NHL DFS Primer | Wednesday, February 17th, 2021 on DraftKings
Looking for help building line-ups for NHL DFS on DraftKings or FanDuel tonight? Let’s take a look at some of the best plays on the board for tonight’s action!
Four games on the schedule tonight – so we’ll be breaking down each of the games in a similar fashion to how we handled the slate on Tuesday night! Let’s have a look at some ways to approach building line-ups on Wednesday night, starting with the Leafs – who will be the highest owned team by a wide margin tonight!
Ottawa @ Toronto (-310), Total: 6.5
Through 39 minutes, the Monday night game between these two clubs looked pretty much as many expected with Toronto leading 5-1. Then, Ottawa came storming back, ultimately picking up the win in OT when Dadonov sniped his second goal of the night to shock the buds. Well – I’d expect one of two things happen tonight:
- Toronto either runs them out of the barn
- Or – Toronto wins a boring, defensively responsible game, think 3-1, 4-1, 4-2 – something along those lines.
TOR1 remains my preferred stack compared with the second unit. Tavares and Nylander have been pretty dismal for a little while, at least as far as DFS goes – and it’s been a while since they broke a slate. They are still getting enough points, but that usually happens if you’re in the top six for Toronto. I do think a game theory fade could pay off in spades tonight, though – it’ll take some courage to fade Toronto and my gut tells me to just go over-weight TOR1 tonight (or at least Matthews/Marner).
As for Ottawa, I think that the Leafs are going to really clamp it down tonight after what happened the other night. However, I wouldn’t argue with anyone that thinks that even if Toronto tries to play defence they won’t be able to. After all, their resume is pretty in depth at this point in terms of letting up goals in bulk. The top line and PP unit are my favourite options for the Sens in this one if you go this way, and Chabot is an excellent option to build into your builds on the back-end.
Chicago (-135) @ Detroit, Total: 5.5
The Hawks take on the Red Wings again tonight, and even though they have yet to really break out over this stretch, I continue to like the spot for both CHI1 and CHI PP1 in this one. The top line for the Hawks was quiet the other night in a 3-2 win, but I’d be surprsied if we didn’t see Kane and company light the lamp at least once tonight…with the potential for more. I usually leave the goalie reco’s for the cheat sheet – but I did want to note that G Kevin Lankinen has been outstanding so far for the Hawks, posting a save percentage of .925 and picking up 15 points in the standings for them in 11 starts. In a plus match-up tonight, he’s one of the better options on the board who should have a pretty safe floor assuming that he gets the call. D Nicolas Beaudin is worth tossing into your rotation as a compliment for CHI 1 or as another piece from the top PP unit. I prefer him to Boqvist by a pretty wide margin, and both are cheap.
As for the Red Wings, I don’t have much interest here. Larkin’s line is always worth including in your builds as he’s an elite talent – but going up against a team that has done a good job of defending, and with the limited firepower that the Wings have up front, I think you can make a strong case to avoid them altogether tonight, even on the short slate.
Vancouver @ Calgary (-140), Total: 6
Calgary will be popular in this game, with ownership likely spread out amongst their top two lines with the guys on the top PP unit garnering the highest ownership levels (shocking, yes, I know). Gaudreau/Monahan and the second unit were my favourite last time out – and they didn’t disappoint with Gaudreau finally shooting the puck in bulk, racking up 7 SOG, sniping one in the process. I have no problem going back to the well with them tonight if you ask me to pick one – but I do like the spot for each of the top two lines for CGY and I think they are worth getting exposure to both lines in MME formats.
As for the Canucks, the Horvat line has been brutal production wise but the underlying metrics aren’t as bad as the surface stats have been. They are still logging a CF north of 50%, which for Vancouver is elite. If you are looking for a low-owned stacking option that you can get an over-weight position on relative to the field for an affordable price, they fit the bill in this one. As is the case in most games against Calgary, if you are going to stack against them, I don’t mind the idea of loading up on the top PP unit for Vancouver in this one with various combinations. The Flames historically take an above average number of penalties, and Vancouver also has a history of in game line juggling, so I’m more likely to use more stacks for them from the top PP unit than with most teams. That was longer than I intend on having it. I still prefer CGY in this one!
Winnipeg @ Edmonton (-140), Total: 6.5
The big three for Edmonton will be the primary rival to going stacking with TOR1 tonight, though the match-up for them is much tougher than taking on the Sens. With that said, McDavid, Draisaitl and the Nuge are all in play as these teams drop the puck again after also putting 11 on the board on Monday night. I’d expect both teams to try and keep things a little more defensive tonight so while I’d be surprised if we saw another track meet tonight, I wouldn’t be shocked. It is the North Division afterall. As far as stacking goes, this trio is probably my favourite stack as Draisaitl/RNH > Marner/whomever in my books, even at the elevated price – though keep in mind that to use those three, you will have to compliment them with value plays. Either way, I like an over-weight position on them tonight.
As for the Jets, I wouldn’t back up the truck on one of the top two lines specifically, but I do like the idea in MME formats of approaching them with ~20% ownership levels, which would get you an over-weight position. I think they have the potential to be lower owned than they should be tonight and going up against Edmonton, who can’t keep goals off the board, the spot is a great one for them. Pionk remains my favourite option on the back-end if you are going to stack the Jets and want another piece of the action.
Good luck in your contests tonight, and if you want to see some of my favourite one offs for tonight’s slate – make sure to check out the Cheat Sheet, which is focused more to that vs. this piece, which focuses on stacking (primarily with options up front at C/W)!