Welcome to the NBA Rundown for FanDuel & DraftKings contests on Sunday, February 21, 2021.
Some of our favorite players at each position in the various price points can be found below for tonight’s seven game slate, using FanDuel’s position eligibility for slotting purposes.
Be sure to catch our cheat sheets for the slate today, going over a more exhaustive list for each of FD, DK and Y! contests. The below just gives a taste for the guys that we’re really prioritizing for different reasons on the slate.
Jamal Murray – It looks like the Murray of the bubble in 2020 may finally be back. He was struggling with some injuries earlier this year, but appears to be over them and (finally) back on track. In his last 5 games, he is averaging 31.4 PPG, 6.4 rebounds, 4.6 assists and 1.8 steals+blocks with a usage rate of 30.4% in that time. The price has risen, but there’s still plenty to like while it’s a good chunk below the upper-tier options at the position.
D.J. Augustin – He’s on the radar as a value here today (under $4K on both sites) as a potential starter with Jrue Holiday sidelined and Bryn Forbes not doing much to write home about. He brings more offensive potential to the fold for the Bucks thanks to some solid shooting skills from deep and the ability to distribute half decently on offense. He had 11 points, 2 boards, 5 assists and a steal in 32.5 minutes his last start and the minutes to dollars ratio is still very much relevant here as a value option.
Fred VanVleet – Without Kyle Lowry this year, Freddy is averaging just shy of 20 PPG, 5 rebounds, 5.8 assists and 2.8 steals+blocks while playing almost 38 MPG. He’s been pretty cold from the field lately (9 for 35 in his last 2 games) but still manages to put up numbers (39 and 34.9 FP) thanks to the minutes, steals and assists contributions. The floor is high, and the ceiling is pretty darn attractive as well for the price. Not to mention that he’s SG eligible on FD and DK. Philly has been tough on him of late, but that’s often been when Kyle Lowry dials it up (against his hometown team). So as long as Kyle is out and Freddy’s usage could be 28-30% – he’s high on my list.
Buddy Hield / Tyrese Haliburton – Haliburton is a great value on FD here today ($5.4K) while Hield at just $200 more on DK make them both relevant in the right spots. The Bucks have been quite poor defensively against opposing guards of late, particularly without Holiday on the floor. Norman Powell (another good play today, I should add) dropped 29 points against them a few days ago, and both Hield and Haliburton showed up well last night against the Bulls while playing meaningful minutes in that one. Their youth and consistent roles in the offense make them valuable pieces of the DFS puzzle here. Tyrese is my favorite option on FD based on overall value between the two.
Pascal Siakam – He’s been absolutely rolling of late, playing massive minutes for the Raps and averaging over 20 PPG, 8.0 RPG, 5 APG and 2.4 S+B (36.7 minutes). The 41.7% FG% in that time is certainly lower than we want it to be, but when the opportunities and offense is running through him consistently, the productivity will still follow despite inefficiencies from the field. He should threaten for 40+ fantasy points in this one at a price on both sites where that’s perfectly passable. He’s a great price on DK today.
Danilo Gallinari – This is as much a play on leading indicators lately and tapping into the revenge game narrative a little bit than anything else. He has at least 27.8% usage in 3 of his last 4 off the bench for the Hawks, and even though the production hasn’t been consistently there, the minutes (25 in his last 4 by way of the average) and potential for a big return at this price against his former team are worth prioritizing in DFS. Especially when the ownership should be quite low given his 13 and 19.75 fantasy points in his last 2 games. If he’s able to get hot and see more than 2 or 3 of his shots drop – he could eclipse a 7.0 ROI.
Nerlens Noel – No Mitchell Robinson and a night with Karl-Anthony Towns in play is going to demand him to play 30+ minutes to at least help with containing KAT. And for the price on both sites – not to mention that he’s PF (on FanDuel) eligible instead of slotting in just at C – makes him highly attractive as a value. He won’t do much in the scoring department other than cleaning things up around the rim, but boards and blocks are where he’ll shine. He’s averaging 7.3 points, 6.3 rebounds and 3.0 steals+blocks as a starter (30 MPG) and will definitely pay off as a PF2 on FD in particular.
Tobias Harris – He’s traditionally played very well against the Raptors, and the last 5 games against them are no exception. He’s averaging 22.8 PPG, 6.8 RPG, 3.4 APG and 2.4 S+B in that time with 25.2% usage. He’s also playing extremely well right now for the Sixers, with 57, 58.5 and 42.9 FP in his last 3 games (37 MP in each). He’s a better value on FD than Siakam comparatively (although they play different positions, they’re similar in my level of investment decision importance as plays) and has the ability to be a significant difference-maker on this slate in a matchup that he should thrive in.
Joel Embiid – Get this. He’s averaging 38.7 points, 12 rebounds, 5.3 assists and 3.4 steals+blocks in his last 3 games, playing just over 36 MPG in that span. The usage rate is 39% in those 3 games as well, and he faces a Toronto Raptors club who have really no answers for dominant bigs other than Aron Baynes who is very foul prone and will simply not contain The Process. He’s worth the price of admission for me tonight assuming you can get him active, even though I’m sure he’ll be insanely popular after a near 100 fantasy point night his prior game. His own% could also make Nikola Jokic an interesting GPP candidate at lower ownership levels.
Jarrett Allen – In 11 games as a starter this year, Allen is averaging 15.5 points, 10.6 boards, 2.4 assists and 2.1 steals+blocks in just over 31 MPG. He’s highly efficient from the field (nearly 70%) and does a great job around the glass. He’s averaging over 41 FPPG in his last 2 games and has reached at least 38.2 in 3 of his last 4. The ROI is nice and high here on a slate where he could be quite underowned given the attractiveness of Embiid here.