The 2021 RBC Heritage : The Primer – PGA DFS Analysis

Featuring in-depth analysis of The 2021 RBC Heritage! Daily fantasy golf analysis for this week’s DFS slate to help you build winning cash game and tournament lineups on DraftKings.

Welcome to The Primer column for The 2021 RBC Heritage Classic! We are here to help you build your DFS lineups for FanDuel, DraftKings or whatever other sites you choose to play on (this article does have a DraftKings bias though).

In case you missed it – you can find my cheat sheet posted for The RBC Heritage Classic!

The Masters is in the books with Hideki Matsuyama picking up the win, holding off Xander Schauffele and Will Zalatoris in last week’s event.  The golf season rolls along though as the players head to Hilton Head this week at Harbor Town Golf Links where they will tee it up at the Par 71 track that checks in at just over 7100 yards – so distance isn’t necessarily a ‘key’ stat when it comes to picking golfers and evaluating stats this week.  Instead, I’ll be looking for players who throw darts out there (SG: APP) and who have the ability to score around the greens.  Let’s dive in and take a deeper dive into five of my favourite options for The 2021 RBC Heritage Classic!

Last Week’s Picks:

  • Bryson DeChambeau – T46
  • Patrick Reed – T8
  • Daniel Berger – MC
  • Corey Conners – T8
  • Ryan Palmer – T34

The Best of the best…

  • Webb Simpson, $10,700

I don’t tout Simpson often.  In fact, it feels weird to start this piece with him and I really didn’t want to.  Convinced?  Yea, me neither.  The fact of the matter is that the field isn’t too strong here, Webb is one of the better options in the field, and his game fits the course extremely well, evidenced by his outstanding track record at this event, which includes a win here last season and another top 5 finish in 2018.  His ball striking hasn’t been outstanding this season, but is still above average (which is a fair bit above average in this field), and he is elite around the green – ranking 8th on tour in SG: ATG and 13th in SG: Putting.  I think he’s a great core option to start a fair number of line-ups with this week.

The Next Group

  • Corey Conners, $9,300

I’m going back to the well here for a third straight week.  Quite frankly, at this point – I think he is one of the better golfers in this tournament and the price point is reasonable  (you can skip ahead if you want to take that at face value and save some time)……if not – He ranks 13th on tour in SG: APP, and is a little bit better than average putter.  He’s not great in SG: ATG, but in this tournament with the lower quality field, he likely bumps up into the ‘average’ range.  He ranks 10th in SG: OTT, and while I don’t think that’s a ‘key’ metric this week, there’s no question it certainly helps.

  • Harris English, $8,400

The ball striking from English has been worse so far this season than the elite metrics that we saw from him last season – but he still checks in above average in gaining strokes on the field in all key metrics, and remains an elite putter, checking in ranked 35th.  The price point here is quite affordable and I was expecting him to be over $9k in this one.  He struggled for a good chunk of time in February, but I really liked what I saw from him last week at the Masters where he finished 21st.  His game looked much more like what we saw from him last year vs. the funk that he was in early in 2021.  I like him to build off of last week’s showing and I think he has a good chance of being in the thick of things on the leaderboard as we head into the weekend at this week’s event.

  • Russell Henley, $7,900

My favourite dollar for dollar option this week.  An elite ball striker (6th in SG: APP), an above average putter (50th in SG: Putting) – this is a great spot for him in a week field event.  Quite frankly, he has been one of the better players on tour so far this season in terms of metrics, ranking 17th on tour in SG: Total.  The price point here is outstanding, and he comes into this one with his most recent tournament being a 3rd place showing at The Honda Classic.  I like his chances of keeping things rolling this week down in Hilton Head.

Don’t Forget About…

  • Mackenzie Hughes, $7,000

He’s not a good ball striker, but has an elite short game, led by his 12th place ranking on tour in SG: Putting.  I’ve found him to be quite streaky over his career, and touted him a fair bit late last summer into the fall when he went on quite a run through the FedEx Cup playoffs.  I like what I’ve seen from his game of late: he played outstanding golf at the WGC Dell Match Play, making it through his pool in an upset, and while he didn’t exactly tear it up at The Masters, he faired better than I thought he would have at a course that wasn’t a really good fit for him.  I like Hughes when he’s playing well, especially in weak field events, and I think that Harbor Town is a great fit for his game.  He won’t be popular – and if you just can stomach his SG: TTG metrics, you can easily pivot to one of the more chalky options in the $7,000-$7,500 range such as Cameron Davis, or Sebastian Munoz.

 

 

About Brad

Brad hates the term fantasy sports expert, so instead he is someone who specializes in NFL, NHL and MLB DFS notes and analysis. He had a 68.2% win rate in 2015 NFL cash games to go along with a 83.5% win rate for the 2014 season. For NHL he had a 58.7% win rate in the 2015-16 season for cash games and a 66.2% win rate for the 2014-15 season. You can follow him on Twitter @bradsgotmoxy.

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