The PLAYERS 2021: The Primer – PGA DFS Analysis

Featuring in-depth analysis of The PLAYERS 2021. Daily fantasy golf analysis for this week’s DFS slate to help you build winning cash game and tournament lineups on DraftKings.

Welcome to The Primer column for The PLAYERS 2021! We are here to help you build your DFS lineups for FanDuel, DraftKings or whatever other sites you choose to play on (this article does have a DraftKings bias though).

In case you missed it – you can find my cheat sheet posted for The PLAYERS here!

Bryson powered his way through Bay Hill a week ago, picking up a narrow win at The Arnold Palmer Invitational.  This week, the players will tee it up at The PLAYERS in what should be a great tournament.  Last year we saw things shut down mid tournament when Covid concern was spiking rapidly – so it’ll be nice to have the players teeing it up at TPC Sawgrass.  The course requires accuracy, the ability to stick approach shots tight, and short games are a little more relevant here than on some longer tracks – so let’s dive in and look at some of my favourite options on the board for this week’s event!

Last Week’s Picks

  • Tyrrell Hatton – T21
  • Sam Burns – MC
  • Francesco Molinari – MC
  • Lanto Griffin – T21
  • Corey Conners – 3rd

The Best of the Best

  • Xander Schauffele, $10,300

Xander isn’t going to have low ownership…he’s too good for that, however – I do think that he’ll check in with lower ownership levels than he should have for this week’s event.  He comes into this one off a pedestrian showing at the WGC-Workday, but before that had three top five finishes in his previous four events which included two second place showings.  He ranks 2nd on tour in SG: Total with a well rounded game (led by SG: APP and SG: Putting) that should fit well here.  I don’t think you necessarily have to spend up this high (I love the golfers priced $8k-$10k this week) – but I like the upside here and think he’ll have a great tournament this week.

Others to Consider…

  • Jordan Spieth, $8,600

While his game off the tee leaves a lot to be desired, he’s great around the green (11th in SG: ATG), has been great at scrambling, and has been consistently scoring – with great stats in birdies or better.  He comes into this one with three top five finishes in his last 4 events with the other showing being a 15th place finish, and I like his chances of carrying things over on a course that doesn’t require an elite game off of the tee.  I’d like to see him be a little more accurate with his long game, but all in all for this price, and with the general hatred of using him in DFS circles (which is fair, granted) – I like the spot a lot here for him at this week’s event.

  • Matthew Fitzpatrick, $8,200

Stats wise, nothing jumps out at you…until you add together all of the individual stats and realize that above average at everything results in a pretty damn good golfer.  He’s 29th on tour in SG: TTG and 21st in SG: Total, and comes into this one playing great golf with three straight events where he’s finished in the top 11.  The price point here is very reasonable and I like his chances of carrying over his strong recent form to a course that I think fits his game pretty well.  He’s one of my favourite dollar for dollar options on the board this week!

  • Will Zalatoris, $7,600

He’ll be in my write ups just about every week if he keeps striking the ball as well as he has been (8th in SG: APP, 6th in SG: TTG and 13th in SG: Total)….at least until he starts seeing significant price increases in events that have decent fields.  I think he should be almost $1k more expensive than he is – but with the soft pricing, here we are.  I’m not expecting low ownership levels on him – but with so many strong golfers in the low-mid $8k range, I do think he’ll check in lower owned than he should be.  He’s a great option for line-ups where you want two high spends up top in the salary range.

Do Not Forget About…

  • Sam Burns, $7,200

I loved the spot for him a week ago, and while it ultimately was a big disappointment in terms of his showing at The Arnold Palmer, I like this for a bounce back spot for him this week.  His game is a great fit for TPC Sawgrass.  He checks in ranked 33rd on tour in SG: APP and 22nd in SG: Putting, and while I don’t care too much about it – he’s also strong off the tee, which never hurts.  His chipping could use a little bit of work, but all in all, if you are looking for a player at near punt prices who has the ability to contend if he bounces back this week, Burns has as good of a shot as anyone.

About Brad

Brad hates the term fantasy sports expert, so instead he is someone who specializes in NFL, NHL and MLB DFS notes and analysis. He had a 68.2% win rate in 2015 NFL cash games to go along with a 83.5% win rate for the 2014 season. For NHL he had a 58.7% win rate in the 2015-16 season for cash games and a 66.2% win rate for the 2014-15 season. You can follow him on Twitter @bradsgotmoxy.

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