DraftKings & FanDuel NASCAR DFS – Toyota Owners 400 – April 18, 2021
Kyle Busch – DK: $10,000 | FD: $12,000 – Starting 10th
We head to Richmond this week and the 0.75-mile track. Kyle Busch hasn’t been the dominant driver we have known over the past few seasons, but he still is finishing high enough with six top-tens in ten races this year and an early-season win at the Clash. If there is any track that can really get Busch back to his winning ways though it is going to be Richmond as he grades out as the highest-rated driver there historically. Busch in 30 races here, has an average finish of 6.77 – this is 29 of his 30 races finishing top 20, 23 finishing top 10, 18 finishing top 5, and six total wins. Busch hasn’t finished outside the top ten here in his last six races and took the checkered flag in both races here in 2018. His last race here in September of 2020 he finished sixth and only led four laps, but the previous five races before that Busch led at least 32 laps in each, with 202, 101, and 92 in his latter race in 2018 through 2019. A crazy stat for me is Busch does not have a DNF at this track, finishing all 30 of his races here. Busch is the sixth most expensive driver on this slate, which actually lets us save a little compared to $1,000+ prices above him. The starting spot of tenth also offers us up some wiggle room here and upside. The next closest total wins at Richmond are three by Hamlin and Harvick, while Busch has them doubled at six.
Daniel Suarez – DK: $6,600 | FD: $5,300 – Starting 27th
Suarez has quietly been having a career resurgence year as he joined the newly formed Trackhouse Racing Team in 2021. Suarez pulled a fourth-place finish at the Bristol Dirt race, while finishing 17th, 21st, 26th, 15th, and 16th in his five races prior. Looking at Martinsville last week we see a 32nd place finish off an 11th position start, but this was due to Suarez being pushed to the back of the field for a failed inspection and then ultimately knocked out in a wreck. So while Suarez finished with single-digit fantasy points, he still managed 34 of the fastest laps in the field. In fact, there have only been two races all season where Suarez hasn’t at least led a lap or had a fastest lap in the field. Suarez has seven career races at Richmond, with six of them being top-20 finishes and three being top-1o. All in all, Suarez has an average finish of 14.5 here at Richmond. With a cheap price on the board, a healthy starting position for the price, and his current form (and strong team), Suarez has a sneaky good car that has been able to compete this year due to his speed. Suarez in a recent interview quoted saying that he enjoys racing at Richmond and views it as a good track for him – most drivers will say something similar, but I always believe confidence is a big thing for any driver and being at a track you are comfortable with is an added bonus.
$ Tier D High Brad Keselowski (12k / 69.73) (13.5k / 69.73) Denny Hamlin (11k / 57.54) (13k / 57.54) Joey Logano (10.6k / 57.99) (12.5k / 57.99) Kyle Busch (10k / 60.89) (12k / 60.89) Medium Alex Bowman (8.8k / 53.74) (9k / 53.74) Austin Cindric (8.6k / 43.31) (6k / 43.31) Kurt Busch (8.3k / 49.84) (8.8k / 49.84) Aric Almirola (8.2k / 45.91) (7.8k / 45.91) Christopher Bell (7.8k / 39.45) (9.2k / 39.45) Low Cole Custer (6.8k / 38.07) (6.5k / 38.07) Daniel Suarez (6.6k / 29.85) (5.3k / 29.85) Ryan Preece (5.6k / 16.44) (4k / 16.44)