Welcome to the NBA Rundown for DraftKings contests on Wednesday, February 17, 2021.
We have a ten-game slate on tap for us this evening. In this article, we will be breaking down some of our favorite plays on the slate at their positions. Please note that players on DraftKings have multi-position eligibility. Remember to always keep your eye on the news as the day progresses as NBA news changes the slate frequently.
Jamal Murray ($7,100) – This is a little bit of wait and see as seven players on the Nuggets carry a questionable tag into this game. Last night Morris, Harris, Barton and Millsap all missed which led Murray to his highest usage rate of the year at 35%. The minutes didn’t change much here and Murray did commit nine turnovers, but still, the usage is what we want to see. We even got a $100 discount and a much better matchup as the Nuggets face the Wizards tonight. I think there is room to play Murray regardless of all the injuries, but if a few questionable guys get ruled out Murray is in an elite spot. Update: Dozier, Barton, and Millsap will miss this game.
Michael Carter-Williams ($4,900) – Cole Anthony has been ruled out until after the all-star break and that makes Carter-Williams a solid value play. In the past two games with Anthony out, Carter-Williams is averaging 17.5 points, 4.5 rebounds, 5.5 assists, in 28 minutes of action.
Payton Pritchard ($4,200) – The last time Pritchard got a start for an injured or resting Kemba Walker things did not go our way. Pritchard played 29 minutes at sub 10% usage and only netted us 6.75 fantasy points against the Pistons. Shooting 1-9 over your last three games from three also isn’t the best sign. Essentially what is being said here is that there is a lot of risk to this play despite the value. Kemba Walker will miss tonight’s game and if Pritchard grabs the start I know I will be suckered back in this matchup against the Hawks. We should also keep our eyes on Facundo Campazzo – if the Nuggets rule out some guards, we may be able to run back the chalk value of last nights slate that got us 37.25 fantasy points.
Donovan Mitchell ($8,300) – The Jazz are the hottest team in the NBA right now and Donovan Mitchell has attempted 20 or more shots in six straight games. Despite back-to-back 35.25 fantasy performances, Mitchell is still shooting, as he went 9-for-24 in games against PHI and MIA. The minutes, usage, and shot volume are all elite here as we are getting around 35 minutes of 35% usage and 20+ shots. For just $8,300 these numbers give us a massive floor that will increase the ceiling with any peripheral stats Mitchell gets. The Clippers aren’t the best matchup on paper, but the Jazz still carry a 115 point team total.
David Nwaba ($4,300) – Both Victor Oladipo and Eric Gordon are doubtful for tonight’s game and that has to put Nwaba on your radar. In the Rockets’ last game with both players out, Nwaba started and played 40 minutes. Nwaba didn’t just play a ton of minutes but he played well with 19 points, 11 rebounds, a block, and two steals on his way to 42.7 fantasy points. That was Nwaba’s fourth game in his six games since returning to the Rocket’s lineup that Nwaba had produced at least 18 fantasy points.
Jimmy Butler ($8,800) – Butler’s price has finally hit a high on the year, but what he has done over his last 11 games has been phenomenal. Butler has cleared 4.5x value on his price in 11 straight games, scoring over 56 fantasy points in three of his last four. Butler is averaging 22.6 points, 8.7 rebounds, 8.3 assists, 1.7 steals, and 49.12 fantasy points since returning from injury and gets a positive matchup with the Warriors tonight. This price is high, but all things considered, the price should probably be higher.
Anthony Edwards ($6,000) – Edwards is starting to find his NBA stroke and has cleared 5.3x value on his salary in three straight games. Edwards is coming off of his best pro game last night in a loss to the Lakers where he shot 10-of-20 from the field, for 28 points, seven boards, five assists, two blocks, and a steal. The all-around production is what we want to see from Edwards in the absence of D’Angelo Russell – who will not be coming back anytime soon. Edwards price remains unchanged from last night’s performance.
Power Forward / Center
Nikola Jokic ($11,000) – It is pretty hard to ignore Jokic after the game he had last night. With multiple Nuggets out to injury/protocol, Jokic shot 23 times for 43 points, also adding six boards and five assists which ended up at 64 fantasy points. Jokic is the best all-around fantasy basketball player statistically and though the price is high, a matchup with the Wizards tonight is almost ceilingless. Keep an eye on the injuries as the more ruled out for the Nuggets means the likelihood of even more shot volume from Jokic. Update: Dozier, Barton, and Millsap will miss this game.
Michael Porter Jr. ($6,200) – Porter was the worst chalk last night as he was 40%+ owned in some contests and put up 15 fantasy points in 24 minutes, despite the Nuggets having seven players miss the game. Porter is in a shooting slump, shooting just 3-of-21 in his last two games – he was held completely scoreless last night. So why on earth is he in this article? Well, the Nuggest will be without Barton and Millsap again, which should net Porter minutes and a start. The kicker though is still matchup as I have referenced a few times in this article. The Wizards don’t play defense and the Nuggets have a 118 point team total. If you need to break a shooting slump, this is the team to do it against. Fool me once, shame on you, fool me twice? We will see.
Nerlens Noel ($4,700) – Noel has started both of the Knicks past two games with Mitchell Robinson out and played well. In those games, Noel is averaging eight points, five rebounds, and four blocks+steals. Noel has at least 23 fantasy points in each of those games and is averaging just at a fantasy point per minute this season.