Welcome to the NBA Rundown for FanDuel contests on Friday, February 19, 2021.
Some of our favorite players at each position in the various price points can be found below for tonight’s nine-game slate.
Jamal Murray ($7,500)– In his past four games, Murray is averaging 26.8 points, 6.5 rebounds, 5.3 assists, and 1.5 steals. Murray has at least 35 fantasy points in each of those four games. Tonight despite a tough match-up against the Cavs who shut him down last time they faced off I like Murray to continue his hot streak as the Nuggets are going to be down a ton of key players. It looks like the Nuggets will be without Gary Harris, Will Barton, PJ Dozier, and Paul Millsap tonight. With those four guys off the court this season, Murray has a usage increase of 5.4% to 30.1% and is averaging 1.18 fantasy points per minute.
Michael Carter-Williams ($4,500)– I really shouldn’t play Carter-Williams at this salary but I just cannot quit him with the Magic having no other point guards on their roster. In the past three games with Cole Anthony out, Carter-Williams has played at least 27 minutes and is averaging 13.7 points, 3.7 rebounds, six assists, and 25.73 fantasy points.
Lou Williams ($6,700)– I might be completely off of Sweet Lou by the time lock is if both Paul George and Kawhi Leonard play for the Clippers. As it stands now it looks like at least one of those players is going to be out for the Clippers and that makes Williams an excellent play. In the past seven games with at least one of those two players out, Williams is averaging 21.3 points, 3.6 rebounds, 6.6 assists, and 1.1 steals. Williams has at least 29 fantasy points in each of those games and is averaging 36.71 fantasy points during this stretch.
Terrence Ross ($6,000)– The Magic are the walking wounded right now with a lot of wing players banged up. All of the injuries the Magic have dealt with have been a big boost to Ross, especially over his past five games. In those games, Ross is averaging 22.6 points, 5.4 rebounds, 3.4 assists, and two steals+blocks. Ross has at least 30 fantasy points in each of those games with one of those games coming against the Warriors who the Magic face tonight. With the Warriors allowing the sixth-most fantasy points per game to shooting guards this season I don’t see a reason why Ross doesn’t have another solid game against them.
Saddiq Bey ($5,800)– I normally like to be off of a player a game early rather than a game late but tonight I am going to ride the hot hand that is Bey for at least one more game. In the past three games, Bey has started and played at least 27 minutes. In those games, Bey is averaging 19.33 points, 7.67 rebounds, three assists, 1.33 steals, and 36 fantasy points. Bey is not just playing well but the match-up against Memphis is an elite one. Memphis ranks 22nd in defensive efficiency to small forwards while allowing the most fantasy points per game to the position this season.
Semi Ojeleye ($3,700)– Ojeleye is not my favorite player in the world but at his salary, I am going to have a lot of exposure to him as he is playing big minutes right now. Ojeleye has played at least 20 minutes in seven straight games for Boston. Now, Ojeleye has not done much in most of those games from a fantasy perspective with four of those games being games he produced under 15 fantasy points but the other three games were games he produced at least 20 fantasy points which would pay off his salary with ease. One of those 20 fantasy point games was also against the Hawks who the Celtics play tonight. Ojeleye would also get a huge boost if Jaylen Brown were to be ruled out of tonight’s game.
Giannis Antetokounmpo ($11,300)– Mr. ABC had an off night last night with only 50 fantasy points but prior to last night’s game, Antetokounmpo had been unstoppable. In his previous four games, the Greek Freak averaged 33.5 points, 13.25 rebounds, 7.25 assists, and 4.5 steals+blocks. Antetokounmpo had at least 65 fantasy points in each of those games. One of those games was against the Thunder in which he produced 72.4 fantasy points and I think he has that kind of production again tonight. The reason why I feel this way is the Thunder don’t have anyone who can compete with Antetokounmpo and have struggled against power forwards all season long. Coming into tonight’s game the Thunder rank 23rd in defensive efficiency and are allowing the second-most fantasy points per game to power forwards.
JaMychal Green ($4,200)– Paul Millsap is going to be out once again for the Nuggets and that puts Green on my radar. Green has played at least 28 minutes in each of the past two games that Millsap has been out and is coming off a strong game against the Wizards with nine points, ten rebounds, two assists, and four blocks on his way to 35 fantasy points. Now tonight I am not expecting 35 fantasy points again from Green but I do expect him to produce in the 25 fantasy point range against a Cavs team that ranks 25th in both defensive efficiency and fantasy points allowed per game to power forwards.
Clint Capela ($8,000)– Capela has played really well this season since his return from injury especially as of late. Capela has at least 35 fantasy points in eight of his last ten games with seven of those games going for over 40 fantasy points. Tonight I am expecting Capela to hit the 40 fantasy point mark once again as Boston is a great match-up for centers. Boston ranks in the bottom half of the NBA in both defensive efficiency and fantasy points allowed per game to centers. One of the games that Capela was able to produce over 40 fantasy points also was against Boston.
Willy Hernangomez ($4,400)– Steven Adams is doubtful to play tonight. With Adams out, I am all in on Hernangomez who has played great basketball this month especially in the two games that Adams either missed altogether or played very limited minutes. In those two games, Hernangomez is averaging 12 points and 14 rebounds with at least 30 fantasy points in each game.