The NBA Rundown – FanDuel & DraftKings NBA DFS Picks – April 26, 2021 (4/26/21)
In this article, we will be breaking down some of our favorite plays on the slate at their positions. Please note that players on DraftKings have multi-position eligibility and may not always match their position on FanDuel. Remember to always keep your eye on the news as the day progresses as NBA news changes the slate frequently.
Cory Joseph – I don’t know why the Pistons are playing Joseph over their top ten pick Killian Hayes in a lost season but that is for another time. In this article, all we focus on is the here and now and Joseph has played at least 29 minutes in six of his past seven games. In those six games that Joesph has played at least 29 minutes, Joesph has produced at least 22 fantasy points in each game and is averaging 32.7 fantasy points. That makes Joseph a great play at his $5,000 salary on both sites.
Darius Garland – Garland is playing some of if not the best basketball in his young career. Over his past ten games, Garland is averaging 23.9 points, 2.7 rebounds, 7.1 assists, and 1.4 steals. Garland has at least 29 fantasy points in each of those games and is averaging 40.19 fantasy points per game during this stretch. Garland is not only playing well but he is going to get a boost if Collin Sexton who missed yesterday’s game with a concussion is still out tonight. Since Andre Drummond left the team in February Garland has a usage rate of 26.9% and is averaging 1.03 fantasy points per minute with Sexton off the court.
Paul George– There are a lot of studs on this slate but George might be my favorite of the bunch. George has at least 50 fantasy points in seven of his past eight games and sees the huge boost with Kawhi Leonard out. This season when not sharing the court with Leonard, George has a usage rate of 35.9% and is averaging 1.29 fantasy points per minute. If we look at just the nine games that George has played that Leonard has not we will also see huge numbers from George. In those games, George is averaging 28.9 points, 7.8 rebounds, 5.2 assists, and a steal. George has at least 50 fantasy points in each of the past five games that Leonard has missed this season.
Tyrese Haliburton – Haliburton is going to be the highest owned player on this slate unless some major injury news comes out and I am going to be eating the chalk on Haliburton as he is not priced correctly with De’Aaron Fox being out. With Fox out, Haliburton is going to start as he did last night. In that game, Haliburton played 37 minutes and put up a 24/3/8 stat line on his way to 41.6 fantasy points. Now I know what you guys are saying that is only one game but if you look at Haliburton’s numbers this season as a starter you will see he has this in him. Haliburton is averaging 14.8 points, 2.5 rebounds, 5.4 assists, and 28.28 fantasy points in his 16 starts this year.
Bogdan Bogdanovic – Bogdanovic has been putting up huge numbers as of late for the Hawks. In his past ten games, Bogdanovic has produced at least 38 fantasy points in eight of the ten games. Tonight I don’t expect we see Bogdanovic slow down at all for two reasons. The first of those reasons is while there is a small chance that Trae Young comes back tonight all signs point towards Young being out for a third straight game. In the past two games with Young out, Bogdanovic is averaging 26.5 points, two rebounds, 5.5 assists, and two steals. For the season with Young off the court, Bogdanovic has seen an increase of usage of 3.2% and is averaging 0.98 fantasy points per minute. The second reason I don’t expect Bogdanovic to slow down is the match-up against the Pistons. The Pistons just are not a good team and this season they rank in the bottom half of the league in both fantasy points allowed per game and defensive efficiency to wing players.
Bojan Bogdanovic– The other Bogdanovic in the NBA is another player that I really like tonight. Bojan has also been playing well as of late and in his past seven games, he is averaging 23.1 points, 3.6 rebounds, and 2.1 assists. Bojan has at least 28 fantasy points in all but one of those games. Like Bogdan Bojan also gets a boost due to the star of his team being injured. For Bojan, that player is Donovan Mitchell. This season with Mitchell off the court, Bojan has seen an increase in usage of 3.0% and an increase in fantasy points per minute of 0.15. Both of those numbers are the largest increases on the Jazz.
Khem Birch – Birch has played at least 24 minutes in each of the Raptors’ past six games and has put up solid numbers in that time frame. In those six games, Birch is averaging 9.5 points, 6.5 rebounds, 1.3 assists, 2.5 steals+blocks, and 25.8 fantasy points. While I like those numbers they are not the reason why Birch is in this article. Birch is in this article due to Chris Boucher being out. With Boucher out last game, Birch played 32 minutes and had 26.9 fantasy points. That kind of production tonight would easily pay off his $5,000 salary on FanDuel and $4,800 salary on DraftKings.
Daniel Gafford – Gafford is not playing a ton of minutes for the Wizards and normally I don’t like to roster players who don’t play a lot of minutes as minutes are king in the NBA. I especially don’t like to roster players who don’t play a lot of minutes as expensive of a player asGafford is on FanDuel. With that being said I am all over Gafford on DraftKings where he is only $3,900 in salary compared to the $5,100 in salary on FanDuel. Frankly I don’t even mind if you roster him on FanDuel as despite the lack of minutes Gafford is producing. Since rejoining the Wizards rotation nine games ago, Gafford is averaging 11.1 points, 6.3 rebounds, a steal, and 2.1 blocks in his 19.4 minutes of action. Gafford has at least 20 fantasy points in all but one of those games and is averaging 1.46 fantasy points per minute during this stretch. The Spurs are also a solid match-up for Gafford as they rank in the bottom half of the league in defensive efficiency and fantasy points allowed per game to big men.
Bam Adebayo – I was on Adebayo on Saturday when the Heat played the Bulls and he paid off for me. In that game, Adebayo went for 20/6/10 with two steals on his way to 47.2 fantasy points. That game was the third time in his past four games that Adebayo was able to produce at least 45 fantasy points. Tonight I see no reason why Adebayo doesn’t keep up his hot play as the Heat play the Bulls again. For those of you who did not read Saturday’s article the Bulls struggle against centers. This season they have allowed the eighth-most fantasy points per game and have the worst defensive efficiency against the position.
Mason Plumlee – Assuming that Plumlee is able to play for the Pistons as he has been playing what seems like every other game lately he looks to be one of the better dollar-for-dollar plays on this slate as he has been putting up huge numbers lately. In his past two games, Plumlee is averaging 15 points, 18.5 rebounds, six assists, and a block. Plumlee has at least 40 fantasy points in each of those games. I did want to say that I do have a slight concern with the match-up for Plumlee against the Hawks especially if Clint Capela is able to play. Capela is one of the better defenders and rebounders in the NBA and that could affect Plumlee’s production tonight but at under $6,000 in salary, I think he is worth the risk based on those past two games.