, it comes down to Gibbs technical skill. At just 18-years-old, you wonder when he is going to falter and show his age and inexperience at this level a little bit, but judging by his three career races and three top-five finishes, he is proving that he belongs in this field. There is some risk here, going back to what I just said I still think Gibbs is raw and despite his success still has a lot to learn. But I rather ride the hot hand here than avoid it and see him gain 25+ spots of differential with fast lap upside. As a note, this is at Darlington, which isn’t the easiest track to pass at due to its narrow nature. So while differential is enticing, the low lap count in an Xfinity race may offer us less opportunity. This will be a track that benefits more technical skill first. But with technical skill comes differential, so I am not worried about fading the fact that a driver is starting too far back.
Jade Buford – DK: $4,500 – Starting 18th
If you read this article weekly then you know how I usually talk about the value at the Xfinity level being pretty hard to nail down. The Xfinity Series is typically dominated by a select few drivers and the drivers on the bottom typically remain the drivers on the bottom week-to-week. This is mostly a mixture of budget and overall car tuning, as these teams can’t pour the same amount of money into their race cars as some of the top teams. As mentioned above, Darlington isn’t the easiest track to pass at and a lot of drivers are able to hold position all race. While Buford isn’t the most attractive name in the space, his price absolutely is. Buford on the year has an average finish of 24th, but has managed 18th and 19th place finishes over his last two races including four fastest laps last week. While I don’t know if Darlington exactly plays to Buford’s skills – his best finishes have come on superspeedway – Buford has been able to finish all races on the year outside of the Daytona Road Course, where he suffered car issues. At just $4,500 this feels like a negligent price as there are 13 drivers priced ahead of him, who have a worse fantasy point per race average. Don’t expect a ton here, but what we are expecting is a 18-24th place finish, maybe a few fast laps, and the price freedom to attack more expensive drivers to offset his output.
$ Tier D High Ty Gibbs (11.1k / 62.94) Justin Allgaier (10.7k / 48.36) Austin Cindric (9.9k / 32.90) Medium Josh Berry (9.1k / 41.83) Justin Haley (8.7k / 29.99) Brett Moffitt (8.2k / 27.95) Jeb Burton (7.9k / 27.95) Landon Cassill (6.8k / 19.80) Low Bayley Currey (5.8k / 21.60) Gray Gaulding (5.5k / 22.00) Jade Buford (4.5k / 16.89)