The NBA Rundown – FanDuel & DraftKings NBA DFS Picks – April 27, 2021 (4/27/21)
In this article, we will be breaking down some of our favorite plays on the slate at their positions. Please note that players on DraftKings have multi-position eligibility and may not always match their position on FanDuel. Remember to always keep your eye on the news as the day progresses as NBA news changes the slate frequently.
Damian Lillard – I like Lillard tonight on DraftKings but not as much as I like him on FanDuel where he is priced down at only $8,300 in salary. Lillard is priced down due to his recent play since coming back from injury. While Lillard has not been bad by any means in those games he just has not had the huge game since his return. It is only a matter of time before that huge game comes and I have a great feeling it comes tonight. The reason why my gut is telling me it comes tonight despite the Pacers being a solid defensive team against point guards is the fact that Lillard has gone for 60 plus fantasy points in two of his past three match-ups against the Pacers.
Edmond Sumner – While Damian Lillard was more of a FanDuel play than DraftKings play, Sumner is the opposite. I don’t love Sumner on FanDuel where he is $5,500 in salary but don’t see how you don’t roster him on DraftKings at only $4,000 in salary based on the way he has played the past two games. In those two games, Sumner has played at least 34 minutes in each game and is averaging 21.5 points, four rebounds, two assists, and a steal. Sumner has at least 32 fantasy points in each of those games and has at least 27 fantasy points in three of his past four games.
Marcus Smart– Shooting guard is kind of ugly tonight but one player stands out for me as one of the best options at the position. That player is Smart due to Kemba Walker being out for Boston. This season in the 16 games that Smart has played that Walker has missed, Smart is averaging 13.5 points, 3.2 rebounds, 6.1 assists, 2.1 steals+blocks, and 30.58 fantasy points. Smart not only gets the boost with Walker but you have to love the match-up against the Thunder. The Thunder have allowed the most fantasy points per game to both point guards and shooting guards over their past 30 games.
Jaylen Brown – Jayson Tatum and Kemba Walker are out for Boston tonight and that makes Brown one of the top plays on this slate. This season with both of those players off the court, Brown has a usage rate of 35.1% and is averaging 1.34 fantasy points per minute. If we look at just what Brown has done in games that Tatum has missed we will see that in those six games Brown is averaging 29 points, 5.7 rebounds, 3.8 assists, a steal, and 43.05 fantasy points.
Kevin Porter– John Wall is going to miss the rest of the season for the Rockets while Porter is expected to be back in the lineup after missing some games after visiting a strip club during the Rockets road trip to Miami. With Wall out assuming that he is not on a minutes restriction in his first game back, I am all over Porter. Since joining the Rockets, Porter has a usage rate of 28.0% and is averaging 1.04 fantasy points per minute with Eric Gordon who is also injured, Wall, and Victor Oladipo who of course was traded to the Heat off the floor. Porter not only gets the boost with those players injured or no longer with the team but the Wolves are a team to pick on with guards. This season the Wolves rank in the bottom five in defensive efficiency and fantasy points allowed per game to both point guards and shooting guards.
Khem Birch – I was high on Birch last night and he paid off for me with 14 points, six rebounds, two blocks, and two steals on his way to 34.7 fantasy points. That was the seventh-straight game that Birch was able to produce over 22 fantasy points and he is averaging 30.8 fantasy points in the two games since Chris Boucher went down with an injury. With Boucher still out and a positive match-up against a Nets team that has struggled against centers once again this season ranking in the bottom ten in both fantasy points allowed per game and defensive efficiency to the position, I don’t see any reason why Birch slows down tonight.
Jaden McDaniels – McDaniels has not put up huge fantasy numbers this season or as of late but he is on my radar for two major reasons. The first is due to the number of minutes McDaniels is playing. McDaniels has played at least 30 minutes in four straight games for the Wolves. The second reason is due to the match-up against the Rockets. The Rockets are just not a good team this season and while they have been league average against power forwards this season they do rank dead last in team rebounding rate which should help McDaniels. McDaniels also already played well against them in their two previous meetings. In those meetings, McDaniels averaged 14 points, three rebounds, 1.5 blocks, and 22.85 fantasy points. At just $4,100 in salary on FanDuel and $3,600 in salary on DraftKings if McDaniels has similar production tonight as he did in those last two games he will easily pay off his salary.
Jusuf Nurkic – I like Nurkic better on DraftKings where he is only $6,800 in salary compared to FanDuel where he is $8,200 in salary but even on FanDuel Nurkic is my favorite center. Nurkic is my favorite center due to the way he has played in his last two games. In those two games, Nurkic is averaging 21 points, 18 rebounds, five assists, 1.5 blocks, and a steal. Nurkic has at least 53 fantasy points in both of those games. Nurkic is not just playing lights out right now but I love the match-up with the Pacers. The Pacers were already an elite match-up for centers as they allowed the most fantasy points per game, have the ninth-worst defensive efficiency to centers, and the second-worst team rebounding rate, and are now without both Domantas Sabonis and Myles Turner.