NHL DFS Primer for Wednesday, March 31st on DraftKings

NHL DFS Primer | Wednesday, March 31st, 2021 on DraftKings

Looking for help building line-ups for NHL DFS on DraftKings or FanDuel tonight? Let’s take a look at some of the best plays on the board for tonight’s action!

Wednesday night gives us six games on the schedule, with a couple of teams that will probably be popular.  Tonight, we’ll switch gears a little bit, doing a quick run down of each of the six games on the schedule with some ways to approach building line-ups on Wednesday night!

Toronto (-120) @ Winnipeg, Total: 6

The Leafs travel a little bit west tonight to take on the Jets in a tight game with a projected total of six, tied for the highest on the slate.  The Leafs have struggled to put pucks back Hellebuyck in a couple of games this year – but I still expect Matthews (and TOR1/TOR PP1) to be among the highest owned on the slate tonight.  I do think there’s a compelling case to focus elsewhere given this, but Matthews remains an elite option.  The top line/PP unit is my only real area of interest for Toronto.

I like the spot here for the Jets.  Let’s be honest, the Leafs are not an elite defensive club and as slight dogs in a game with a high projected total, the spot here is quite intriguing for the Jets.  My favourite line for them is the Dubois-Conner-Ehlers group, who skate on the second line – but in MME formats, I think you’ll want a fair bit of exposure to WPG1 as well.  On the back-end, I’m a fan of Pionk over Morrisey – but both are worth keeping in your MME player pools.

Philadelphia (-170) @ Buffalo, Total: 6

The Flyers check in as large favourites in a game with a high total, and at their price points – I am expecting them to be one of the highest owned stacks tonight.  The match-up is arguably as good as any can be across the league, and I continue to like PHI PP1 or PHI2 as my favourite ways to get expsoure here.  Please note that Gostibehere got waived, so I’d expect that Provorov should probably see time with the top PP unit if I had to guess, and he’s an excellent mid-priced option on the back-end tonight.

The Sabres lit the lamp three times and have the potential to fly under the radar going up against a Flyers team that has been dismal at both defending and goaltending of late.  The value potential is here, but just keep in mind they are the worst team in hockey, so I wouldn’t go nuts here in MME formats.  The Hall line is the only line that really interests me here, though some BUF PP1 exposure isn’t the worst idea in the world as your low spend stack as part of builds tonight.  Dahlin on the back-end sees time with the top PP unit and is worth bolting on to some BUF stacks if you end up going that route as the price point is outstanding.

Arizona @ Colorado (-300), Total: 5.5

The top line for the Avs is worth heavy exposure here, along with Makar on the back-end.  If you wanted to bolt on another piece on the top PP unit, Donskoi has been playing outstanding and for $4k on the wing – he’s a great value play that can be bolted on to COL1, or added to save some salary over either of the wingers (Rantanen as the more expensive one makes a lot of sense).  Donskoi has been shooting the puck at a healthy clip, and I like the idea of getting him into some builds tonight.  Outside of COL1/COL PP1 –  I don’t have too much interest here.

As for the Coyotes, the match-up is tough here and unless you want to take a contrarian approach and roll with Hill between the pipes under the premise that he gets peppered with shots and holds up well – I have no problem opting for a fade here.

LA Kings @ Vegas (-210), Total: 5.5

The Golden Knights have two strong lines, but largely have been disappointing in DFS circles so far this season.  They are big favourites and at reasonable prices, I think they’ll be popular tonight.  I’ve thought in many instances lately that a game theory fade is on the table to strongly consider for the Golden Knights, and that holds true yet again tonight.  I wouldn’t blame anyone that wanted to go stacking with VGK1, VGK2 or VGK PP1 – but I do think the upside is intriguing to focus exposure elsewhere…for me, if I went with one line it would be VGK2 in this one with Theodore and Martinez on the back-end.

As for the Kings, the Golden Knights are a great defensive club and one that I generally don’t target.  I think you can opt for a fade here on the Kings tonight – but if you did want to get some exposure to one line here, it would be the top line/PP unit – but I would keep it to single digit ownership levels.

Calgary (-105) @ Vancouver, Total: 5.5

If you were looking to remove a game from teh slate, this one would be my favourite.  The Flames are involved in plenty of low scoring games, and as a stout defensive club, I don’t think the odds are high that this one turns into a track meet.  I will say, for the Flames, Mark Giordano has been an elite, high floor, high ceiling option on the back-end, and even if you do cut out the Flames from your builds, I would manually add him back in on the back-end.  He’s one of my favourites on the board.

As for the Canucks, the Horvat line is the only line that I’d consider here – but I wouldn’t go nuts with exposure.  They don’t break the bank, won’t be too popular in terms of ownership levels – and could be a nice contrarian twist when many in the field will be loading up on stacks in other games.  I still think if push came to shove, I’d opt for a fade of this game altogether (outside of Giordano) – but I did want to point out the potential upside here from a game theory standpoint with the Horvat line.

Minnesota (-140) @ San Jose, Total: 5.5

The Wild are solid road favourites tonight going up against a Sharks team that struggles to keep goals off the board.  For the Wild, I keep banging the same drum.  Not much interest up the middle, but that I have interest in the wingers on the top PP unit (Zuccarello, Kaprizov, Fiala).  For me, my preferred way to get exposure to them would be stacking 2-3 of these options and to mix in the odd bit of exposure to Spurgeon on the back end.  In this spot against the Sharks, I like how the slate is setting up for the Wild tonight.

As for the Sharks, their top line/PP unit is worth keeping in your builds, though generally I don’t like to target the Wild too much.  I’d keep ownership levels to a minimum – but, I wouldn’t blame anyone that did want to load up on Evander Kane and company – there have been times where this line has broken the slate, though they have been pretty quiet in the last three games.

This article focuses more on stacking rather than one off plays….if you would like to see my favourite options on an individual level for tonight’s slate, make sure to check out the NHL Cheat Sheet – which will be out later on today!

About Brad

Brad hates the term fantasy sports expert, so instead he is someone who specializes in NFL, NHL and MLB DFS notes and analysis. He had a 68.2% win rate in 2015 NFL cash games to go along with a 83.5% win rate for the 2014 season. For NHL he had a 58.7% win rate in the 2015-16 season for cash games and a 66.2% win rate for the 2014-15 season. You can follow him on Twitter @bradsgotmoxy.

Check Also

NHL DFS Cheat Sheet | Thursday, April 15th, 2021 on DraftKings

NHL DFS Cheat Sheets | Thursday, April 15th, 2021 Looking for a quick consolidated list …