Week 10 NFL – The Cruncher List for Week 10: Game-By-Game Analysis

The Cruncher List | Week 10 FanDuel & DraftKings NFL DFS Lineup Advice, Tips & Picks.

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Philadelphia (-3) @ NY Giants, Projected Total: 44.5 points

Giants vs. QB: 10th Eagles vs. QB: 13th
Giants vs. RB: 16th Eagles vs. RB: 10th
Giants vs. WR: 22nd Eagles vs. WR: 15th
Giants vs. TE: 9th Eagles vs. TE: 29th

Philadelphia – Projected total: 23.75 points

QB Carson Wentz DK: $5,900 FD: $7,500
RB Miles Sanders DK: $6,400 FD: $7,700
WR Travis Fulgham DK: $6,400 FD: $6,800
WR Jalen Reagor DK: $4,200 FD: $5,600
TE Dallas Goedert DK: $4,200 FD: $5,800

The Eagles are set to welcome RB Miles Sanders and WR Alshon Jeffery back into the fold this week as they travel to New York for a key divisional game against the Giants.  I was expecting to see them with a projected total a couple of points higher than it checks in at – but the Giants have been pretty solid overall at limiting fantasy production to players this season.  RB Miles Sanders is an elite play for me at this price point.  There is some worry of re-injury risk, or the possibility of him seeing less than his usual workload – but the price point for him is quite affordable and I like his chances of doing some damage in this one on the ground and with involvement in the passing game.

As for the passing game – while I don’t expect Fulgham to continue the pace that he has been on – I’m not too worried about his volume taking too much of a hit in this one.  He’s been playing outstanding, hauling in 27 of 41 targets for 3 TD’s and clearing the 70 yard mark in each of his past four games.  I’m not too worried about Alshon stealing too many of his looks – he is just about the only one producing for the Eagles consistently, though if you do think that he’ll give up significant opportunities – there are no shortage of quality options to choose from this week.  For me – I think he’ll be lower owned than he should be, and have him on The Cruncher List on FD where he is relatively cheaper.

TE Dallas Goedert wasn’t involved much at all – though he did run routes on almost all of the Eagles pass plays in Week 8 before their bye.  He had another week to rest up and fresh off of the bye, I think he’s an elite option at a very thin and unpredictable position.  The Giants have been pretty good at defending TE’s so far this season – but I still think it’s a good idea to mix him into your builds, especially on DraftKings this week.

The Cruncher List

  • RB Miles Sanders
  • WR Travis Fulgham (FD)
  • TE Dallas Goedert (DK)
  • Eagles DST

Good Plays

  • WR Travis Fulgham (DK)
  • TE Dallas Goedert (FD)

NY Giants – Projected total: 20.75 points

QB Daniel Jones DK: $5,200 FD: $6,700
RB Wayne Gallman DK: $4,500 FD: $5,700
WR Darius Slayton DK: $4,800 FD: $5,900
WR Sterling Shepard DK: $5,000 FD: $5,500
TE Evan Engram DK: $4,500 FD: $5,600

For me – the Giants are a pretty easy fade this week aside from one player, TE Evan Engram.  The Eagles defence as a whole has been pretty strong up front this year, and I think they’ll make things tough on Daniel Jones and Wayne Gallman in terms of either of them getting things going on Sunday.

The one glaring weakness for the Eagles defence has been their ability to cover TE’s, and Evan Engram is in a great spot this week.  He has regularly seen plenty of targets from Jones, ranking 3rd at the position with 7.1 per game which includes a 3 game stretch that has seen Jones look his way 29 times.  Engram finally found the endzone last week – and I wouldn’t be shocked if in Week 10 he is among the best options at the position when the slate is all said and done.

The Cruncher List

  • TE Evan Engram

Good Plays

  • Giants DST

Jacksonville @ Green Bay (-13), Projected total: 50 points

Packers vs. QB: 6th Jags vs. QB: 30th
Packers vs. RB: 31st Jags vs. RB: 27th
Packers vs. WR: 8th Jags vs. WR: 21st
Packers vs. TE: 5th Jags vs. TE: 30th

Jacksonville – Projected Total: 18.5 points

QB Jake Luton DK: $5,400 FD: $6,700
RB James Robinson DK: $6,600 FD: $7,300
WR DJ Chark DK: $6,200 FD: $6,600
WR Keelan Cole DK: $3,400 FD: $5,100
TE Tyler Eifert DK: $2,700 FD: $4,600

The forecast for this one is definitely worth keeping an eye on as kickoff approaches on Sunday.  As of Friday night, the forecast is calling for wind in the mid 20’s, though it looks like the rain is expected to clear mid-morning.  All in all, that’s going to be a bit of a challenge for the passing games in this one, and I expect it to impact the Jags more than Aaron Rodgers and the Packers.  RB James Robinson is an elite option going up against the Packers defence that has given up tons of points to opposing RB’s this season – and he has shown the ability to rack up points even in negative game scripts due to his ability to catch passes out of the backfield.  He’s an elite option this week at his price point and is a great choice if you are looking for a player from Jacksonville to run back with a Packers stack.

As for the passing game, I prefer options in other spots even though it looks like the Packers will be without CB Jaire Alexander.  We’ll see if Luton will be able to handle the winds at Lambeau – and while the potential is there for him to have a nice fantasy day in a shootout, he’s not my favourite option in his price range.  The same could be said about WR DJ Chark and WR Keelan Cole.  They are both worth working into your MME builds along with some of your GB stacks – but I wouldn’t go nuts with exposure to either in this match-up with the rookie 6th round pick under center.  TE Tyler Eifert is worth including in your builds only if you need a dirt cheap TE on DK.  He did catch 4 balls last week and it wouldn’t shock me if he finished around 10 DKP this week.  You could do a lot worse at the position for more than what he costs.

The Cruncher List

  • RB James Robinson

Good Plays

  • WR DJ Chark
  • TE Tyler Eifert

Green Bay – Projected Total: 31.5 points

QB Aaron Rodgers DK: $7,900 FD: $8,400
RB Aaron Jones DK: $7,100 FD: $8,800
WR Davante Adams DK: $9,000 FD: $9,500
WR Marquez Valdez-Scantling DK: $4,400 FD: $5,500
TE Robert Tonyan DK: $3,600 FD: $5,700

The Packers check in with the highest projected total on the board this week – which shouldn’t be too surprising given the match-up with the lowly Jags defence who have been brutal at defending all positions the vast majority of the season.  Given how good Aaron Rodgers and company have looked this season, it shouldn’t come as a surprise to hear me say that Rodgers, RB Aaron Jones and WR Davante Adams are all elite plays this week.

WR MVS hauled in two of his 4 targets in Week 9 – scoring twice in GB’s blowout win over SF.  He also had a brutal drop (before the two TD’s) that ended a Packers drive.  He continues to lead the NFL in aDOT (for WR’s that have seen at least 35 targets), sitting at 17.41 per target.  The floor is literally zero with him – but he’s worth mixing into your Packers stacks as a second receiving option to compliment Adams.  TE Robert Tonyan has been disappearing for the Packers – but on DK at $3,600 – he’s worth mixing into your Rodgers-Adams stacks as well IMO as a contrarian option at TE.

The Cruncher List

  • QB Aaron Rodgers
  • RB Aaron Jones
  • WR Davante Adams

Good Plays

  • WR Marquez Valdez-Scantling
  • Packers DST

Washington @ Detroit (-3), Projected Total: 46.5

Washington vs. QB: 11th Lions vs. QB: 22nd
Washington vs. RB: 12th Lions vs. RB: 32nd
Washington vs. WR: 1st Lions vs. WR: 14th
Washington vs. TE: 27th Lions vs. TE: 14th

Washington, Projected Total: 21.75 points

QB Alex Smith DK: $5,200 FD: $6,500
RB Antonio Gibson DK: $5,600 FD: $6,100
RB JD McKissic DK: $4,900 FD: $5,300
WR Terry McLaurin DK: $6,800 FD: $7,000
TE Logan Thomas DK: $3,300 FD: $4,900

Washington comes into this one fresh off of last week’s loss to the Giants – which was a big blow for their chances in the NFC East.  They have another winnable game this week to try and right the ship – but check in as three-point dogs on the road.  We don’t have to worry about weather in this one as the game will be played inside.

The Lions defence is not something to fear, especially for opposing RB’s – which put Antonio Gibson and JD McKissic in great spots this week.  Gibson’s lack of usage on 3rd down continues to be quite baffling as McKissic continues to dominate those snaps, including last week where he caught 9 of 14 targets for 65 yards.  I think that Gibson is worth keeping in your player pool – though as his price marginally creeps up, and there seems to be a cap on his touches around 15 – I don’t think either of these options are worth putting on The Cruncher List this week – even in this dream match-up.

As for the receiving options, WR Terry McLaurin is an elite option at WR this week.  The numbers that McLaurin has been able to put up with the revolving door (and below average play) continue to be remarkable.  He caught 7 of 8 targets for 115 and a score last week with Alex Smith under center – and he remains a great option who should probably be more expensive than he is.  He is in the top 10 in both targets and air yards this season.  TE Logan Thomas saw 6 targets a week ago – and while he only posted a 3-28 line, I have a feeling with Smith under center we will see him targeted a little bit more often than he was with Allen.  He’s a great option for $3,300 on DK – while he misses the cut for The Cruncher List on FD, where TE’s are relatively more expensive.  He’s in the top 5 in aDOT at the TE position.

The Cruncher List

  • WR Terry McLaurin
  • TE Logan Thomas (DK)

Good Plays

  • RB Antonio Gibson
  • TE Logan Thomas (FD)

Detroit – Projected Total: 24.75 points

QB Matthew Stafford DK: $5,800 FD: $7,300
RB D’Andre Swift DK: $5,100 FD: $6,000
WR Marvin Jones DK: $5,200 FD: $6,200
TE TJ Hockenson DK: $5,100 FD: $6,200

With Kenny Golladay set to miss another week, you’ll want to keep a close eye on TE TJ Hockenson’s injury status in this one.  He appears to be a true GTD – and is someone that you will want to monitor the status of as line-ups lock on Sunday.  If he suits up in this one – he is an elite option at a tough position.  He is third overall in scoring at the position this season and draws a match-up with a Washington defence that has locked down opposing WR’s, but has been vulnerable to opposing TE’s.

As for the rest of the options for Detroit – I don’t have too much interest here.  WR Marvin Jones is worth mixing into your builds – but even in a plus match-up without Golladay – he only saw 4 targets a week ago and was saved with a touchdown en route to a 3-43-1 line.  He misses the cut for The Cruncher List this week.  He’s really only had one blow-up game, and while this could happen here due to limited options – I think that Washington will be focused on shutting him down this week.

The Cruncher List

  • TE TJ Hockenson (if he plays)

Good Plays

  • WR Marvin Jones
  • Lions DST

Houston @ Cleveland (-3), Projected Total: 47.5

Browns vs. QB: 23rd Texans vs. QB: 25th
Browns vs. RB: 14th Texans vs. RB: 30th
Browns vs. WR: 28th Texans vs. WR: 26th
Browns vs. TE: 16th Texans vs. TE: 22nd

Houston – Projected Total: 22.25 points

QB Deshaun Watson DK: $6,900 FD: $8,300
RB Duke Johnson DK: $5,000 FD: $5,800
WR Will Fuller DK: $6,700 FD: $7,100
WR Brandin Cooks DK: $5,600 FD: $6,300
TE Jordan Akins DK: $2,900 FD: $4,900

Houston comes into this one as three point road dogs in a game that is projected to have high winds and some early rain – which no doubt has kept the total down in this one.  I don’t have a lot of interest in the passing game here at the price points for Houston.  While Cleveland has given up a lot of points to opposing QB’s and WR’s, a bunch of that has been game script dependant as they have played a lot of bad teams so far that they have run all over.  While that is a possibility here, I think that the weather puts Houston in a good spot to fade in terms of their passing game this weekend.

With RB David Johnson out – Duke Johnson should be in line for plenty of work in this one.  He should be the feature back and with his prowess in the passing game, I think he’s an elite option on both sites.  I’m expecting him to clear 15 touches, with the potential for a few more due to the weather.  While the match-up isn’t outstanding – I don’t really fear the Browns run defence either, and I like Duke’s chances of having a productive day at an affordable price – he makes The Cruncher List this week.

The Cruncher List

  • RB Duke Johnson

Good Plays

  • WR Brandin Cooks

Cleveland – Projected Total: 25.25 points

QB Baker Mayfield DK: $6,000 FD: $7,000
RB Kareem Hunt DK: $6,700 FD: $7,500
RB Nick Chubb DK: $6,800 FD: $8,200
WR Jarvis Landry DK: $5,900 FD: $6,000
TE Austin Hooper DK: $3,900 FD: $5,100

It’s looking like RB Nick Chubb will be suiting up for this one after a long lay-off, and with the forecast for this game being what it is – the timing is perfect for the Browns to have their two star backs ready to roll.  The match-up here is outstanding for each of them as they go up against arguably the worst run defence in football.  I’m expecting both to see double digit touches – and while the likely split time is enough to put a cap on their workload, I do think they are worth considering for high single digit percentages of your MME formats (though both do miss The Cruncher List for Week 10).

As for the passing game, TE Austin Hooper looks to be ready to roll in this one.  He was playing outstanding before running into appendix issues – and he is priced very reasonably on both sites.  He had caught 15 of 22 targets in the three games before his injury – and without OBJ in the fold and with poor weather in this one – I wouldn’t be surprised to see a couple more looks go his way as Baker tries to fill that void in the receiving group.  He’s on The Cruncher List this week as an affordable TE option.

The Cruncher List

  • TE Austin Hooper

Good Plays

  • RB Nick Chubb
  • RB Kareem Hunt

Tampa Bay (-6) @ Carolina, Projected Total: 50

Panthers vs. QB: 9th Bucs vs. QB: 7th
Panthers vs. RB: 28th Bucs vs. RB: 8th
Panthers vs. WR: 6th Bucs vs. WR: 9th
Panthers vs. TE: 12th Bucs vs. TE: 18th

Tampa Bay – Projected Total: 28 points

QB Tom Brady DK: $6,300 FD: $7,800
RB Leonard Fournette DK: $5,500 FD: $6,400
RB Ronald Jones DK: $5,300 FD: $6,400
WR Mike Evans DK: $6,300 FD: $7,300
WR Chris Godwin DK: $6,000 FD: $7,500
WR Antonio Brown DK: $5,800 FD: $6,500
TE Rob Gronkowski DK: $4,700 FD: $6,100

With so many mouths to feed fresh off of a dismal Week 9 effort against the Saints – I think this is a prime opportunity to fade the Bucs altogether this week.  Chris Godwin and Mike Evans both saw plenty of looks in last week’s loss – but that shouldn’t be too surprising considering they were playing down a bunch the entire game.  The game script likely won’t look the same here this week, and I have no problem sitting this one out while we get more data on how the Bucs passing game will look with WR Antonio Brown added to the mix.  I don’t hate the idea of stacking the Bucs for 5-8% of GPP line-ups, rotating some Brady-two receiving options stacks – but I think you’ll only want to do this if you try out numerous combinations between Evans, Godwin, Brown and Gronk because at this point, I think the outlook is highly unpredictable.

As for the ground game – the match-up here is great, which should set up RB Ronald Jones for a nice day given his likelihood to get more early down work than 3rd down back Leonard Fournette – however, this remains a highly unpredictable timeshare and one that I have no problem avoiding given how many other options are in clear-cut scenarios.  I really don’t love this spot from a fantasy standpoint for any of the Bucs this week.  I think they’ll put up points, but trying to peg where they will come from is extremely difficult in my opinion.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • Bucs DST

Carolina – Projected Total: 22 points

QB Teddy Bridgewater DK: $6,100 FD: $7,000
RB Mike Davis DK: $4,000 FD: $5,400
WR Robby Anderson DK: $6,100 FD: $6,400
WR DJ Moore DK: $5,100 FD: $6,900
WR Curtis Samuel DK: $4,900 FD: $5,700

With McCaffrey ruled out for this weekend’s game, you can fire up min-priced Mike Davis on DK this week as a free square.  He’s very cheap on FD as well and a great option on both sites.  I think you can go as far as to hit the lock button on Davis on DK and see where the chips fall, even in a tough match-up.  He should see plenty of work on the ground and through the air in this one.

As for the receiving threats – we’ve seen WR Curtis Samuel post back to back monster games and while it was nice to see his volume get a boost last week against KC – this is a week where I think you can fade the Panthers WR’s in a tough match-up against a Bucs defence that I think will have a bounceback effort after having 38 hung on them by the Saints last week.

The Cruncher List

  • RB Mike Davis

Good Plays

  • None

LA Chargers @ Miami (-1), Projected Total: 48.5 points

Dolphins vs. QB: 14th Chargers vs. QB: 28th
Dolphins vs. RB: 23rd Chargers vs. RB: 17th
Dolphins vs. WR: 20th Chargers vs. WR: 10th
Dolphins vs. TE: 4th Chargers vs. TE: 26th

LA Chargers – Projected total: 23.75 points

QB Justin Herbert DK: $6,600 FD: $8,000
RB Joshua Kelley DK: $4,400 FD: $5,200
WR Keenan Allen DK: $7,100 FD: $7,800
WR Mike Williams DK: $5,400 FD: $5,900
TE Hunter Henry DK: $4,100 FD: $5,500

The Chargers square off against Miami in the Herbert-Tua game this week, which is one of the more interesting ones on the slate.  Miami’s defence has been pretty tough on opposing passing games this season – though we just saw Kyler Murray have a monster game in this one.  The Dolphins look to be without Van Noy and Wilkins up front – who are two key cogs in their front seven, as they are both on the Covid list and look likely to miss this week’s game.

QB Justin Herbert and WR Keenan Allen are both elite options at their price points in this one.  Allen has been outstanding ever since Herbert took over under center.  He has seen double digit targets every week since that happened with the exception being the game that he got hurt in the first quarter.  I see no reason for anything to change there, and even though he is priced up this week, he is a high floor, high ceiling option at TE who should see plenty of looks yet again.  WR Mike Williams had a strong Week 9 showing, hauling in 5 of 7 targets for 81 and a TD.  I do think this match-up is a tough one for him, and while he’s worth mixing into your builds – I wouldn’t go nuts with exposure to him in this one as he should see plenty of CB Xavian Howard in this one.  TE Hunter Henry is cheap, but Miami has been great at defending TE’s this season.  He seems to be a safe bet to have a 3-4 catch floor for around 30-40 yards, with potential for more.  I think the Henry breakout game is coming – but I would be surprised if it happens this week.

I don’t have interest in the running game for the Chargers in this one, even though the match-up is good.  I prefer other options on the board than Kelley and/or Ballage.

The Cruncher List

  • QB Justin Herbert
  • WR Keenan Allen

Good Plays

  • TE Hunter Henry

Miami – Projected Total: 24.75 points

QB Tua Tagovailoa DK: $5,600 FD: $6,800
RB Matt Breida DK: $4,000 FD: $4,600
WR DaVante Parker DK: $5,000 FD: $6,000
WR Jakeem Grant DK: $3,000 FD: $4,600
TE Mike Gesicki DK: $4,300 FD: $5,300

Tua managed to win the battle vs. Kyler Murray last week in a big statement win for the Dolphins.  They have another tough one this week as even though the Chargers are 2-6 – they have lost a well documented series of games late.  Tua is priced very reasonably – and if you like this game to go over the total, I think he’s an elite option at the position for some salary relief – even if you opt to play him naked without any other Dolphins.

WR DaVante Parker is very cheap for the team’s #1 WR.  He caught 6 of 7 targets for 64 yards last week and will be leaned on heavily by Tua in this one with Preston Williams put onto IR for a few weeks.  I think he’s an elite option in this one at his price point.  If you are looking for a punt who should see plenty of snaps, WR Jakeem Grant fits the bill.  The diminutive speedster should see an uptick in snaps this week and hauled in 4 of 5 targets a week ago.  The range of outcomes here is pretty wide – which is enough for me to keep him off of The Cruncher List this week – but he is one of the more intriguing punts with upside on the board for me.  Finally, this should be a great spot for TE Mike Gesicki, who has been maddengly inconsistent this season.  With Williams’ injury, I’m expecting Gesicki to see his fair share of targets in the passing game and he’s worth including in your player pool this week.  The floor is very low with Gesicki – but he does lead all NFL TE’s in aDOT with one up over 11 yards per target.

If you are looking for a darkhorse, contrarian dart throw that should be sub 0.5% owned – I wouldn’t be shocked if TE Durham Smythe or TE Adam Shaheen were to score in this one.  Miami has been targeting both TE’s at a disproportionately high clip in the redzone over the past number of weeks.

The Cruncher List

  • QB Tua Tagovailoa
  • WR DaVante Parker

Good Plays

  • WR Jakeem Grant (DK)
  • TE Mike Gesicki
  • Dolphins DST

Denver @ Las Vegas (-4), Projected Total: 50.5

Raiders vs. QB: 27th Broncos vs. QB: 25th
Raiders vs. RB: 29th Broncos vs. RB: 5th
Raiders vs. WR: 19th Broncos vs. WR: 24th
Raiders vs. TE: 13th Broncos vs. TE: 11th

Denver – Projected Total: 23.25 points

QB Drew Lock DK: $5,500 FD: $7,100
RB Melvin Gordon DK: $5,200 FD: $6,600
WR Jerry Jeudy DK: $5,600 FD: $5,800
WR Tim Patrick DK: $4,900 FD: $5,500
WR KJ Hamler DK: $3,800 FD: $5,200
TE Noah Fant DK: $4,900 FD: $5,700

Denver comes into this one projected for a below average total for the slate – and my only area of potential interest for the Broncos lies with the pass catchers.  TE Noah Fant is among the best options at TE this week.  He is a little bit more expensive than what I usually like to pay at the position – and after a disappointing week where he was owned at pretty high levels, I wouldn’t be surprised to see him check in below the 10% mark this week.  He only saw 3 targets last week but hauled in all three of them – and Id expect him to be more in the 6-8 range, which is more typical of his usual volume in a game that should be somewhat high scoring.

As for the WR’s here – there’s three decent options on the board here – and I think their floors are reflected in their prices.  Jeudy is the top option and should be a key cog in their passing attack pretty much any week.  If I liked Drew Luck more, I think he’d be getting a lot more buzz than he currently is – but at his salary – I would rather opt for a lower owned option like Tim Patrick and/or KJ Hamler.  Our projections are pretty similar for all three of these guys – and I tend to agree with them, making Hamler my favourite option of the trio….though none of them make the cut for The Cruncher List this week.

The Cruncher List

  • TE Noah Fant

Good Plays

  • WR KJ Hamler

Las Vegas – Projected Total: 27.25 points

QB Derek Carr DK: $5,400 FD: $6,900
RB Josh Jacobs DK: $6,500 FD: $7,500
WR Henry Ruggs III DK: $4,500 FD: $5,600
WR Nelson Agholor DK: $4,900 FD: $5,100
TE Darren Waller DK: $5,900 FD: $7,000

The Raiders come into this one with a healthy total going up against a Denver defence that has been stout against the run – but that has struggled to defend opposing passing attacks.  QB Derek Carr is a viable near-punt at the QB position, though as I’ve mentioned in the past few weeks – my preference generally has been to pay up at QB unless you think the value option is likely to compete with them on an absolute basis.  That isn’t the case in my books for Carr this week – and there is enough value on the board at other positions to keep him off of The Cruncher List for me in Week 10…though if you find yourself in need of a QB under $5,500 on DK and under $7,000 on FD – he is a quality option.  I don’t have interest in any of the Raiders WR’s – something that has remained constant for most of this season – but TE Darren Waller remains an elite option if you can fit him into your line-ups.  He is among the best in the game at the position and is the clear top option for Carr through the air.  He leads all NFL TE’s in targets per game at 9.

I don’t have interest in Josh Jacobs in this spot.  His lack of usage in the passing game continues to be baffling – and really puts a limit on his ceiling, especially in a match-up against a team that has done a good job of limiting fantasy production to opposing RB’s so far in 2020.

The Cruncher List

  • TE Darren Waller

Good Plays

  • QB Derek Carr

Buffalo @ Arizona (-2), Projected Total: 56.5

Cards vs. QB: 16th Bills vs. QB: 19th
Cards vs. RB: 20th Bills vs. RB: 22nd
Cards vs. WR: 16th Bills vs. WR: 9th
Cards vs. TE: 10th Bills vs. TE: 28th

Buffalo – Projected Total: 27.25 points

QB Josh Allen DK: $7,500 FD: $8,700
RB Zack Moss DK: $5,200 FD: $5,800
RB Devin Singletary DK: $4,300 FD: $5,600
WR Stefon Diggs DK: $7,500 FD: $7,900
WR John Brown DK: $5,300 FD: $5,600
WR Cole Beasley DK: $4,700 FD: $5,400

This game has plenty of appeal as a potential game stack – which isn’t too surprising given the fact that the projected total is the highest on the slate.  Buffalo is fresh off of a big home win over Seattle and the duo of Josh Allen and Stefon Diggs are both in great spots this week as the core pieces that I think you’ll want exposure to in your builds.  Allen had been struggling for a little bit – but bounced back in a big way last week, putting up 39 DKP.  Both QB’s in this game like to run the ball, especially down near the goal-line, and if there was one game that had the highest probability of having a QB from it be a part of large-field GPP wins this week – I think it would be Allen or Murray at the top of the list.  As for Diggs, he has been one of the best fantasy producers at the position and although he’s expensive – I think he’ll have another big day here in what should be a high scoring game.  If you are looking for a second piece of Buffalo’s passing game, WR John Brown is likely the play here.  He looked back to his normal self last week after being hobbled with a calf injury for a number of weeks, putting up a 8-99 line on 11 targets a week ago.

The running game here is a pretty easy fade for me.  They are in a timeshare with Moss getting redzone carries while Singletary is used more in the passing game.  If Arizona gets up big then he could potential rack up some receptions – but to me, it’s hard to envision either of them finding a path to a massive week.

The Cruncher List

  • QB Josh Allen
  • WR Stefon Diggs

Good Plays

  • WR John Brown

Arizona, Projected Total: 29.25 points

QB Kyler Murray DK: $8,000 FD: $8,800
RB Chase Edmonds DK: $6,300 FD: $7,100
WR DeAndre Hopkins DK: $7,700 FD: $8,600
WR Christian Kirk DK: $5,700 FD: $6,300
WR Larry Fitzgerald DK: $3,900 FD: $5,000

Kyler Murray has been the QB1 in fantasy circles this week, and is an elite option worth paying up for this week in what should be yet another track meet.  He has the highest floor and ceiling at the position, largely due to how frequently he has been running (especially near the goal-line).  WR DeAndre Hopkins has alternated great and bad weeks over his past 4 games.  This week, he draws a match-up with White, and I think he’s in tough.  Not to say he can’t get there – but if I’m going to spend up this week at WR, I do prefer the spot for some of the other elite WR’s in the game.  WR Christian Kirk is likely to be the main beneficiary of the match-up for Hopkins and should see a couple extra targets head his way.  He has seen 8 targets in back to back weeks and has scored 5 TD’s in the past 3 games.  Priced affordably – he’s on The Cruncher List this week and I like his chances of providing the highest fantasy output of any ARI WR this week.  WR Larry Fitzgerald is in play on DK as a second receiving option for ARI if you are looking for a punt with some upside…but that’s the only way I would use him.

As for the running game, RB Kenyan Drake is a GTD – if I had to bet on it, I’d be surprised if he suited up for this one.  Chase Edmonds saw pretty much all of the work last week and came crashing back to earth from his great per snap stats in relief of Drake.  He got a bit of a taste of the blocking that Drake got, being kept in check by a poor Miami run defence.  If Drake suits up in this one – I think you can just take a pass here – but if he does sit – I love this spot for Edmonds.  Buffalo has played a funnel defence since the start of 2019 that can be susceptible to the run and the price point is fantastic for a player who would get the snap count and opportunity that Edmonds would if Drake doesn’t play.  He should also have a fraction of the ownership levels that he had last week after putting up a quiet Week 9 effort.

The Cruncher List

  • QB Kyler Murray
  • RB Chase Edmonds (if Drake sits)
  • WR Christian Kirk

Good Plays

  • WR DeAndre Hopkins

San Francisco @ New Orleans (-10), Projected Total: 49

Saints vs. QB: 21st 49ers vs. QB: 17th
Saints vs. RB: 3rd 49ers vs. RB: 2nd
Saints vs. WR: 23rd 49ers vs. WR: 17th
Saints vs. TE: 25th 49ers vs. TE: 6th

San Francisco – Projected Total: 19.5 points

QB Nick Mullins DK: $5,300 FD: $6,600
RB Jerrick McKinnon DK: $5,600 FD: $5,500
WR Brandon Aiyuk DK: $5,700 FD: $6,500
WR Richie James DK: $4,000 FD: $5,400
TE Jordan Reed DK: $3,500 FD: $5,000

The 49ers check in as massive dogs this week, 10 points as they take on New Orleans who are fresh off of steamrolling the Bucs in Week 9.  With Nick Mullins under center the passing game has really struggled – though as we saw last week, if the 49ers are chasing there is the potential for a big game here.  Last week, it was Richie James – but with Brandon Aiyuk back in the fold – I would expect him to be the beneficiary if the game happens to play out in accordance to the spread here.  Apparently he was the featured option that Shanahan was hoping to show off against the Packers – a role that James filled in after the Kendrick Bourne announcement.  There’s risk to Aiyuk if the game doesn’t play out this way – but I think San Fran is in tough and I love this spot for him.  He’s on The Cruncher List this week – though I wouldn’t put too much weight on him in your builds.  Low double digits should be enough to get a significant overweight position if you happen to agree with my thoughts on this one.

The rest of the squad is a pretty easy fade for me.

The Cruncher List

  • WR Brandon Aiyuk

Good Plays

  • None

New Orleans – Projected Total: 29.5 points

QB Drew Brees DK: $6,400 FD: $7,600
RB Alvin Kamara DK: $8,200 FD: $9,000
WR Michael Thomas DK: $7,400 FD: $8,500
WR Emmanuel Sanders DK: $4,800 FD: $5,800
TE Jared Cook DK: $4,600 FD: $6,000

The Saints check in with one of the higher projected totals on the board this week, playing at home against the Saints.  RB Alvin Kamara remains an elite option at the RB position if you can afford him.  His usage in the passing game is second to none at the position and he got a bit of a breather compared to his usual usage last week with the Saints blowing out TB.  He still ended up with 15.9 DKP, which was his lowest output of the season.  Expect him back in the 25-30 range this week – and he is an elite option at RB, though I don’t think this is a week where you ‘have’ to use him.

WR Michael Thomas returned last week and really wasn’t needed – but he still caught 5 of 6 targets for 51 yards.  It’s just a matter of time before Thomas gets things going – and at these price levels, he checks in significantly cheaper than the prices that we saw from him last year and though there is risk to using him in case he isn’t back to his ‘usual’ form – I think it’s worth the risk in this one.  He’ll pop one of these weeks and then be chalk the next week…so there’s the potential to be in a great spot if you are on him in the week that he breaks out.

The rest of the Saints are a pretty easy fade for me this week.

The Cruncher List

  • RB Alvin Kamara
  • WR Michael Thomas

Good Plays

  • QB Drew Brees
  • Saints DST

Seattle @ LA Rams (-1) – Projected Total: 54.5 points

Rams vs. QB: 4th Seahawks vs. QB: 32nd
Rams vs. RB: 8th Seahawks vs. RB: 13th
Rams vs. WR: 2nd Seahawks vs. WR: 32nd
Rams vs. TE: 15th Seahawks vs. TE: 7th

Seattle – Projected Total: 26.75 points

QB Russell Wilson DK: $7,700 FD: $8,900
RB Chris Carson DK: $6,200 FD: $7,800
WR DK Metcalf DK: $7,600 FD: $8,300
WR Tyler Lockett DK: $6,500 FD: $7,400
WR David Moore DK: $3,400 FD: $5,300

Seattle has a low projected total for their standards this week, taking on an elite Rams defence.  There is risk to fading them any week – but in this match-up, I do prefer other options on the board and I think that I’ll be off of Seattle this week.  If you end up stacking Rams, it could be worth running back Metcalf or Lockett – or just using both combinations.  I wouldn’t blame anyone that wanted to use Russell along with Metcalf and/or Lockett – and you have an opportunity to get them with what might be the lowest ownership levels that they have had all season, but I won’t be in that camp this week.

Keep an eye on the status for RB Chris Carson.  Either way, I don’t have a lot of interest in him, or other Seattle RB’s, regardless of what Carson’s status is.

The Cruncher List

  • None

Good Plays

  • None

LA Rams – Projected Total: 27.75 points

QB Jared Goff DK: $6,500 FD: $7,400
RB Darrell Henderson DK: $5,900 FD: $5,800
WR Robert Woods DK: $6,600 FD: $7,700
WR Cooper Kupp DK: $6,900 FD: $7,200
WR Josh Reynolds DK: $3,500 FD: $5,000
TE Gerald Everett DK: $3,100 FD: $4,500
TE Tyler Higbee DK: $3,700 FD: $5,200

The Rams have a healthy projected total this week, taking on the Seattle pass defence that continues to get torched.  QB Jared Goff is poised to benefit from this match-up.  He has had three straight pedestrian fantasy outputs but is in a prime get-right spot this week, something similar to what Josh Allen had done before popping against the Seahawks secondary.  I think this is an interesting spot to fade Goff – maybe instead focusing on sprinkling in exposure to Rams WR’s on their own as I do expect Goff to be one of the most popular options at QB this week….and he’s no stranger to volatile outcomes.  That’s how I am leaning as of Saturday afternoon – and I’ll go against the grain and keep him off of The Cruncher List this week….though there is plenty of time for that to blow-up in my face.

Woods, Kupp and Josh Reynolds as a punt with upside are all in fantastic spots.  If you like more than one of these options – you can safely ignore my advice on Goff above.  Reynolds is my favourite option here – he has been featured pretty heavily in the Rams attack in the past few weeks and costs next to nothing.  He’s an elite punt with upside, and I wouldn’t be shocked to see him end the week with one of the highest ROI’s at the WR position on the slate.  He has seen 17 targets over the past two games.  WR Cooper Kupp saw a whopping 21 targets against Miami before the bye and slogged his way to what was a pretty painful 11-110 line.  He didn’t score.  He’s my favourite option between him and Woods as Woods clearly is the WR that other teams are trying to limit.  I’ll be off of Woods this week altogether, though in a similar sentiment to what I have for Goff – it has the potential to blow up on me as the Seahawks secondary has been atrocious.

I don’t have interest in the running game for the Rams or either of the TE’s this week.

The Cruncher List

  • WR Josh Reynolds (DK)

Good Plays

  • QB Jared Goff
  • WR Cooper Kupp
  • WR Josh Reynolds (FD)

Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh (-7), Projected Total: 46 points

Steelers vs. QB: 5th Bengals vs. QB: 18th
Steelers vs. RB: 7th Bengals vs. RB: 26th
Steelers vs. WR: 25th Bengals vs. WR: 18th
Steelers vs. TE: 3rd Bengals vs. TE: 31st

Cincinnati – Projected Total: 19.5 points

QB Joe Burrow DK: $5,700 FD: $7,200
RB Giovani Bernard DK: $5,400 FD: $6,200
WR Tyler Boyd DK: $6,400 FD: $6,700
WR Tee Higgins DK: $5,500 FD: $6,100
WR AJ Green DK: $4,400 FD: $5,600

The Bengals check in with a low projected total this week, which shouldn’t be too surprising given the fact they are taking on the Steelers.  Outside of RB Giovani Bernard, they are a pretty easy team for me to fade this week in what should be a tough spot for the young Bengals offence.  Bernard is an elite option at RB with a high floor, even in this match-up, assuming that Mixon sits.

The Cruncher List

  • RB Giovani Bernard

Good Plays

  • None

Pittsburgh – Projected Total: 26.5 points

QB Ben Roethlisberger DK: $6,200 FD: $7,400
RB James Conner DK: $6,900 FD: $7,600
WR Diontae Johnson DK: $5,200 FD: $5,700
WR Chase Claypool DK: $5,800 FD: $6,100
WR Juju Smith-Schuster DK: $6,100 FD: $6,400
TE Eric Ebron DK: $4,400 FD: $5,400

Pittsburgh checks in with a healthy projected total, taking on a Bengals defence that has struggled to defend across the board.  I don’t have interest in Big Ben – but I think this is a great spot for RB James Conner, and I like the spot for WR Diontae Johnson as well.  Conner had a quiet workload last week as Pittsburgh rallied from behind against a surprising Dallas squad – but should be back to his usual 20 touch effort in this one and I think he’s one of the better plays on the board at the RB position.  He’s an elite option this week.

As for the WR’s – they are pretty tough to predict.  WR Juju Smith-Schuster remains the most expensive option out of the three, and he has come to life of late, with 29 targets over the past three games with him clearing 65 receiving yards in each of them.  He continues to be used primarily out of the slot and short, which I think puts a cap on his ceiling unless Pittsburgh is trailing, and even though he has looked solid of late – I don’t think this week is a great spot for him.  That leaves Chase Claypool and Johnson as the two options to consider here.  Claypool has the higher ceiling of the two options – but I have a feeling it will be Johnson who has the best day here.  He checks in as the cheapest option and although him making it through the game without getting hurt is always a question, I like the upside here from a game theory play here as I am not expecting too many to roster him at all.  It’s a bit of a coinflip here – so give me the guy that I think will be lower owned.

Ebron is worth keeping in your player pool against the Bengals who have been torched by TE’s all season long.  He has quietly put up double digit DKP in each of the past three games, though I do prefer other options on the board which keeps him off of The Cruncher List this week.

The Cruncher List

  • RB James Conner
  • WR Diontae Johnson

Good Plays

  • WR Chase Claypool
  • TE Eric Ebron
  • Steelers DST

Best of luck in your Week 10 DFS action!

About Brad

Brad hates the term fantasy sports expert, so instead he is someone who specializes in NFL, NHL and MLB DFS notes and analysis. He had a 68.2% win rate in 2015 NFL cash games to go along with a 83.5% win rate for the 2014 season. For NHL he had a 58.7% win rate in the 2015-16 season for cash games and a 66.2% win rate for the 2014-15 season. You can follow him on Twitter @bradsgotmoxy.

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