The NBA Rundown – FanDuel & DraftKings NBA DFS Picks – March 29, 2021 (3/29/21)
In this article, we will be breaking down some of our top plays on the DFS slate at their positions.
Please note that players on DraftKings have multi-position eligibility and may not always match their position on FanDuel. Remember to always keep your eye on the news as the day progresses as NBA news changes the slate frequently.
Saben Lee – Jerami Grant is hurt. Killian Hayes and Dennis Smith Jr are both out. Delon Wright has been traded. That leaves Lee as one of the last men standing for the Pistons tonight which is a fruitful opportunity for Lee – even with Cory Joseph in the fold off the bench. They will give Lee another opportunity to play around 25 minutes tonight against the Raptors, and he looked very good in his first NBA start on Saturday (27.5 FP on 6-5-5-2-1). He’s under $4,000 on both sites playing against a Toronto club who is playing their second game in as many days – and has been one of the more generous defenses vs the PG position this year. As far as values go, he’s chalky but a rock solid one given the pretty easy path to a 6+ ROI floor.
Theo Maledon – With Al Horford and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander off the floor this year, Maledon has a +3.1% usage rate bump (19.9%) with a team-best 24% assist share. With the Thunder trading away Diallo, SGA being hurt and Luguentz Dort also sidelined – that number jumps +5.3% to 22.1% usage and 25.8% assist share. We’ve seen what Maledon can do in spurts for the Thunder this year, and with another game where he could easily see 35 or so minutes yet again, he’s hard to fade for under $5,800 on both sites.
Donovan Mitchell – Even at an elevated price on both sites where Mitchell is now over the $9,000 mark, I have a hard time fading the stud Jazz guard with the way he’s playing at the moment. In his last 6 games, he is averaging over 50 FPPG with 32.4 MPG and an elite 35.1% usage rate. That’s been good for a line of 33.3-4.7-6.3-1.5 with less than 3 turnovers a game, getting to the charity stripe at an elite clip as well (95%) and shooting over 55% from the field, too. He’s locked in right now and should have no problem leading an absolute thrashing of the Cavs tonight. The only potential downside here is a blowout (-15 for the Jazz at home). But based on historical data, he’s still been highly productive even with a double-digit Vegas spread leaning his team’s way (47.7+ FP in each of his last 4 games in that specific split) – so you can still play him with confidence.
Fred VanVleet – If Kyle Lowry is going to miss this one yet again for the Raptors, VanVleet will be asked to play big minutes once again for the Raptors at a very fair price (sub-$8,000 on both sites). Though he may be a bit tired after nearly 40 minutes last night in a tough loss to the Blazers, the Pistons are in full rebuild mode and do not have the defensive prowess other than Mason Plumlee really to keep him at bay. VanVleet has a team-high 24.2% usage rate without games where Lowry is sitting this year (8 GP), averaging almost 1.1 FPPM. Things are looking up here, especially on FD with a great price point. For cheaper alternatives, Tyrese Haliburton and Marcus Smart are a couple strong GPP targets.
Saddiq Bey – His last 5 games have really been a sign of things to come for the Pistons, and we get him in another spot against the Raptors tonight that he absolutely went off when they last met. His 18.8% usage and 32.6 MPG are strong baselines for a mid-range value coming into this one. Even though he can be a little ‘on and off’ depending on the matchup, he dropped over 51 fantasy points vs Toronto when they last met just over a week ago (28-12 with 2 steals). That’s worth investing in on FD in particular for his $4,800 salary (better left for GPPs).
Brandon Ingram – I like the $7,700 on DK tonight for Ingram, who owns one of the best usage rates and minute combos at the position in DFS right now. The last time these 2 teams played, he went for over 42 fantasy points on 24.1% usage, and is playing in a top 3 game for DFS exposure (230.5 total in this one). A pretty safe path to a 5+ ROI on both sites is in store for Ingram as he’ll have no problem taking advantage of the Celtics’ average defensive efficiency against the position (which is really an on-court mismatch based on Ingram’s style of play). OG Anunoby is an elite pivot here if you prefer spending down a bit for a guy whose been on fire lately.
Dean Wade – While the Cavs are without Jarrett Allen, they’ll look to Wade to continue playing meaningful minutes off the bench with the second unit. He’s now played 23+ minutes in 4 straight games for the Cavs, averaging just over 24 FPPG in that span (just over 1.0 FPPM). The $3,800 salary on FanDuel makes him one of the best (but chalky) values in DFS tonight.
Jae’Sean Tate – The departure of Victor Oladipo at the trade deadline in a way shows some minutes commitment to Tate, who has really looked good to start his NBA career. His last 2 game have seen him play 39 and 33 minutes, and while the usage isn’t going to necessarily drive the bus here, it’s his steals, blocks and rebounding contributions while being efficient from the field that will keep him as a higher-end DFS target for the moment. He’s under $5,700 on both sites and shapes up as a strong 30+ FP target.
Moses Brown – His price has risen in the wake of the Al Horford news quite a bit, but there’s still plenty of upside baked into the salary for under $7,000. He’s averaging 42.2 FPPG over his last 3 games (FanDuel) while playing 32.5 MPG (14.7-17.7-0) with 2.7 steals+blocks to his name. This kind of defensive and offensive rebounding efficiency is hard to pass up for the salary while the ROI target is still well over 6x at his current levels on FD and DK.
Myles Turner – Although he’s been very hit or miss overall this season, the salary he sits at tonight in a good matchup against the Wizards is hard to ignore. He’s eclipsed the 35+ FPPG mark in 3 of his last 4 games, and affects the floor in so many ways. In his last 4, he’s averaging 29.2 MPG, 9.3 PPG, 5.8 REB, 1.8 APG and 5.0 (yes, five) BPG. Look for him to patrol the paint tonight against Russell Westbrook and company while chipping in nicely on offense, and don’t be surprised to see him put up 35+ FP on both sites.