The Cruncher List | Divisional Round FanDuel & DraftKings NFL DFS Lineup Advice, Tips & Picks.
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LA Rams @ Green Bay (-6), Projected Total: 45.5 points
LA Rams – Projected total: 19.75 points
|QB Jared Goff||DK: $5,200||FD: $6,700|
|RB Cam Akers||DK: $5,700||FD: $7,000|
|WR Robert Woods||DK: $5,900||FD: $6,600|
|WR Cooper Kupp||DK: $5,300||FD: $6,100|
|WR Josh Reynolds||DK: $3,200||FD: $5,200|
|TE Tyler Higbee||DK: $3,000||FD: $5,000|
The Rams come into this weekend with the lowest projected total on the board by a pretty wide margin – but even with that in mind, there are a few options that I like at their price points this weekend:
- RB Cam Akers – The Packers have been vulnerable to opposing running games for the past two seasons, seemingly content to let teams rack up strong days on the ground, focusing on their pass defence instead. That puts Akers in a strong spot on Saturday. He has shown the ability to chip in a little bit in the passing game as well, which helsp from a potential game script standpoint if the Rams do happen to fall behind in this one.
- WR Josh Reynolds – If you are looking for a punt with upside on DK, Reynolds is a strong choice. Cooper Kupp is less than 100% with a knee injury, and even if he does suit up – I would expect Reynolds to see plenty of snaps. His air yards being in line with Woods and Kupp despite far fewer targets has been something that has been well documented this season – and I am expecting CB Jaire Alexander to be focused elsewhere on other WR’s this week, putting Reynolds in an intriguing spot on DK.
I don’t have too much interest in Goff, Kupp or Higbee this week and while I wouldn’t argue with anyone that wanted to roster WR Robert Woods in a fair number of their line-ups at his price point, personally – I do prefer other options on the board this week.
The Cruncher List
- RB Cam Akers
- WR Josh Reynolds (DK)
- Rams DST (DK)
- Rams DST (FD)
Green Bay – Projected total: 25.75 points
|QB Aaron Rodgers||DK: $6,900||FD: $8,400|
|RB Aaron Jones||DK: $6,800||FD: $7,800|
|WR Davante Adams||DK: $8,600||FD: $9,000|
|WR Allen Lazard||DK: $3,900||FD: $5,300|
|TE Robert Tonyan||DK: $4,200||FD: $6,200|
The Packers have a tough task ahead of them from a DFS standpoint this week as they draw a match-up against the elite Rams defence. As such, if you wanted to roster the likes of Rodgers and Adams with what should be low ownership levels (for a 4-game slate of course), this is your week. With that said, with Adams facing Jalen Ramsey, and the Rams defence being elite at limiting fantasy production, given the price points here – they are in tough.
For Rodgers, there are too many elite QB’s on the board this week for me to have him on The Cruncher List. There is a strong game theory narrative here – he will probably be lower owned than he should be – but put me in the camp of people that would be surprised if he was large field GPP relevant for the 4 game weekend Main Slate (on FD for the Saturday only, I think there’s a strong case to be made for him, however).
As for Adams, I know that Ramsey is elite – but to me, he’s still an elite option. He was far and away the best WR in the game this year and from a fantasy standpoint, his usage in the offence and his production with those opportunities were far and away the best in the business. I don’t think he’s a lock this week – but I do think he remains an excellent option for a bit cheaper than he has been for the second half of the season.
As for the rest of the options here, RB Aaron Jones is probably a little bit over-priced for a back that has regularly been limited to 15 touches of late. If you think that he’ll be the primary and sole bell-cow and that he has been saved for the playoffs, fire him up. He has a higher ceiling than most of the backs on the board this weekend. To me, however- I think he’ll be in line for around 15 touches, and in this match-up – that’s enough to keep him off of The Cruncher List for me.
The Cruncher List
- WR Davante Adams
- QB Aaron Rodgers
- RB Aaron Jones
- Packers DST
Baltimore @ Buffalo (-2), Projected Total: 49.5 points
Baltimore – Projected total: 23.75 points
|QB Lamar Jackson||DK: $7,600||FD: $8,000|
|RB JK Dobbins||DK: $6,000||FD: $6,500|
|RB Gus Edwards||DK: $4,200||FD: $5,300|
|WR Marquise Brown||DK: $5,200||FD: $6,500|
|TE Mark Andrews||DK: $5,000||FD: $6,600|
A lot of the early week weather forecast here has been overblown in my opinion, which should pave the way for a great Saturday night game between Baltimore and Buffalo on Saturday night. The winds will be enough to have a little bit of worry – but I wouldn’t let it impact your builds too much – at least as of Saturday morning.
The Ravens knocked off the Titans a week ago and draw a match-up against the Bills to see who can try and punch their ticket to (likely) head to Kansas City for the AFC title game. Jackson is an elite play in this match-up, the game should see plenty of points go up on the board and as has been the case for the entire second half of the season – I’m expecting him to run plenty in this one – especially if the Bills put points up on the board like I think they will. Last week Jackson ran 16-136-1 and I wouldn’t be shocked to see him run another ~15 times Saturday night.
RB JK Dobbins is a back that I like a lot at his price point. He only saw 9 carries last week against the Titans (Gus Edwards got 8), and while I think that we’ll continue to see the two of them share work – the Bills have been a defence that much like GB, has been content to let teams do some damage to them on the ground in order to focus on defending the pass historically under Sean McDermott. There’s some risk here, but I think he’s an elite option this week.
As for the receiving options, WR Marquise Brown continues to churn out consistent outings, clearing the century mark on 7 catches (109 yards) a week ago. He has now hit double digit DKP every week since Week 12, and he remains affordable. I think he’s an excellent option this week. Finally, TE Mark Andrews had a pretty quiet 4-41 on 6 targets a week ago. He’s the second best TE on the slate behind Travis Kelce and is an interesting pivot if you want to save some salary here. I find rostering him a little restrictive from a roster construction standpoint, which is enough to keep him off of The Cruncher List for me this week – but if points go up on the board to push the total into the 50’s, I’d be surprised if Andrews didn’t pay off his price point.
The Cruncher List
- QB Lamar Jackson
- RB JK Dobbins
- WR Marquise Brown
- TE Mark Andrews
Buffalo – Projected total: 25.75 points
|QB Josh Allen||DK: $7,400||FD: $8,800|
|RB Devin Singletary||DK: $4,500||FD: $5,700|
|WR Stefon Diggs||DK: $7,300||FD: $8,600|
|WR Cole Beasley||DK: $4,900||FD: $5,900|
|WR John Brown||DK: $4,600||FD: $5,500|
|TE Dawson Knox||DK: $3,100||FD: $5,000|
The Ravens defence is a tough draw, but I am not expecting them to be able to completely shut down one of the best offensive units in football, and I like this spot a lot for Josh Allen and the Bills. I think that with Mahomes on the full weekend Main Slate on DK, you’ll see low ownership levels here, putting Allen and Diggs in play as a great pivot off of Mahomes and Hill (please don’t read into this too much and think I don’t like Mahomes and Hill, however).
RB Devin Singletary is an excellent punt with upside at RB. Zack Moss got hurt last week and will be sitting this one out, which should put Singeltary in line for bell-cow usage…or at least as much as one can be considered to be a bell-cow in this offence.
WR Cole Beasley was clearly hurt a week ago, but somehow still trekked his way to a 7-57 line. He was removed from the injury report this week and is an excellent value play at the WR position this week, especially on DK where he is on The Cruncher List in the full PPR format. WR John Brown put up a donut a week ago – but he’s worth keeping in your player pool, as is WR Gabriel Davis for MME formats.
The Cruncher List
- QB Josh Allen
- RB Devin Singletary
- WR Stefon Diggs
- WR Cole Beasley (DK)
Cleveland @ Kansas City (-10), Projected Total: 57 points
Cleveland – Projected total: 23.5 points
|QB Baker Mayfield||DK: $5,300||FD: $7400|
|RB Nick Chubb||DK: $6,600||FD: $8,200|
|RB Kareem Hunt||DK: $4,800||FD: $6,200|
|WR Jarvis Landry||DK: $5,600||FD: $6,900|
|WR Rashard Higgins||DK: $4,100||FD: $5,300|
|TE Austin Hooper||DK: $3,800||FD: $5,500|
The Browns check in this week as huge dogs, not shocking as they travel to Kansas City to take on the juggernaut Chiefs. This game has the largest projected total on the board and the price point is attractive for a number of the options on Cleveland.
If you think that the Browns will fall behind in this one, turning to the passing game – QB Baker Mayfield at his price point is fully in play as a near punt with upside at QB. Rostering him opens up a lot from a salary standpoint. In terms of the receiving weapons, TE Austin Hooper is a viable mid-priced option at TE, and Jarvis Landry is a great option if you are looking for a Browns passing game threat to run back with a Chiefs stack.
Now – if you like the chances for the Browns to get out to a lead, or to keep it close in this one while focusing on the ground game, the Chiefs have struggled against fantasy RB’s for quite some time and this is very well in the range of potential outcomes for this one, putting both Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt in play. Hunt is my preference between the two due to:
- His Salary
- His involvement in the passing game
Hunt makes for an interesting option to run back with a Chiefs stack – or on his own as a value play at RB. As for Chubb, he would be a part of some contrarian builds, though I do think you could make the case to fade him on this slate at his price point – it is certainly an option.
The Cruncher List
- QB Baker Mayfield (DK)
- RB Kareem Hunt
- WR Jarvis Landry
- QB Baker Mayfield (FD)
- WR Rashard Higgins
- TE Austin Hooper
Kansas City – Projected total: 33.5 points
|QB Patrick Mahomes||DK: $8,000||FD: $9,200|
|RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire – Q||DK: $5,500||FD: $6,100|
|RB Le’Veon Bell||DK: $5,100||FD: $6,000|
|WR Tyreek Hill||DK: $8,000||FD: $8,800|
|WR Demarcus Robinson||DK: $4,300||FD: $5,100|
|WR Mecole Hardman||DK: $3,900||FD: $5,200|
|TE Travis Kelce||DK: $7,800||FD: $8,500|
Mahomes and Kelce are unquestioned elite plays. I could spend some time writing reasons for this, but honestly – I think it would be wasting your time. WR Tyreek Hill has some debate….CB Denzel Ward has been outstanding when healthy and should be manned up with Hill for most/all of Sunday afternoon. Personally – for me, anytime there’s a narrative that drives down Hill’s ownership levels, I think its worth trying to take advantage of, and this fits that bill for me. I don’t think you 100% have to roster him – but I do think he’s an elite play even against a great corner….similar to the Adams vs. Ramsey match-up for me this week. If I had to rank Kelce or Hill though, it would be in that order.
As for the ground game – it’s a big question mark. We will see if CEH suits up for this one. If he does, I think we’ll likely see a timeshare as he’s eased back into action. If he doesn’t – I’d expect Bell to see most of the work (making him an elite option) with Williams and Thompson both seeing some work. You could make an argument to build a few Darwin Thompson line-ups after what he did in Week 17 in case he takes over the backfield – but it’s a contrarian approach.
The Cruncher List
- QB Patrick Mahomes
- WR Tyreek Hill
- TE Travis Kelce
- Chiefs DST
- RB Le’Veon Bell (if CEH out)
- WR Demarcus Robinson
Tampa Bay @ New Orleans (-3), Projected Total: 52 points
Tampa Bay – Projected total: 24.5 points
|QB Tom Brady||DK: $6,300||FD: $7,700|
|RB Leonard Fournette||DK: $4,900||FD: $6,300|
|RB Ronald Jones – Q||DK: $5,200||FD: $6,300|
|WR Mike Evans||DK: $6,400||FD: $7,100|
|WR Chris Godwin||DK: $6,100||FD: $7,500|
|WR Antonio Brown||DK: $5,400||FD: $6,400|
|TE Rob Gronkowski||DK: $3,600||FD: $5,600|
|TE Cameron Brate||DK: $2,900||FD: $4,900|
The Bucs are small road dogs this week as they travel to New Orleans to take on the Saints. This one should be a close one, and has plenty of fantasy firepower in it – many of whom are reasonably priced. The projected total here is the second highest on the board, which means there are lots of decisons to make for this one.
It looks quesitonable (at best) that RB Ronald Jones will suit up in this one – a week after injuring himself in pre-game warm-up, blowing up ~55% of line-ups in the process on Saturday’s slate. Fournette is an excellent low-mid priced RB this week as I am expecting him to see the bulk of the work in this one for Tampa. Even if Jones does suit up, I do think Fournette will lead the way in backfield touches this week for Tampa.
As for the passing game, the number of options here is a little overwhelming now that TE Cameron Brate posted a 4-80 on 6 target line a week ago. To me, I like two of the options here – WR Chris Godwin and WR Antonio Brown. Brown only saw 3 targets a week ago – but I think he’ll see an uptick in volume this week. He’s reasonably priced on each sit. Chris Godwin – who caught 5 of 12 targets for 79 yards and a score a week ago is a little bit banged up coming into this one – but I like this spot for him and I think he’s my favourite of the two. WR Mike Evans will likely see a lot of Lattimore, a match-up which has been pretty skewed in Lattimore’s favour over the course of the history of their match-ups – and there’s enough of a sample there for me to prefer Brown/Godwin over Evans in this one.
The Cruncher List
- RB Leonard Fournette (if Jones doesn’t play)
- WR Chris Godwin
- WR Antonio Brown (DK)
- QB Tom Brady
- RB Leonard Fournette (if Jones plays)
- Bucs DST
New Orleans – Projected total: 27.5 points
|QB Drew Brees||DK: $5,600||FD: $7,300|
|RB Alvin Kamara||DK: $7,900||FD: $9,000|
|WR Michael Thomas||DK: $6,700||FD: $7,200|
|WR Emmanuel Sanders||DK: $4,500||FD: $5,700|
|TE Jared Cook||DK: $4,000||FD: $5,600|
The Saints are small favourites playing at home in this one with a healthy total after knocking off the Bears a week ago to advance into the second round. RB Alvin Kamara is an elite option at RB this week, even in a match-up against the Bucs defence that has been elite at limiting production to opposing backs. He should see plenty of work in this one both on the ground and in the passing game and on a slate that has limited elite backs, he is the best on the board, assuming you can afford him. With that said – I do want to make it clear that I don’t think you necessarily have to spend up at RB this week as I do prefer the value and ROI potential on the low-mid priced backs.
As for the passing game, WR Michael Thomas caught 5 of 7 targets a week ago for 73 yards and a score – and should be in line for plenty of work in this one. He’s an elite option who remains available for a fraction of his 2019 price tag. WR Deonte Harris had a productive Wildcard weekend, but he only ran 14 routes for the game, and I think he’s worth fading this week. On the surface, his 7-83 line is attractive – but unless he is going to run more routes and see more snaps this week, I think he’s more likely to disappoint this week for those that roster him than provide them with an encore performance.
Outside of those two, the likes of Brees, WR Emmanuel Sanders and TE Jared Cook are worth keeping in your player pool – but would be secondary plays at best.
The Cruncher List
- RB Alvin Kamara
- WR Michael Thomas
- QB Drew Brees
- Saints DST