The 2021 Honda Classic: The Primer – PGA DFS Analysis

Featuring in-depth analysis of The 2021 Honda Classic. Daily fantasy golf analysis for this week’s DFS slate to help you build winning cash game and tournament lineups on DraftKings.

Welcome to The Primer column for The 2021 Honda Classic! We are here to help you build your DFS lineups for FanDuel, DraftKings or whatever other sites you choose to play on (this article does have a DraftKings bias though).

In case you missed it – you can find my cheat sheet posted for The 2021 Honda Classic!

Last week we saw Justin Thomas rally to pick up the win, narrowly holding off Lee Westwood and Bryson DeChambeau.  This week, the players tee it up in Palm Beach Florida at The Honda Classic, where Sungjae Im will try and defend his title.  The PGA National isn’t an overly long course, slightly clearing 7,000 yards, checking in as a Par 70.  Last year, Im won the event at six under – and with only two Par 5’s in play here, I’m not anticipating the players to go really low here this year, either.  I’ll be looking at SG: APP, SG: Putting and SG: ATG as my main metrics this week – though I wouldn’t penalize anyone for being great off the tee, especially if they are accurate…that’s never a bad thing.

Let’s have a look at some of my favourite plays on the board!

Last Week’s Picks

  • Xander Schauffele – cut
  • Jordan Spieth – T48
  • Matthew Fitzpatrick – T9
  • Will Zalatoris – 21
  • Sam Burns – cut

The Best of the Best

  • Daniel Berger, $10,800

Narrative alert – he resides in Palm Beach Florida, so the course here will be one that he is quite familar with.  While his history at this event is far from elite – he did manage to contend last time that he played here, finishing 4th.  If you follow this piece, you know that I’m a fan of Berger, and although his play around the green has been below average so far this season, he still checks in ranked 18th on tour in SG: Total, which is one of the better metrics in the field for this week’s event.  That, in combination with his familiarity with the course has me liking his chances this week.

Others to Consider…

  • Doug Ghim, $8,800

Ghim is mediocre off the tee and excellent in all other phases of the game, led by his approach game (25th on tour in SG: APP).  He’s solid around the green and with his putting and ranks 29th on tour in SG: TTG and 32 in SG: Total.  The price point here is enough to keep his ownership levels from getting too out of hand, but given his recent form – I don’t mind paying this price point for him in a field like this one.  Given the fact that he really hasn’t broken through with multiple high finishes, I have a feeling he’ll check in lower owned than he should be in this event – but either way, I like this spot for him a lot this week.

  • Kevin Streelman, $7,700

Streelman missed the cut at The PLAYERS, but I have no problem giving him a mulligan this week in a weaker field event.  The price point here is extremely attractive, and he is one of the better ball strikers in the sub $8k price range, ranked 51st on tour in SG: APP.  I think his game is a good fit for the course here, and if he can get things going with the flatstick, he has the potential to be in the mix as we head into the weekend here this week at The Honda Classic.

  • Patton Kizzire, $7,500

I think he’s too cheap.  He’s made all but one cut so far this season, led by his consistently above average putting.  All facets of his game are better than average though, which should serve him very well in a weaker field event when he will be able to gain strokes on the field in all aspects of the game if he keeps playing as well as he has been.  He’s affordable, and while I don’t think he’ll be low owned, I do think he’ll check in at lower ownership levels than I feel he should have for this week’s event.

Do Not Forget About…

  • Jim Furyk, $6,900

Far from a sexy pick, he won’t be too popular and is a great punt with some upside here.  The event has a relatively weak field compared to many events, and he’s a golfer that I like to use on shorter tracks when his price checks in as reasonable.  He regularly makes cuts – and while I’d be very surprised with a top 10 finish from him (borderline shocked), I do think he has a path to finishing in the top 25 at this event if he brings his game.  If you want a pivot off of him for someone with a little more upside, you could go with boom/bust option John Huh this week for the same price.

About Brad

Brad hates the term fantasy sports expert, so instead he is someone who specializes in NFL, NHL and MLB DFS notes and analysis. He had a 68.2% win rate in 2015 NFL cash games to go along with a 83.5% win rate for the 2014 season. For NHL he had a 58.7% win rate in the 2015-16 season for cash games and a 66.2% win rate for the 2014-15 season. You can follow him on Twitter @bradsgotmoxy.

Check Also

2021 Valero Texas Open: DraftKings PGA DFS Daily Cheat Sheet

DraftKings PGA DFS GPP Cheat Sheet for The 2021 Valero Texas Open.  Featuring top plays, …