The 2020 Sony Open: The Primer – PGA DFS Analysis

Featuring in-depth analysis of The 2020 Sony Open in Hawaii! Daily fantasy golf analysis for this week’s DFS slate to help you build winning cash game and tournament lineups on DraftKings.

Welcome to The Primer column for the 2020 Sony Open in Hawaii! We are here to help you build your DFS lineups for FanDuel, DraftKings or whatever other sites you choose to play on (this article does have a DraftKings bias though).

In case you missed it – you can find my cheat sheet posted for The 2020 Sony Open in Hawaii here!

This week, the players will be teeing it up at the Wai’alea Country Club, which checks in as a Par 70 that plays just over 7000 yards, definitely one of the shorter tracks on tour and only has two Par 5’s, so I wouldn’t focus too much on a stat like the ability to make Eagles for instance.

As a result of the fairly short course – we’ll be looking for players who have the ability to throw some darts out there who excel at SG: APP, golfers that can score well as we don’t want a bunch of guys who only are making par after par out there, as well as golfers that come into this one with strong recent form.  While it certainly is a benefit for a player to have distance off of the tee, I do think that this is a week where even the short hitters are in play, as long as they come into this one playing well.  So – let’s have a look at some of my favourite options this week across various price points!

The Best of the Best

  • Cameron Smith, $9,600

I think a good approach up top this week is to spread out ownership levels amongst the high spends (English, Niemann, Berger being my favourite options – though I wouldn’t fault anyone for using Webb either).  With that said, I do think there is some intrigue to spending down a little bit in this one – I really like the $8k to Cam Smith price range and I think there are a number of options here that have a strong chance of being in the mix.  The defending champ at this event – he’s above average in all facets of the game other than off the tee, and I really like what I’ve seen from him over the past year and change as he really has cemented himself as an up and coming talent on tour.  I like his chances of being in the mix to defend his title here, making him one of my favourite options on the board this week.

  • Kevin Kisner, $8,800

Kisner is always a popular choice on courses that are short in length, and while I expect him to be popular this week – I really like this spot for him.  He’s deadly accurate, is rock solid with his approach game and is an elite putter.  When you add in his great course history (3 top 5 finishes in the past 5 years) and the fact that the quality of the field is not necessarily top notch, and there is a lot to like here with Kisner this week.  This may seem like a short and lazy write up – but really, I just think he’s an elite play this week, arguably my top dollar for dollar play on the board.

Others to Consider…

  • Zach Johnson, $8,500

I’ve definitely been over-weight exposure to ZJ relative to the field over the past six months.  After a couple of dismal seasons for his historical standards, he has been playing pretty well, and quite frankly – I think he’s found his game again.  His 2020 final numbers made great strides in the second half of the season, and he has carried things over into the 2020-21 campaign, ranking 36th in SG: APP, 10th in SG: Putting and 19th in SG: Total.  Given that the field is relatively weak for this one – he’s one of the better options on the board this week.  I really think he’s another couple strong showings away from seeing a massive jump in ownership levels.  Don’t expect rock bottom levels here, but I do think he’ll be lower owned than he should be.

  • Brendon Todd, $8,200

Todd is an accurate player who doesn’t necessarily excel in SG: APP – but he is an elite putter, and has shown himself to be a streaky player over the course of his career.  He’s also hated by the analytical DFS community, so he’s often quite low owned for a player that has played as well as he has at times over the past season and a bit.  He finished 21st here a year ago and comes into this one playing strong golf, including a 13th place finish at the Sentry Tournament of Champions last week, which is a strong field event.  To be somewhat in the mix there is a great sign for Todd, and I like his chances of carrying things over into this week’s event!

Do Not Forget About…

  • Cameron Davis, $7,200

He doesn’t check the box for SG: APP – but he is an elite scorer and has had some success at Wai’alea G&CC – including a 9th place finish a year ago.  The price point here is quite attractive, and it doesn’t hurt that he has an elite game off of the tee, even though I don’t think it’s required here.  He’s not a lock to make the cut – but if he does play into the weekend, I think he’ll make enough birdies to not have his fantasy production be overly dependent on his finish – and if he is capable of stringing together four solid rounds like he did a year ago, he could be a contest winner.

If you have any questions at all, you can find me on Twitter @bradsgotmoxy.

About Brad

Brad hates the term fantasy sports expert, so instead he is someone who specializes in NFL, NHL and MLB DFS notes and analysis. He had a 68.2% win rate in 2015 NFL cash games to go along with a 83.5% win rate for the 2014 season. For NHL he had a 58.7% win rate in the 2015-16 season for cash games and a 66.2% win rate for the 2014-15 season. You can follow him on Twitter @bradsgotmoxy.

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