The 2021 Wells Fargo Championship : The Primer – PGA DFS Analysis

Featuring in-depth analysis of The 2021 Wells Fargo Championship! Daily fantasy golf analysis for this week’s DFS slate to help you build winning cash game and tournament lineups on DraftKings.

Welcome to The Primer column for The 2021 Wells Fargo Championship! We are here to help you build your DFS lineups for FanDuel, DraftKings or whatever other sites you choose to play on (this article does have a DraftKings bias though).

In case you missed it – you can find my cheat sheet posted for The Wells Fargo Championship on DraftKings!

This week, the tour heads to Quail’s Hollow where the players will tee it up at the Par 71 track that checks in just over 7500 yards for the 2021 Wells Fargo Championship!  With no 2020 event here, Max Homa will be looking to defend his 2019 title here, and we have a solid, but unspectacular field teeing it up this weekend.  The course is pretty long, so we’ll primarily be looking at ball strikers here – focusing on recent form as well as those that have the ability to gain strokes off the tee, and of course with their approach game.   Let’s dive in and look at some of the best options on the board this week to consider mixing into your player pool!

The Best of the best…

  • Xander Schauffele, $10,500

Jon Rahm will probably be the highest owned this week (and I like him too) – but I think that Schauffele is an interesting pivot off of Rahm if you are looking to go with someone that should be lower owned than Rahm.  I love his game, he comes into this one with a 3rd at The Masters and an 11th place finish at The Zurich Classic, coming into this one playing very good, well rounded golf (ranks 3rd on tour in SG: Total).  I think the course is a great fit for him this week, and like his chances of being in the thick of things at the top of the leaderboard come Sunday.

The Next Group

  • Will Zalatoris, $9,400

To put it simply, I think he’s one of the best players in this week’s event.  He isn’t cheap – but everything we have seen from him shows that he’s ready to string together a number of strong showings, and I like his chances of doing that this week.  He ranks 4th on tour in SG: APP, has above average metrics across the board – and ranks 8th on tour in SG: TTG and 16th in SG: Total.  I think he’s legit, and while I wouldn’t expect low ownership levels on him this week – I do think he’ll be lower owned than he should be at this price.

  • Russell Henley, $7,900

He was disappointing last week at the Valspar, shooting dueling 72’s and missing the cut, but I have no problem going back to the well here.  This week’s event is one where you need to be an elite ball striker to contend, and Henley fits that bill to a tee.  He’s above average off of the tee and ranks 6th on tour in SG: APP.  The price point on him has come down quite a bit from the level we saw it at last week, and while there’s a bit of a concern that he will pick up where he left off a week ago, I think his game is a fantastic fit for Quail’s Hollow.  He’s one of the best values on the board in my books.

  • Matthew NeSmith, $7,300

His short game leaves a lot to be desired, but he ranks 9th on tour in SG: APP and the former KFT player is a great value option this week.  He has made 4/5 cuts in his last five events and played four solid rounds at the Valspar a week ago, so he comes into this one with strong form.  I think the course is a great fit for his game, and I like his chances of playing into the weekend – and I don’t think that he is limited to just that.  He has more upside than most at his price point in my opinion.

Don’t Forget About…

  • Justin Suh, $6,100

Anytime you go this deep down the price range, there’s significant risk – but Suh is a very intriguing near min priced option – one that I think will have some ownership levels.  In college, he was right up there with Collin Morikawa, and while the delta between their golf careers is quite significant, he has been playing rock solid golf in a few low-end PGA events so far this season.  Using him opens up a lot from a roster construction standpoint to spend up a little extra on some other spots, and while I don’t think you ‘have’ to go this deep down the well, I do like this spot for him this week.

 

About Brad

Brad hates the term fantasy sports expert, so instead he is someone who specializes in NFL, NHL and MLB DFS notes and analysis. He had a 68.2% win rate in 2015 NFL cash games to go along with a 83.5% win rate for the 2014 season. For NHL he had a 58.7% win rate in the 2015-16 season for cash games and a 66.2% win rate for the 2014-15 season. You can follow him on Twitter @bradsgotmoxy.

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