Week 11 NFL DFS Running Back (RB) Targets For FanDuel & DraftKings

Welcome to the FC Insights Running Back Targets Article. In this post, we will be breaking down our top options and plays at the RB position for each DFS week of the 2020-2021 NFL DFS season.

Top Plays

Dalvin Cook ($10,500 FD, $9,000 DK)

Opponent Team Total Opponent Rushing Yards Allowed Per Game Opponent Total Rushing Touchdowns Allowed Opponent Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game to RBs
Cowboys 27.50 157.0 11 22.7

You’ll have to decide if there is enough mid-range and value plays on the board to determine if you think Cook is worth the premium that it’ll take to roster him this week – but there is no denying the outstanding spot that he is in for this one.  The Vikings go up against a Dallas defence that has been prime for offences league-wide, and Cook comes into this one arguably the top fantasy back this season.  He had a disappointing game by his standards on MNF against the Bears and still cleared 100 yards from scrimmage.  He saw a heavy workload in that game, checking in with 34 touches – so there is a little bit of a concern that he could give up some snaps to Mattison this week to help ease the workload, but he’s an outstanding core piece for line-ups this week if you can afford him.

Alvin Kamara ($9,700 FD, $9,200 DK)

Opponent Team Total Opponent Rushing Yards Allowed Per Game Opponent Total Rushing Touchdowns Allowed Opponent Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game to RBs
Falcons 28.0 99.7 9 20.9

The Falcons have done a pretty solid job of limiting fantasy production from opposing RB’s this season – but Kamara is right up there on the elite tier alongside Cook, and with QB Drew Brees out for this game, I wouldn’t be surprised if we see him clear 25 touches in this one.  He’s fresh off of a 3 TD week, and while I wouldn’t expect that from him again, he has as high of a floor (has cleared 19 DKP in all but one game this season) and ceiling as any back on the board.  When you factor in the fact that he is cheaper than the price point on Cook – I’d expect him to be the more popular option this week between the two for the high-spend play at RB.  Kamara leads all RB’s in targets per game, and is an outstanding option this week on both sites in a game that I expect to see the Saints put up a bunch of points.

D’Andre Swift ($6,900 FD, $6,400 DK)

Opponent Team Total Opponent Rushing Yards Allowed Per Game Opponent Total Rushing Touchdowns Allowed Opponent Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game to RBs
Panthers NA 124.5 14 28.9

We got the announcement that Swift would be starting at RB for the Lions, and he rewarded them with the decision to finally give him more touches, with 81 yards on the ground and 68 through the air while adding a TD, producing one of the best ROI’s of the day in Week 10.  This week he draws a plus match-up against a Carolina front that has been ravaged by opposing RB’s this season, including last week where Ronald Jones ran for a buck ninety-two, including a 98 yard run.  I see no reason for Detroit to move away from Swift this week, and I’d expect him to approach 20 touches yet again.  His usage in the passing game really helps boost his floor, and he’ll be chalk that will be hard to get away from in Week 11 in this match-up at his price point on both sites.

Value Plays

Salvon Ahmed ($5,600 FD, $4,800 DK)

Opponent Team Total Opponent Rushing Yards Allowed Per Game Opponent Total Rushing Touchdowns Allowed Opponent Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game to RBs
Broncos 24.00 128.8 10 23.9

When it was announced that Matt Breida was going to sit last week – Ahmed became a great min-priced option, and rewarded owners that took the plunge with him as he scored and finished with 90 yards from scrimmage in the Dolphins win over the Chargers.  Watching that game, he looked very similar to his college teammate, Myles Gaskin – who is currently on IR, and I don’t think there is much difference between the two backs.  Keep an eye on the status of Breida – if he does suit up, my enthusiasm is tempered here, but I also think that he would be eased back into things by Miami, with Breida playing more of a compliment role given the effectiveness that the ground game had for Miami with Ahmed last week.  He’s priced reasonably, shouldn’t be a popular play – and I think he is a strong option on both sites at his price point in a game that I like Miami to have a positive game script in for their rushing attack.

Damien Harris ($5,800 FD, $5,700 DK)

Opponent Team Total Opponent Rushing Yards Allowed Per Game Opponent Total Rushing Touchdowns Allowed Opponent Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game to RBs
Texans 25.00 167.4 12 30.9

The big questionmark with Harris is if he will ever get carries or opportunities down near the goal-line.  Burkhead seems to be the focal point of the offence inside the 10 (that is if Cam Newton doesn’t just become the sole back himself) – and as such, I get that is a pretty big wart on Harris’ fantasy stock….but if there weren’t any – he wouldn’t be as cheap as he is (especially on FD).  He has looked outstanding running the ball for the Pats though, and has cleared the century mark in 3 of 6 games.  He’s priced affordably on both sites, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see him have a monster game this week against arguably the worst run defence in football.  I prefer him on FD due to his complete and utter lack of involvement in the passing game – and I think he’s an interesting contrarian option at the position this week in a match-up where I think he will put up a ton of yards.

Kalen Ballage ($5,800 FD, $5,600 DK)

Opponent Team Total Opponent Rushing Yards Allowed Per Game Opponent Total Rushing Touchdowns Allowed Opponent Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game to RBs
Jets 27.50 120.9 11 26.9

Ballage was given the ball over and over and over again in last week’s loss to Miami – which was a little confusing…but he produced a solid fantasy day and is in a better spot this week against the Jets.  In a game that should have a run-friendly game script, I’d be surprised if he didn’t approach 20 touches again this week, given that he hit that mark in a game where they were down in Miami for most of the game.  He has seen 15+ carries in each of the past two games, and should have a high floor in this one.  The Jets have been pretty solid on a per attempt basis as a defence, but given the volume of rush attempts they face, and will likely face in this one – he’s in a great spot here.

 

About Brad

Brad hates the term fantasy sports expert, so instead he is someone who specializes in NFL, NHL and MLB DFS notes and analysis. He had a 68.2% win rate in 2015 NFL cash games to go along with a 83.5% win rate for the 2014 season. For NHL he had a 58.7% win rate in the 2015-16 season for cash games and a 66.2% win rate for the 2014-15 season. You can follow him on Twitter @bradsgotmoxy.

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