Week 11 NFL – The Cruncher List for Week 11: Game-By-Game Analysis

The Cruncher List | Week 11 FanDuel & DraftKings NFL DFS Lineup Advice, Tips & Picks.

Here to help you build the best possible FanDuel & DraftKings NFL Week 11 Line-up.

Cincinnati @ Washington (-1), Projected Total: 47 points

Washington vs. QB: 11th Bengals vs. QB: 26th
Washington vs. RB: 14th Bengals vs. RB: 18th
Washington vs. WR: 2nd Bengals vs. WR: 26th
Washington vs. TE: 25th Bengals vs. TE: 31st

Cincinnati – Projected total: 23 points

QB Joe Burrow DK: $5,500 FD: $7,700
RB Giovani Bernard DK: $5,500 FD: $6,300
WR Tee Higgins DK: $5,900 FD: $6,500
WR Tyler Boyd DK: $5,600 FD: $6,600
WR AJ Green DK: $3,600 FD: $5,500

The Bengals have a tough draw this week going up against a Washington defence that has been pretty stout, especially against the WR position.  With the news that RB Joe Mixon will be out this week, it’s safe to expect another week where RB Giovani Bernard will see a significant workload and he is an elite option at his price point on each site.  He isn’t a sure-thing, but I expect him to get 15+ touches in this one and I do think that the Bengals will be able to put points on the board, putting him in a great spot this week.

As for the passing game – QB Joe Burrow isn’t in play for me on FanDuel, but priced much cheaper relatively speaking at $5,500 on DraftKings – I think he is an outstanding option.  He has been facing extremely tough elements in each of the past two games, and I think this is a bounce-back spot for him this week.  Factoring in projected ownership levels, he is definitely one of my favourite options on the board on that site this week.  As for his WR’s, Tee Higgins is my favourite, though I do think that WR Tyler Boyd has a higher floor.  Washington has been outstanding against opposing WR’s in this one – but I do think that you’ll probably want to take one of them along for the ride if you do roster Burrow this week, and Higgins is my favourite out of the two quality options because of the higher ceiling that I feel he has.

The Cruncher List

  • QB Joe Burrow (DK)
  • RB Giovani Bernard

Good Plays

  • WR Tee Higgins
  • Bengals DST (punt)

Washington – Projected total: 24 points

QB Alex Smith DK: $5,300 FD: $6,600
RB Antonio Gibson DK: $5,800 FD: $6,500
RB JD McKissic DK: $5,200 FD: $5,600
WR Terry McLaurin DK: $6,900 FD: $7,300
TE Logan Thomas DK: $3,300 FD: $5,200

The Bengals defence has been atrocious this season – and a few Washington options are in good spots this week:

  • WR Terry McLaurin – one of my favourite WR’s on the board.  He has been outstanding all season long, catching at least 7 balls and clearing 70 receiving yards in each of the past 4 games.  While he has yet to have a week where he broke the slate (and granted, he may not until they get an upgrade at QB), it’s hard to argue with this spot for him as a potential blow-up game.  He always checks in lower owned than I feel he should be, given the discount he offers price wise compared to some other elite WR options.
  • RB Antonio Gibson – His usage and snap count are bizarre with him often logging less than 50% of snaps, but if you think that he’ll get more of an opportunity, he’d be an elite option.  For me, he doesn’t quite make the cut.  Something to consider – last week in the first half, JD McKissic had an absurd amount of targets, double digits as Washington struggled mightily against Detroit.  In the second half, they seemed to realize how absurd their game plan was and Gibson saw significantly more work.  Is that likely to carry over?  Probably not.  But it’s worth noting….
  • RB JD McKissic – He’s in play if you think he’ll continue to see all of Washington’s targets on DK.  I’m not in that camp, but it’s hard to argue with a RB in full PPR system that has seen 29 targets over the past two weeks.
  • TE Logan Thomas – DK only play here if you are looking to punt at TE.  Has seen 5.8 targets/game over the season and ranks 6th in aDOT and 7th in air yards at the position.  After an early season spike out of the gates with his targets, he had only seen 4 in a bunch of games before seeing 6 last week.  I think Alex Smith will find him to be a useful safety blanket.  Limited ceiling, but rock solid punt on DK at the tire fire of a position.

The Cruncher List

  • WR Terry McLaurin
  • TE Logan Thomas (DK)

Good Plays

  • RB Antonio Gibson
  • Washington DST

Atlanta @ New Orleans (-3), Projected total: 50 points

Saints vs. QB: 14th Falcons vs. QB: 32nd
Saints vs. RB: 1st Falcons vs. RB: 4th
Saints vs. WR: 20th Falcons vs. WR: 30th
Saints vs. TE: 27th Falcons vs. TE: 32nd

Atlanta – Projected Total: 23.5 points

QB Matt Ryan DK: $6,300 FD: $7,800
RB Todd Gurley DK: $5,900 FD: $6,700
WR Julio Jones DK: $7,500 FD: $8,100
WR Calvin Ridley DK: $7,000 FD: $7,800
TE Hayden Hurst DK: $4,400 FD: $5,500

I don’t have much interest here.  First – I think that the Saints will be playing a slower pace with Taysom Hill under center, leading me to believe that this game will probably be hard pressed to get to the 50 point total.  We’ve seen the line already move down two points since the announcement – and I wouldn’t be surprised if it ticked a couple points lower.  Second – the Saints defence is a pretty good group, and while they have been vulnerable at times to opposing WR’s and TE’s – I think they’ll be able to keep things in check this week.

WR Julio Jones and WR Calvin Ridley are always worth considering, and having some exposure to in your MME builds – but I won’t be using either of them in my line-ups this week.  I prefer other options on the board in a game that I think is going to be a bit of a fantasy disappointment (other than on FD – but more on that in a minute).

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • WR Julio Jones

New Orleans – Projected Total: 26.5 points

QB Taysom Hill DK: $4,800 FD: $4,500 – Listed as a TE
RB Alvin Kamara DK: $9,200 FD: $9,700
WR Michael Thomas DK: $7,300 FD: $8,200
WR Emmanuel Sanders DK: $4,900 FD: $5,600
TE Jared Cook DK: $4,100 FD: $6,100

Taysom Hill was announced as the starter for this week’s game, and along with that – they announced that Winston would not be a part of any packages.  He is min-priced as a TE on FanDuel….so there’s that.  You can hit the lock button on him there.  We don’t have much of a sample in terms of passing for Hill – but he was excellent in the pre-season a couple of  years ago and priced at $4,800 with likely a solid floor due to rushing – he’s a strong punt with upside on that site against a poor Falcons defence.  I don’t think he’s going to rip it up through the air (in fact, I have no interest in any Saints receivers outside of RB Alvin Kamara) – but I do think he’ll be productive at his price on DraftKings this week.

RB Alvin Kamara should see his usual workload in this one as I expect him to be leaned on heavily as Hill gets used to playing QB in the NFL.  I’d expect him to approach 25 touches in this one, likely with 8-10+ targets through the air.  There is risk here if the Saints can’t move the ball at all – but to me, it’s pretty minimal.  A big decision this week will be to use him or Dalvin Cook, and as of now I am leaning towards Cook…but it’s close.

I could see a path to WR Michael Thomas having a productive day in this one.  He runs a lot of his routes close to the line of scrimmage and if there is a second option that I expect Hill to zero in on in this one, it would be Thomas by a pretty wide margin.  Given his struggles since coming back from injury, the unknown factor of how the offence will look with Hill as the lone QB, and his price point – I have no problem taking a wait and see approach here.  I wouldn’t argue with anyone that took the plunge with Thomas, but I don’t think I’ll be in that camp this week.

The Cruncher List

  • QB Taysom Hill (DK)
  • RB Alvin Kamara
  • TE Taysom Hill (FD)

Good Plays

  • WR Michael Thomas

Pittsburgh (-10) @ Jacksonville, Projected Total: 46

Jags vs. QB: 30th Steelers vs. QB: 5th
Jags vs. RB: 26th Steelers vs. RB: 2nd
Jags vs. WR: 24th Steelers vs. WR: 25th
Jags vs. TE: 30th Steelers vs. TE: 2nd

Pittsburgh, Projected Total: 28 points

QB Ben Roethlisberger DK: $6,700 FD: $8,000
RB James Conner DK: $6,600 FD: $7,000
WR Diontae Johnson DK: $5,900 FD: $6,400
WR Chase Claypool DK: $6,100 FD: $6,400
WR Juju Smith-Schuster DK: $6,400 FD: $6,500
TE Eric Ebron DK: $4,000 FD: $5,400

The Steelers should be a lock to move to 10-0 this week as they travel to Jacksonville to take on the lowly Jags.  The passing game trio of Big Ben, Diontae Johnson and Chase Claypool are all elite options for me this week.  This looks like it should be a smash spot for RB James Conner – but I’m jumping ship here (or if he pops, at the exact worst time).  He has been dismal in the past two games, so I’m going to take a step back and see where the chips fall as I prefer other options on the board to Conner this week.  Last week in swirling winds, we saw the Steelers abandon a dismal rushing effort en route to 4 passing TD’s from Big Ben despite brutal elements.  While this could backfire (there’s no arguing this spot is great for Conner), he has totalled 58 rushing yards in back to back games against the Bengals and I’ll have no exposure to him this week.

The passing game is arguably my favourite on the board.  Diontae Johnson is my favourite of the WR options – he is closely filling the old Antonio Brown role and has seen double digit targets in every game that he has finished so far this season.  There’s always the chance he could get hurt – but let’s face it, that is a risk with all players.  Claypool probably has the highest ceiling of the group with his size in the redzone and his usage down near the goal-line, and he is an elite option as well.  Juju for me is a distant third, though he has been playing pretty good football now that he is clearly not the top option in the passing game, freeing him up to do some damage in plus match-ups for him.  If you were looking for a leverage play here on the passing game, Ebron would be a strong option to consider.  He won’t be a popular play and the Bengals have been torched by TE’s all season long.

The Cruncher List

  • QB Ben Roethlisberger
  • WR Diontae Johnson
  • WR Chase Claypool

Good Plays

  • WR Juju Smith-Schuster
  • TE Eric Ebron
  • Steelers DST

Jacksonville – Projected Total: 18 points

QB Jake Luton DK: $5,000 FD: $6,500
RB James Robinson DK: $6,400 FD: $7,200
WR DJ Chark DK: $5,700 FD: $6,200
WR Keelan Cole DK: $3,800 FD: $5,300
WR Leviska Shenault Jr. DK: $3,600 FD: $5,000

Going up against the Steelers this week, the only way I would be using a Jags option is if I were running one back with a Steelers stack.  I also don’t think that is necessary as I find it tough to envision any of the Jags WR’s having monster fantasy days and there are some value WR’s that I like in better spots this week.

RB James Robinson isn’t someone that I’m going to be on this week at all.  I like him as a back, but the Steelers are elite against the run and I expect them to be able to keep him in check in this one.  All in all, I see a strong case to just eliminate the Jags from the slate and your player pool this week.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • None

New England (-1) @ Houston, Projected Total: 48.5

Pats vs. QB: 6th Texans vs. QB: 16th
Pats vs. RB: 19th Texans vs. RB: 31st
Pats vs. WR: 16th Texans vs. WR: 22nd
Pats vs. TE: 3rd Texans vs. TE: 17th

New England – Projected Total: 24.75 points

QB Cam Newton DK: $6,200 FD: $7,600
RB Damien Harris DK: $5,700 FD: $5,800
RB Rex Burkhead DK: $4,600 FD: $5,900
WR Jakobi Meyers DK: $4,900 FD: $6,000

The Pats haven’t been a fantasy juggernaut so far in 2020, though we have seen a few things emerge of late.  Cam Newton continues to score at an elite clip with his usage inside the 10, RB Damien Harris has cleared the century mark in 3 of 6 games (though has literally zero involvement in the passing game), and WR Jakobi Meyers has seen a target share north of 40% over the past couple of games.  RB Rex Burkhead has also had some games where he has popped, largely a function of scoring TD’s at an unsustainable clip.

Newton is an elite option this week, going up against a Houston defence that has allowed points in bulk to the opposition all season long.  I like the Pats to go over their projected total in this one, and I find it hard to believe that Newton won’t score at least one rushing TD in this one given the fact that he has 9 on the season and has only been kept out of the endzone in two games so far this season.  I think in addition to that, he’ll also have a respectable game through the air – and he’s one of my favourite options at the QB position this week, worthy of a spot on The Cruncher List.

RB Damien Harris has looked outstanding and I really like this spot for him as a contrarian option at the RB position.  He is priced much more affordably on FanDuel, where he is a much better play than he is on DK for the essentially same price with the full PPR format.  He won’t be a popular option and I think it’s just a matter of time before he has a monster week – which will likely depend on if he can break a long run.

Finally, WR Jakobi Meyers won’t continue to see a target share north of 40% – but after being missed on wide open TD’s in back to back games, I think it’s only a matter of time before he finds the endzone, and I like his chances of doing that this week.  Expect to see him with 8+ targets in this one, and if you agree with my thoughts on liking this spot for him – I think he’s an excellent mid-priced option on both sites for Week 11.

The Cruncher List

  • QB Cam Newton
  • RB Damien Harris (FD)
  • WR Jakobi Meyers

Good Plays

  • RB Damien Harris (DK)

Houston – Projected Total: 23.75 points

QB Deshaun Watson DK: $6,500 FD: $7,700
RB Duke Johnson DK: $5,400 FD: $6,200
WR Will Fuller DK: $6,200 FD: $7,100
WR Brandin Cooks DK: $5,200 FD: $6,100
TE Jordan Akins DK: $2,500 FD: $4,900

Even though the projected line is close and the Patriots defence isn’t near what it was a year ago, I don’t have a lot of interest in rostering Texans players this week.  On FanDuel I find them a little expensive across the board given the match-up, and even though relatively speaking they are priced a little bit lower on DK – I don’t have too much interest in them this week as I find it tough to envision a high probability of any of them going off.

RB Duke Johnson nearly played every snap a week ago, but very surprisingly wasn’t involved at all in the passing game (only 1 target), an area that typically he excels at.  I would expect Houston to correct this – but then again, while Bill O’Brien is no longer there – it is also the same organization that made the moves they have over the past two seasons.  He’s a solid play, but to me – I do think I prefer other options on the board, however – the path is there for him to potentially have a great fantasy day against a middling run defence.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • RB Duke Johnson

Philadelphia @ Cleveland (-3), Projected Total: 47.5

Browns vs. QB: 22nd Eagles vs. QB: 12th
Browns vs. RB: 10th Eagles vs. RB: 12th
Browns vs. WR: 28th Eagles vs. WR: 13th
Browns vs. TE: 19th Eagles vs. TE: 26th

Philadelphia – Projected Total: 22.25 points

QB Carson Wentz DK: $5,700 FD: $7,400
RB Miles Sanders DK: $6,900 FD: $7,700
WR Travis Fulgham DK: $5,600 FD: $6,800
WR Jalen Reagor DK: $4,300 FD: $5,600
TE Dallas Goedert DK: $3,800 FD: $5,800

The Eagles have been a mess from a fantasy standpoint, which came to a head last week in a complete debacle against the Giants.  RB Miles Sanders remains one of the best backs in the game and I think he’s a very interesting option at the position that will probably fly under the radar from a fantasy standpoint.  I expect the Eagles to lean on him heavily in this one and while I wouldn’t use him in cash – he’s an intriguing play for me in this one.

As for the passing game, the only person that really interests me in this one is WR Jalen Reagor on DK.  He opens up a lot from a pricing standpoint in terms of who else you can roster, and I think we’re going to see Wentz lean on him heavily given all of the struggles that they have had moving the ball through the air.  He saw 7 targets last week, which led the Eagles in target share, something that I think will likely continue (alongside Fulgham).  Something seems wrong with TE Dallas Goedert.  I have no problem waiting for him to produce one week before tossing him into my builds.  I think he’ll be pretty popular on DK even with back to back duds given his price-tag – but I have no problem fading him this week until he looks to be somewhat back to what he had been in the past.

The Cruncher List

  • WR Jalen Reagor (DK)

Good Plays

  • RB Miles Sanders

Cleveland – Projected Total: 25.25 points

QB Baker Mayfield DK: $5,400 FD: $7,000
RB Nick Chubb DK: $7,000 FD: $8,100
RB Kareem Hunt DK: $6,700 FD: $6,700
WR Jarvis Landry DK: $5,500 FD: $5,900
TE Austin Hooper DK: $3,900 FD: $5,100

With RB Nick Chubb back last week, the Browns relied heavily on the ground game which wasn’t too surprising given the high winds that we saw in Cleveland last week.  Given the fact that Chubb and Hunt are likely to split work again, I do prefer other options on the board, though Hunt is worth keeping in your player pool in my opinion on FD, where he is significantly cheaper.

As for the passing game, the only player I have interest in here is TE Austin Hooper, who is a great value option at the position.  He returned after missing a little time with appendicitis last week, and I’m willing to give him a mulligan on that one given the elements.  Prior to his bout with appendicitis, he had seen 23 targets in his previous three games – and now that he is suiting up without OBJ in the fold – I’m expecting him to see 6-8+ looks from Baker with regularity.  He’s probably my favourite option at the position given his salary this week, and worthy of a spot on The Cruncher List as he faces the Eagles who have been routinely beaten by TE’s the whole 2020 schedule.

The Cruncher List

  • TE Austin Hooper

Good Plays

  • RB Kareem Hunt (FD)

Detroit @ Carolina, Projected Total: TBD points

Panthers vs. QB: 15th Lions vs. QB: 20th
Panthers vs. RB: 29th Lions vs. RB: 32nd
Panthers vs. WR: 10th Lions vs. WR: 14th
Panthers vs. TE: 20th Lions vs. TE: 15th

Detroit – Projected total: TBD points

QB Matthew Stafford DK: $6,000 FD: $8,000
RB Adrian Peterson DK: $4,000 FD: $5,200
RB Kerryon Johnson DK: $4,000 FD: $7,800
WR Marvin Jones DK: $5,500 FD: $5,900
TE TJ Hockenson DK: $4,200 FD: $5,500

The Lions come limping into this one with things on the injury front getting worse as Swift will miss this week’s game with a concussion.  As a result, we will likely see split time between AP and Kerryon Johnson in the backfield, and even at punt level prices – I don’t have interest in either of them this week.

As for the passing game, WR Kenny Golladay is going to be out again this week – which keeps Marvin Jones in play.  He has seen 27 targets over the past 4 weeks and has cleared the 13 DKP mark in each of those contests.  While he has only popped in one of those games – he should continue to be the key cog in the passing game for the Lions and is a high floor option at the WR position.

TE TJ Hockenson suited up last week after being questionable with a toe injury and didn’t look himself, hauling in only two balls for 13 yards.  He was removed from the injury report late this week, and I think he’s an elite option at the position on DK this week.  Up until last week he was the TE3 on the season.

The Cruncher List

  • TE TJ Hockenson (DK)
  • Lions DST (punt)

Good Plays

  • WR Marvin Jones

Carolina – Projected Total: TBD points

QB TBD – Avoid DK: NA FD: NA
RB Mike Davis DK: $6,800 FD: $7,400
WR Robby Anderson DK: $6,000 FD: $6,300
WR DJ Moore DK: $5,600 FD: $7,100
WR Curtis Samuel DK: $4,700 FD: $5,600

We don’t have a line here and there are some intriguing options here – but I think I’ll be off of the key cogs in the Panthers offence this week with the uncertainty at the QB position.  We don’t know whether Bridgewater will suit up, though it’s not looking too optimistic for him, which would leave PJ Walker or Will Grier under center.  RB Mike Davis has a great match-up on paper against the team that has allowed the most fantasy points to opposing RB’s – but his usage and production has really taken a dive of late – enough for me to flat out prefer other options on the board, despite the salivating match-up that he has in Week 11.

If you like the pass catchers, DJ Moore on DK and Robby Anderson on FD are my favourite options here, though again – I do prefer other options on the slate and have no problem fading the Panthers this week for my line-ups.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • WR Robby Anderson (FD)
  • WR DJ Moore (DK)

Tennessee @ Baltimore (-5), Projected Total: 49.5

Ravens vs. QB: 10th Titans vs. QB: 25th
Ravens vs. RB: 8th Titans vs. RB: 28th
Ravens vs. WR: 3rd Titans vs. WR: 27th
Ravens vs. TE: 13th Titans vs. TE: 18th

Tennessee- Projected Total: 22.25 points

QB Ryan Tannehill DK: $6,100 FD: $7,300
RB Derrick Henry DK: $8,000 FD: $8,200
WR AJ Brown DK: $7,200 FD: $7,500
WR Corey Davis DK: $4,800 FD: $5,900
TE Jonnu Smith DK: $4,700 FD: $5,800

The Titans go up against Baltimore this week and check in with a pretty low total…not too surprising given the match-up.  At their price points, I think the Titans are a pretty easy fade this week against a Ravens defence that has been elite across the board.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • None

Baltimore – Projected Total: 27.25 points

QB Lamar Jackson DK: $7,300 FD: $8,400
RB Mark Ingram DK: $5,000 FD: $5,900
RB JK Dobbins DK: $5,100 FD: $5,500
RB Gus Edwards DK: $4,500 FD: $5,500
WR Marquise Brown DK: $5,800 FD: $5,900
TE Mark Andrews DK: $4,900 FD: $6,500

I’m quick to rule out the RB position here as the Ravens continue to deploy a 3-headed approach to carries in the backfield.  There is the chance that one of them could pop, especially if someone took the bulk of the touches and ran with the opportunity, but at this point – that hypothetical back will have to show me something first, even if I’m late to the party.  WR Marquise Brown is probably best left off of your player pool at this point.  He’s been dismal this year and has really struggled with chemistry with Jackson.

That leaves two options, both of whom I think are strong options to consider this week, Jackson and TE Mark Andrews.  Jackson is priced quite reasonably compared to historical levels – but we’ve also seen him play nowhere near the level that he did in 2019.  With that said, I can see the upside here in a game where Baltimore has a healthy total and he’s worth keeping in your player pool – though personally, I do prefer other options on the board.  As for Andrews – he looked great last week and outside of WR Willie Snead, looked to be the only pass catcher that Jackson was looking to.  He saw 9 targets, hauling in 7 of them and I wouldn’t be one bit surprised if he was able to carry that over into this one.  He’s pricey at the position, especially on FD, which will keep his ownership levels in check – but I think he’s an elite option on DK at his price this week.  I prefer the savings with a guy like Hooper – but Andrews definitely has the highest ceiling at the position this week, which for an extra $1k has a lot of intrigue for large-field GPP’s.

The Cruncher List

  • TE Mark Andrews (DK)

Good Plays

  • QB Lamar Jackson
  • TE Mark Andrews (FD)

NY Jets @ LA Chargers (-9), Projected Total: 46

Chargers vs. QB: 27th Jets vs. QB: 29th
Chargers vs. RB: 17th Jets vs. RB: 25th
Chargers vs. WR: 8th Jets vs. WR: 21st
Chargers vs. TE: 29th Jets vs. TE: 24th

NY Jets – Projected Total: 18.5 points

QB Joe Flacco DK: $5,000 FD: $6,100
RB La’Mical Perine DK: $4,400 FD: $5,400
WR Jamison Crowder DK: $6,100 FD: $6,600
WR Breshad Perriman DK: $4,300 FD: $5,700
WR Denzel Mims DK: $3,300 FD: $5,400

The Jets are close to double digit underdogs travelling to LA to take on the Chargers this week.  In a game that should be friendly from a game script standpoint for their passing game, I love this spot for WR Denzel Mims as a punt with upside.  He has shown great chemistry with Joe Flacco, and for a sub $3,500 pricetag – I think you’ll be hard-pressed to find someone with his floor and ceiling.  He’s my favourite way to get value here for the Jets on that site.

On FanDuel, there is much less of a discrepancy between the receiving options for the Jets with $1,200 seperating Crowder from Mims.  Crowder is a solid option on that site if you think he is fully back to healthy – though with Perriman and Mims in the fold, I am not expecting the same volume to go his way that we did at the start of the season, when he was leading the league in targets per game before his injury.  I think you can fade him this week at his price.

The Cruncher List

  • WR Denzel Mims (DK)

Good Plays

  • None

LA Chargers, Projected Total: 27.5 points

QB Justin Herbert DK: $6,800 FD: $8,500
RB Kalen Ballage DK: $5,600 FD: $5,800
WR Keenan Allen DK: $7,400 FD: $8,000
WR Mike Williams DK: $5,100 FD: $5,900
TE Hunter Henry DK: $4,600 FD: $5,500

The Chargers have one of the highest totals for Week 11’s main slate, and have a number of players in prime spots – making them one worth taking a deep dive to evaluate, both individually and from a stacking standpoint:

  • QB Justin Herbert – Even in a game that he struggled last week against Miami, wasn’t a complete dud at QB.  I think that this is a prime bounce back spot for him and while he’s a little expensive relatively speaking on FanDuel, in this match-up I think he’s a great option this week.
  • WR Keenan Allen – Probably the highest floor WR for Week 11 to me.  He was locked up most of Week 10’s game against Miami, but happened to wiggle loose for a late TD to get to a 3-39-1 line.  I think he’s one of the best plays on the board this week, even at a price point that continues to rise.  He’s 3rd in the league in targets.
  • RB Kalen Ballage – While I think his usage has been absurd to put it bluntly, it’s hard to argue with a RB that is likely to get 15-20 touches against the Jets in a positive game script.  Assuming that plays out, I like his chances of finding the endzone, chipping in with 4-5 catches – and he should be able to rack up decent yardage as well.  I think think the ceiling is limited, but he worth including in your builds this week.
  • TE Hunter Henry – He scored last week and has seen a pretty big price bump.  The Jets have struggled to defend the TE position, and I like his chances of seeing 6+ targets in this one.  At a volatile position, he is one of the safer options on the board – though I do prefer some others that are in his price range, which is enough to keep him off of The Cruncher List this week.

The Cruncher List

  • QB Justin Herbert
  • WR Keenan Allen

Good Plays

  • RB Kalen Ballage
  • Chargers DST

Miami (-3) @ Denver, Projected Total: 45

Broncos vs. QB: 19th Dolphins vs. QB: 17th
Broncos vs. RB: 15th Dolphins vs. RB: 22nd
Broncos vs. WR: 17th Dolphins vs. WR: 18th
Broncos vs. TE: 11th Dolphins vs. TE: 6th

Miami – Projected Total: 24 points

QB Tua Tagovailoa DK: $5,800 FD: $6,700
RB Salvon Ahmed DK: $4,800 FD: $5,600
RB DaVante Parker DK: $5,700 FD: $6,200
WR Jakeem Grant DK: $3,500 FD: $4,600
TE Mike Gesicki DK: $4,300 FD: $5,300

The Miami passing game is one that at least in it’s current state, doesn’t offer too much appeal to me.  They seem content on sticking with what has been working, which has largely been ball security and the play of their as of recent – elite defence.  I see no reason for them to change from that recipe for success this week and as such, I don’t have much interest in their passing game, unless you wanted to go with WR Jakeem Grant as a punt with upside.  He’s worth including in your player pool – but I wouldn’t go nuts with exposure to him.  In his first start he caught 4 of 5 targets for 43 yards and a TD.  I’d be surprised if he ever approached double digit in the target column – which means you probably need him to score to be happy with the output….so temper your enthusiasm.

RB Salvon Ahmed had a great start in Week 10, and I would expect him to get the first crack at the majority of touches out of the Miami backfield again this week – even with the return of Matt Breida, who should see some run.  There’s a little risk here if he gets bottled up early that the Dolphins could turn to Breida – but I think Ahmed will have a good showing this week and he’s on The Cruncher List for me this week.  If you missed the boat on Myles Gaskin earlier in the year when he was super cheap and churning out consistent production, I think you get a mulligan opportunity here with Ahmed, who looks extremely similar to me.

The Cruncher List

  • RB Salvon Ahmed
  • Dolphins DST

Good Plays

  • WR Jakeem Grant

Denver – Projected Total: 21 points

QB Drew Lock DK: $5,400 FD: $6,800
RB Melvin Gordon DK: $5,100 FD: $6,400
WR Jerry Jeudy DK: $5,300 FD: $5,700
WR Tim Patrick DK: $4,800 FD: $5,500
TE Noah Fant DK: $4,500 FD: $5,700

This is a pretty easy fade for me.  Miami’s defence has looked outstanding over the last number of games and Denver’s offence has looked dreadful.  Bolt on a timeshare in the backfield and Drew Lock at less than 100%, and I have no problem passing on them this week in a really tough match-up with a low projected total.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • None

Dallas @ Minnesota (-7) – Projected Total: 48.5 points

Vikings vs. QB: 18th Cowboys vs. QB: 21st
Vikings vs. RB: 11th Cowboys vs. RB: 23rd
Vikings vs. WR: 29th Cowboys vs. WR: 31st
Vikings vs. TE: 16th Cowboys vs. TE: 22nd

Dallas – Projected Total: 20.75 points

QB Andy Dalton DK: $5,300 FD: $6,900
RB Ezekiel Elliott DK: $6,500 FD: $8,000
WR Amari Cooper DK: $5,400 FD: $6,900
WR CeeDee Lamb DK: $5,000 FD: $5,800
TE Dalton Schultz DK: $3,600 FD: $5,000

The Cowboys had their bye at probably the best possible time, and will attempt to re-group and see what they can muster up in the NFC East ‘race’.  They have a low projected total and with what seems like a theme for the week, I have no problem taking a wait and see approach, making them prove that they can move the ball efficiently as least for a week before I venture out and am in a hurry to roster any of their playmakers.  The price points on Zeke, Cooper and CeeDee are awfully tempting – but given how poor they have looked even with Dalton under center, I have no problem passing on them this week with a low projected total against a Minnesota defence that has been playing better of late after a disastrous start to the season.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • None

Minnesota – Projected Total: 27.75 points

QB Kirk Cousins DK: $6,200 FD: $7,100
RB Dalvin Cook DK: $9,000 FD: $10,500
WR Justin Jefferson DK: $6,000 FD: $6,700
WR Adam Thielen DK: $6,300 FD: $7,900
TE Kyle Rudolph DK: $3,200 FD: $4,500

The Vikings check in with a high total this week, going up against a Dallas defence that has been atrocious all season long.  RB Dalvin Cook and WR Justin Jefferson will be among the highest owned options on the slate – both are elite plays this week in a game where Minnesota should put a lot of points up on the board.

WR Adam Thielen is an interesting pivot off of Jefferson on both sites.  He hauled in two TD’s in Week 10’s MNF win over the Bears, catching 4 of 7 targets.  His stock has definitely taken a hit with Jefferson’s emergence and I think he’ll be far less owned this week with a similar chance of popping for a big game (though if you asked me to pick one straight up without any game theory, admittedly, I’d choose Jefferson).

TE Irv Smith Jr. looks like he will be a GTD.  Keep an eye on the status here, because if he does sit – Kyle Rudolph is in play as a punt at the position on DK.  He saw close to 80% of snaps and hauled in 5 balls in last week’s win.  If Smith does play, I have no problem just ignoring both options this week.  Too much uncertainty there for my liking.

The Cruncher List

  • RB Dalvin Cook
  • WR Justin Jefferson
  • WR Adam Thielen (DK)
  • TE Kyle Rudolph (DK – if Smith Jr. is out)

Good Plays

  • QB Kirk Cousins
  • WR Adam Thielen (FD)

Green Bay @ Indianapolis (-2), Projected Total: 51 points

Colts vs. QB: 1st Packers vs. QB: 3rd
Colts vs. RB: 5th Packers vs. RB: 30th
Colts vs. WR: 6th Packers vs. WR: 11th
Colts vs. TE: 1st Packers vs. TE: 5th

Green Bay – Projected Total: 24.5 points

QB Aaron Rodgers DK: $7,000 FD: $9,000
RB Aaron Jones DK: $7,200 FD: $8,200
WR DaVante Adams DK: $8,600 FD: $9,500
WR Marquez Valdez-Scantling DK: $4,800 FD: $5,800
TE Robert Tonyan DK: $3,200 FD: $5,600

I’ve made a habit to fade whoever has been playing the Colts defence – and while I wouldn’t go nuts with exposure to any one here on the Packers – I do think that given how much of their offence runs through WR Adams and RB Jones (at times), they are worth keeping in your player pool this week.  Adams has the highest floor at WR in the game (though I think Keenan Allen challenges it for this particular week), and playing in a dome this week – it’s hard to envision a scenario where he doesn’t clear 10 targets assuming he stays healthy.  To me – even in this match-up, I think he’s an elite option this week.

As for the running game, the usage of the backs can be quite frustrating – and we’ve seen a number of times over the past year and a half that Jamaal Williams will often snatch up a disproportionate amount of the snaps, and I think that Jones has frustrated enough owners that he will likely be owned in the mid single digits this week.  I like that from a game theory standpoint given his ceiling – but just understand the risk involved.

I don’t have much interest in Allen Lazard if he does suit up, and if he does, I think I’ll probably just eliminate MVS from my player pool as well.  If Lazard does sit, I think its worth tossing MVS into your builds though.  He leads the league in aDOT and as I mentioned last week, even though his floor is literally zero, Rodgers seems to be warming to him and I wouldn’t be shocked if he saw a couple more looks this week if the Colts focus in on trying to contain Adams above anything else.

The Cruncher List

  • RB Aaron Jones (game theory pivot)
  • WR DaVante Adams

Good Plays

  • QB Aaron Rodgers
  • WR Marquez Valdez-Scantling (if Lazard sits)

Indianapolis – Projected Total: 25.5 points

QB Philip Rivers DK: $5,600 FD: $7,000
RB Nyheim Hines DK: $5,200 FD: $6,100
RB Jonathan Taylor DK: $5,800 FD: $5,700
WR Michael Pittman DK: $4,500 FD: $5,500
WR TY Hilton DK: $4,200 FD: $5,400
TE Trey Burton DK: $3,100 FD: $5,200

For me, outside of WR Michael Pittman, my only interest here is if I have a line-up with a couple of Packers and want to run one of the Colts back.  RB Nyheim Hines is my favourite of all of their RB’s, coming into this one fresh off a 17 touch effort where he scored twice a week ago – but who knows what the Colts will do in the end in terms of divvying up the snaps and opportunities for their backs.  You could make an argument that it might just be best to avoid that headache altogether.

As for the Colts passing attack, I think that the return of WR Michael Pittman Jr. has the potential to be a bit of a gamechanger for their offence as a whole.  With TY Hilton struggling this season, they really lacked a playmaker on the offensive side of the ball and I loved what I saw from Pittman last week.  On his 8 targets he hauled in 7 of them for 101 and a score while adding in a 21 yard rush on top of that.  I think that Rivers will zero in on the rookie WR in the coming weeks and for his price this week, I think he’s an elite option on both sites.

The Cruncher List

  • WR Michael Pittman Jr.

Good Plays

  • RB Nyheim Hines

Best of luck in your Week 11 DFS action!

About Brad

Brad hates the term fantasy sports expert, so instead he is someone who specializes in NFL, NHL and MLB DFS notes and analysis. He had a 68.2% win rate in 2015 NFL cash games to go along with a 83.5% win rate for the 2014 season. For NHL he had a 58.7% win rate in the 2015-16 season for cash games and a 66.2% win rate for the 2014-15 season. You can follow him on Twitter @bradsgotmoxy.

Check Also

NFL DFS Core Plays for Yahoo – Week 11 2020 (11/22/2020)

Welcome to the Yahoo NFL DFS core plays column for week 11 of the 2020-2021 …