DraftKings Xfinity NASCAR DFS – Draft Top 250 – October 31, 2020

DraftKings Xfinity NASCAR DFS – Draft Top 250 – October 31, 2020

Core Plays

Harrison Burton – DK: $10,300 – Starting 10th

We get an interesting race this weekend as the Xfinity series returns to Martinsville for the first time since 2006. So long ago, Kevin Harvick won the last race in this circuit, then called the Busch Series. So with no real track data for these drivers at all, we are just going to have to be comparative. Martinsville is the smallest track on the circuit at just 0.53 miles in length. The closest comparison we can draw here is going to be Bristol. Harrison Burton has been a core play for us twice now recently and this week we are making it a three-peat. Burton has had races of 40.5 and 68.5 fantasy points the last two weeks including the victory last week at Texas. Burton has excelled at short-tracks this year, with a fourth-place finish at Bristol and a fourth-place finish at Richmond. Going back further to earlier in the year, Burton had another fourth-place finish at Bristol en route to 66 fantasy points. Burton’s price dropped by $100 after a win and with his tenth position start, we still have a differential upside.

Colby Howard – DK: $5,700 – Starting 27th

Howard has been hit or miss this year, but there have been certain times to use him and on short-tracks has been the first place for me. In two races at Bristol this year we have seen some of the highest fantasy output from Howard – 33 fantasy points back in September and then 32 back in June. Both of those races came at the same track size that Martinsville offers. Of course, these tracks do operate a bit differently, but as said above, with no race since 2006, we have no real data on how some of these teams will approach it. Add in the fact of no practice or qualifying and we are really shooting in the dark here. But just using some of the short-track data we have for Howard, this seems like a worthy dart to fire and one that will save us money. We don’t need anything crazy here, just a finish in the 15-24 range as his price will allow us to get more action towards the top of the pricing.

Cheat Sheet

$ TierD
High
AJ Allmendinger
(12.5k / 78.76)
Chase Briscoe
(11.5k / 41.94)
Harrison Burton
(10.3k / 50.00)
Medium
Justin Haley
(9.4k / 37.65)
Riley Herbst
(9.1k / 49.82)
Timmy Hill
(8.3k / 41.41)
Gray Gaulding
(7.6k / 47.80)
Brandon Brown
(7.5k / 30.70)
Low
J.J. Yeley
(6k / 28.20)
Colby Howard
(5.7k / 23.03)
Chad Finchum
(5.1k / 19.01)

About James Smizek

James is a daily fantasy sports veteran dating all the way back to his days of writing content on DraftStreet.com for contest tickets. James specializes in College Football - qualifying for the CFB World Championship in 2018, though you can find his content for NFL, NBA, MLB, and NASCAR on FantasyCruncher. James also shifted his focus to ESports during the sports shutdown - carving out his niche in League of Legends, Call of Duty, and Rocket League contests. You can find James 150 entering every mini-max under the sun. James currently resides in La Crosse Wisconsin and is a huge Wisconsin sports fan. If you have any questions you can reach out to James @iKezims on Twitter.

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