The NBA Rundown – FanDuel & DraftKings NBA DFS Picks – March 30, 2021 (3/30/21)
In this article, we will be breaking down some of our top plays on the DFS slate at their positions.
Please note that players on DraftKings have multi-position eligibility and may not always match their position on FanDuel. Remember to always keep your eye on the news as the day progresses as NBA news changes the slate frequently.
Russell Westbrook – It’s nearly impossible for us to fade Westbrook right now, including the fact that he just had an absolutely historic night in his last game. In that one, he finished with 88.3 FP in 39 minutes against Indy, sporting a ridiculous 35-14-21 line with 3 steals+blocks. While the 31.7% usage seems high, that’s actually been one of his lower overall numbers in the last few weeks (33% average in his last 5 games). In a potential barn burner one day later vs the Hornets, he should be able to keep going with his elite 22-13.6-13-1.6-1.0 line (in 36.4 MPG over his last 5) and put up a massive game yet again – especially if Bradley Beal sits out (given his usage jumps +7.5% to 39.1% in the split).
Terry Rozier – This game is ripe for stacking, and that’s where Rozier makes total sense to me as another piece of this one. He’s been playing fantastic basketball for Charlotte since losing LaMelo Ball, averaging over 41 FPPG (last 4 games) as the clear go-to leader of their offense. His usage rate of 25.7% against a 37.3 MPG average in that period are great baselines – not to mention a 24.3-5.3-5.5 line with nearly 1.5 steals+blocks as well. The volume, confidence and game dynamic (bottom third opposing defensive efficiency vs PGs for WAS) are all there for the taking tonight at a price that won’t break the bank.
Devonte’ Graham – He’s my favorite play at the position tonight on both sites, and is an absolute steal right now on FD in particular for his $5,300 price tag. He’s looking like the guy who was a stud for the Hornets for much of last season, and is coming off a 30 point night in 39 minutes 2 days ago vs PHX. What I love to see is the minutes totals to go along with the usage, marking 30 and 39 in his last 2 with 29.1% and 29.2% usage in those tilts. The Wizards are the second worst defensive efficiency team against opposing SGs tonight and third worst in the league, too.
Terance Mann – Let’s just play out the potential situation we could find ourselves in here if Beverley, George, Rondo and Ibaka are all banged up here. That would thrust Mann into a nice situation where he’s produced pretty well lately, chipping in across the board and playing over 30 MPG on average in his last 3 (right around 1 FPPM). He’ll most likely come off the bench and average around a 16% usage rate, but rebounds well for a guard and is selective from the field, too. At $4,700 and with a 30 FPPG average in his last 3 with the potential for that to come back around if George is hurt – I like him as a value at the position that could be depleted at the higher end (Beal and George both potentially out).
Kawhi Leonard – He has a team-best 31.% usage rate when Ibaka, George, Beverley and Rondo are off the floor this year – a split the Clippers could easily find themselves in tonight. When that situation shows itself, Kawhi averages nearly 1.5 FPPM. Leonard is an elite option for under $9,000 on DK today with SF eligibility in a premium spot against a rebuilding Magic club. If George is out in particular, Kawhi should feast early and often and hit the 45+ point mark, even if his minutes are going to be a bit more capped in a potential blowout situation. Marcus Morris is a nice value pivot for the Clippers on DK if you need him, too.
Deni Avdija – It’s a bit of a high-low attack at SF on a 4 game slate, and I’m not shy to give some love to the risky but intriguing rookie who is all of a sudden back in the starting unit. For under $3,700 on both FD and DK we get the opportunity to roster a guy averaging just shy of 30 MPG in his last 2 games, doing a nice job hitting shots from the field and chipping in on the glass as well (21.5 FPPG in that time). Nothing flashy here as a potential single digit usage player, but in a game we want exposure to at a position that is fairly thin – I’m more than happy to look his way given the 6+ ROI potential while the minutes are there.
Chuma Okeke – It looks like Chuma is going to be the more sure thing between he and Khem Birch in the new look Magic rotation that is now without Fournier, Gordon and Vucevic. He’s started his last 2 games and is averaging nearly 20% usage with 33.5 MPG (33.45 FPPG). He’s got game from downtown as well, which we’ve seen in purts during his rookie yet – but is dialing up the efficiency and volume (7 for 12 in his last 2) to complement a fairly well-rounded stat line in the points/rebounds/assists departments. For under $6,000 today on a shorter slate while the stock is pointing up, he’s an easy mid-range value to get behind.
Tobias Harris – I definitely need to have some Harris action for the Sixers tonight given his outlook as a primary scorer for Philly in a great matchup is highly attractive. This is the weakest defense in the league and on the slate against PFs, ranking dead last in defensive efficiency at the position. Meanwhile, his usage rate should lead the charge at PF and he’s only $400 more than John Collins on FD who is in a far tougher spot vs PHX. Harris is a +3.8% usage rate gainer with Joel Embiid off the floor this year (28% overall) and averages a team-best 1.23 FPPM in the split. Great matchup and great minutes/usage outlook here, with elite upside overall.
Deandre Ayton – Dwight Howard/Bismack Biyombo and Nikola Jokic stand at opposite ends of the pricing spectrum at C tonight, and are certainly viable in GPPs. However, the one that I feel most confident about is Ayton given his recent stretch of 5 straight games with at least 30 FP. The presence of Clint Capela could cap the rebound upside a little bit here, but remaining highly efficient on the glass (offensively and defensively) with nice contributions in the scoring department in one of the best games for exposure give me confidence the strong run will continue. He’s a great mid-range option on DK this evening and has come down a bit in salary on FD, too.