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MLB Playoff Rundown – Divisional Round – Thursday, October 8, 2020

Welcome to the MLB DFS Divisional Round rundown & cheat sheet column for Thursday, October 8, 2020.

Looking for help with building line-ups on DraftKings, FanDuel and Yahoo for the 2020 MLB DFS Playoffs?  We’ll be here each day covering our thoughts on the Main Slate of action covering our thoughts on the best plays and picks for the day’s MLB Playoff DFS contests!

With 4 games on the slate, there are a lot of different ways that you can go when it comes to building line-ups for today’s Divisional Round action!  We have a few openers taking the ball for their respective clubs, as well as one afternoon game where we still don’t have a starter announced….so you’ll want to be nimble as you build rosters today!  Let’s have a look at some ways to approach line-up construction!

  • As far as pitching goes today, as would be expected as we get into Game 4 (AL) and Game 3 (NL) – it shouldn’t be shocking to see the quality of options available on the bump today lower than what we’ve seen the last couple of days.  We’ll also see a shorter leash on a lot of these options as we move closer to the end of the respective series.
  • I expect four pitchers to garner a lot of the ownership today: Jordan Montgomery, Kyle Wright, Sixto Sanchez and Frankie Montas (depending on if Greinke goes for Houston).  I’m expecting Montgomery to be an interesting candidate to fade – the Rays have looked outstanding so far in this series, and based on his recent form – he should be one of – if not the most popular option tonight.  I like what I’ve seen so far from the Rays with the sticks to focus my exposure on other options tonight – though there is some risk here if you opt to fade based on the swing and miss stuff that we’ve seen from Montgomery of late.
  • Sixto is a really intriguing option today.  He was strong in his last start out, going 5 shut-out innings against the Cubs, striking out 6 – and I wouldn’t be surprised to see him go deep into this one as the Marlins have their backs against the wall – and even though the match-up is tough, today’s slate has limited options in terms of high ceilings, and I think Sanchez has as high of a ceiling as any option today….which is the opposite of Kyle Wright – who will likely be popular based on the higher floor that he offers as he goes up against what many feel is the worst line-up on the slate.  For me – give me Sanchez for the ceiling.
  • Finally – the risk is high with Frankie Montas – but he has a very high ceiling as well as he goes up against the Astros.  The potential for a short outing is there.  If he struggles he won’t be around long as the A’s have their backs against the wall still as they try to come back from down 2-0 with another win to even the series today.  We saw them pull out all the stops yesterday with their bullpen usage, using Liam Hendricks for 3 innings…and I wouldn’t be shocked to see a similar method used today where they pull out all the stops.  With that said, they really could use a deep start from Montas, and if he is cruising, they may let him ride.  He looked great in his last start in the regular season after a disappointing stretch, where he struck out 13 Mariners – and while the range of outcomes here is wide – he is a strong option today in my books if you can stomach the risk.
  • As far as the bats go, I don’t think this is a day where you have to go with a 5-3 stack.  I like the idea of spreading out ownership levels today – perhaps going with a 4-3-1, 3-3-2 or 3-2-2-1 approach when it comes to rounding out your hitters today.
  • If you are looking for an intriguing option – if you are going with me on the mound today, I like the spot for the Marlins hitters.  They are cheap, opening your roster up for some high spends to compliment them & while Wright comes into this one ending his season with two strong outings, he was still a pitcher that posted an ERA over 5 while pitching to a SIERA of 5.83 and allowing 1.66 HR/9.  The Marlins check in with the 3rd highest total on the board (with a couple teams off with no line as of yet) – but I love the upside here for Miami hitters in this match-up, especially at their prices.

DraftKings Cheat Sheet

$ TierPC1B2B3BSSOF
High
Zack Greinke
(9.5k / 15.58)
Will Smith
(4.6k / 10.87)
Matt Olson
(4.7k / 8.58)
Jose Altuve
(4.2k / 8.49)
Alex Bregman
(4.4k / 9.28)
Fernando Tatis Jr.
(4.9k / 11.13)
Ronald Acuna
(5.1k / 13.70)
Sixto Sanchez
(8.1k / 12.91)
Mike Brosseau
(5k / 0.94)
DJ LeMahieu
(4.9k / 12.18)
Justin Turner
(4.5k / 12.40)
Corey Seager
(5k / 14.50)
Mookie Betts
(5.3k / 15.30)
Frankie Montas
(8.6k / 12.52)
Medium
Travis d'Arnaud
(4k / 10.28)
Brian Anderson
(3.8k / 8.43)
Willy Adames
(4.2k / 5.55)
Marcell Ozuna
(4.4k / 11.99)
Giancarlo Stanton
(4.3k / 12.04)
A.J. Pollock
(4.1k / 7.55)
Low
Chad Wallach
(2.4k / 2.35)
Jesus Aguilar
(3.1k / 7.31)
Jon Berti
(2.5k / 6.69)
Chad Pinder
(2.2k / 5.50)
Jazz Chisholm
(2.9k / 4.99)
Randy Arozarena
(3.8k / 9.04)
Kyle Tucker
(3.8k / 7.54)
Aaron Hicks
(3.5k / 9.13)
Corey Dickerson
(3k / 7.19)

FanDuel Cheat Sheet

$ TierPC1B2B3BSSOF
High
Sixto Sanchez
(9.5k / 23.01)
Luke Voit
(3.9k / 14.78)
Alex Bregman
(3.8k / 12.10)
Fernando Tatis Jr.
(4.4k / 14.52)
Mookie Betts
(4.2k / 19.95)
Ronald Acuna
(4.5k / 17.87)
Medium
Frankie Montas
(8.1k / 22.30)
Matt Olson
(3.1k / 11.19)
Tommy La Stella
(3k / 12.43)
Justin Turner
(3.2k / 16.17)
A.J. Pollock
(3k / 9.84)
Zack Greinke
(8.1k / 27.76)
Will Smith
(2.9k / 14.18)
Aaron Hicks
(3.1k / 11.91)
Jesus Aguilar
(2.8k / 9.54)
Randy Arozarena
(3.4k / 11.79)
Low
Mike Brosseau
(2.5k / 1.23)
Chad Pinder
(2.3k / 7.17)
Marcus Semien
(2.9k / 11.16)
Corey Dickerson
(2.8k / 9.37)
Jazz Chisholm
(2.2k / 6.51)
Willy Adames
(2.5k / 7.24)
Hunter Renfroe
(2.7k / 0.83)

Yahoo! Cheat Sheet

$ TierPC1B2B3BSSOF
High
Sixto Sanchez
(36 / 12.91)
Luke Voit
(20 / 9.37)
DJ LeMahieu
(23 / 10.07)
Fernando Tatis Jr.
(24 / 9.21)
Mookie Betts
(22 / 12.65)
Zack Greinke
(38 / 15.58)
Ronald Acuna
(26 / 11.33)
Medium
Frankie Montas
(32 / 12.52)
Will Smith
(16 / 8.99)
Matt Olson
(15 / 7.10)
Tommy La Stella
(14 / 7.88)
Justin Turner
(16 / 10.26)
Marcus Semien
(18 / 7.08)
Corey Dickerson
(14 / 5.94)
Jesus Aguilar
(17 / 6.05)
Alex Bregman
(16 / 7.68)
Corey Seager
(19 / 11.99)
Kyle Tucker
(15 / 6.23)
Low
Chad Wallach
(7 / 1.94)
Jazz Chisholm
(7 / 4.13)
Mike Brosseau
(13 / 0.78)
Willy Adames
(11 / 4.59)
Mark Canha
(9 / 5.67)
Mike Zunino
(11 / 2.50)
Chad Pinder
(10 / 4.55)
Ramon Laureano
(8 / 4.47)

About Brad

Brad hates the term fantasy sports expert, so instead he is someone who specializes in NFL, NHL and MLB DFS notes and analysis. He had a 68.2% win rate in 2015 NFL cash games to go along with a 83.5% win rate for the 2014 season. For NHL he had a 58.7% win rate in the 2015-16 season for cash games and a 66.2% win rate for the 2014-15 season. You can follow him on Twitter @bradsgotmoxy.

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