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MLB Playoff Rundown – Divisional Round – Tuesday, October 6, 2020

Welcome to the MLB DFS Divisional Round rundown & cheat sheet column for Tuesday, October 6, 2020.

Looking for help with building line-ups on DraftKings, FanDuel and Yahoo for the 2020 MLB DFS Playoffs?  We’ll be here each day covering our thoughts on the Main Slate of action covering our thoughts on the best plays and picks for the day’s MLB Playoff DFS contests!

We have 4 games on the schedule today as the playoffs continue on Tuesday with the NL Divisional Round Series getting underway!  With limited options, I’ll include some key points below on my thoughts on the slate along with cheat sheets for each site that will cover all of the sites with our top plays of the day!

A few pointers here to complement the player pool-oriented cheat sheet:

  • Today’s pitching options give you a lot of different ways that you can go tonight, with a plethora of aces taking the ball for their respective clubs.  I think you can eliminate three of the options pretty easily: Sean Manaea, Deivi Garcia and Sandy Alcantara.  You’ll also want to figure out if you want to include Mike Clevenger, who looks like he’ll get the ball for the Padres in game one against the Dodgers, but I think given his match-up – you could eliminate him as well.  That leaves you with four options, all of which have their own merrits: Tyler Glasnow, Max Fried, Walker Buehler, and Framber Valdez.  They all have their questionmarks.  Can Fried pick up where he left off after a strong start in the Wildcard round, despite limping into the playoffs in terms of recent form?  Will Buehler pitch into the 5th inning tonight?  Can Glasnow navigate the scorching hot Yankee line-up?  Can you trust Valdez as much as the aforementioned trio?  For me, I’m really intrigued with using Valdez.  If you remove the name and just focus on the numbers, he was elite this year and pitched like a true ace, logging a SIERA of 3.23 to go along with a punch out per inning.  At this point in the season, you don’t get too many creampuff match-ups – so the fact that the A’s checked in with the 23rd ranked team in terms of wOBA against LHP this season is about as good as it gets.  I have a feeling he’ll be lower owned than he should be tonight, which is a nice bonus – and he’s my favourite option for tonight’s action.
  • I like the spot for Fried tonight as well as he goes up against the Marlins.  I feel there is minimal risk here with Fried, who also checks in at a very affordable price point of $7,700 for the SP2 slot on DK – but I probably wouldn’t look his way on the one-pitcher sites due to what I think is a lower ceiling than the big three.  The Marlins were above average against LHP on the season with a .331 wOBA, but I’m not too worried about the prospects for Fried.  If you do go this way and Buehler cruises deep into the game, it could backfire – but I think it’s a strategy that could pay off here if he sees another 4-5 inning outing.
  • I like the spot tonight for the Yankees from a ceiling standpoint, going up against Glasnow – who has struggled with his hard hit rate (if you want to nitpick at his stats).  I have a feeling their ownership levels will be kept in check due to the tough match-up that they have on paper, but they have a number of bats that are swinging it right now – and if I had to pick one team that intrigues me for tonight’s slate the most from a stacking standpoint, it would be them.
  • Outside of the Yankees, I think a great approach to tonight is focusing on some mini 2-3 man stacks, rotating combinations through your MME entries.  I usually subscribe to the 5-3 stacking approach on most slates, but I wouldn’t be shocked if tonight the best way to go would be something more along the lines of 3-2-2-1 or 3-3-2, spreading things out a little more due to the fact that we don’t see high projected totals on the board (4.8 runs is the highest, which both ATL and LAD have).

DraftKings Cheat Sheet

$ TierPC1B2B3BSSOF
High
Framber Valdez
(8.9k / 14.60)
(10k / 26.02)
Will Smith
(4.4k / 9.50)
(2.9k / 12.39)
Freddie Freeman
(5.4k / 12.90)
(4.2k / 16.83)
Brandon Lowe
(4.7k / 10.82)
(3.7k / 14.10)
Max Muncy
(4.8k / 12.15)
(3.6k / 15.84)
Fernando Tatis Jr.
(5.4k / 10.97)
(4.3k / 14.30)
Ronald Acuna
(5.5k / 13.44)
(4.5k / 17.53)
Walker Buehler
(8.5k / 15.12)
(8.9k / 26.93)
Travis d'Arnaud
(4.6k / 10.22)
(3k / 13.32)
DJ LeMahieu
(5.1k / 10.87)
(3.9k / 14.17)
Corey Seager
(5.2k / 13.59)
(4.2k / 17.72)
George Springer
(5.1k / 12.38)
(4k / 16.14)
Mookie Betts
(5.7k / 14.61)
(4.4k / 19.04)
Aaron Judge
(5.3k / 11.59)
(4.3k / 15.11)
Medium
Max Fried
(7.7k / 18.42)
(8.7k / 32.81)
Gary Sanchez
(4.2k / 3.69)
(2.9k / 4.81)
Alex Bregman
(4.5k / 11.02)
(3.6k / 14.36)
Carlos Correa
(4.5k / 8.17)
(3.1k / 10.65)
Mark Canha
(4k / 8.81)
(2.9k / 11.48)
Kyle Tucker
(3.8k / 9.18)
(3.7k / 11.97)
Low
Aledmys Diaz
(3k / 0.65)
(2.3k / 0.85)
Jon Berti
(3.3k / 6.10)
(2.9k / 7.96)
Brian Anderson
(3.7k / 6.50)
(2.9k / 8.47)
Randy Arozarena
(3.6k / 8.76)
(3.2k / 11.42)
Jesus Aguilar
(3.6k / 6.30)
(2.8k / 8.21)
Chad Pinder
(2.1k / 5.49)
(2.2k / 7.16)
Aaron Hicks
(3.6k / 7.97)
(3k / 10.39)

FanDuel Cheat Sheet

$ TierPC1B2B3BSSOF
High
Tyler Glasnow
(9.6k / 33.10)
Freddie Freeman
(4.2k / 16.83)
Brandon Lowe
(3.7k / 14.10)
Alex Bregman
(3.6k / 14.36)
Fernando Tatis Jr.
(4.3k / 14.30)
Ronald Acuna
(4.5k / 17.53)
Framber Valdez
(10k / 26.02)
Max Muncy
(3.6k / 15.84)
DJ LeMahieu
(3.9k / 14.17)
Corey Seager
(4.2k / 17.72)
George Springer
(4k / 16.14)
Aaron Judge
(4.3k / 15.11)
Medium
Walker Buehler
(8.9k / 26.93)
Justin Turner
(3.1k / 13.95)
Randy Arozarena
(3.2k / 11.42)
Aaron Hicks
(3k / 10.39)
Low
Ji-Man Choi
(2.4k / 9.57)
Jake Cronenworth
(2.5k / 6.71)
Chad Pinder
(2.2k / 7.16)
Carlos Correa
(3.1k / 10.65)
Mark Canha
(2.9k / 11.48)
Adam Duvall
(2.9k / 8.56)

Yahoo Cheat Sheet

$ TierPC1B2B3BSSOF
High
Tyler Glasnow
(48 / 18.58)
Travis d'Arnaud
(15 / 8.45)
Freddie Freeman
(27 / 10.67)
DJ LeMahieu
(22 / 8.98)
Justin Turner
(18 / 8.85)
Corey Seager
(20 / 11.24)
Mookie Betts
(22 / 12.08)
Will Smith
(19 / 7.86)
Ronald Acuna
(25 / 11.12)
George Springer
(24 / 10.23)
Medium
Framber Valdez
(35 / 14.60)
Brandon Lowe
(15 / 8.94)
Alex Bregman
(14 / 9.11)
Cody Bellinger
(18 / 8.88)
Walker Buehler
(40 / 15.12)
Brian Anderson
(15 / 5.37)
Mark Canha
(15 / 7.28)
Aaron Judge
(18 / 9.58)
Low
Gary Sanchez
(10 / 3.05)
Max Muncy
(11 / 10.04)
Jose Altuve
(12 / 8.43)
Carlos Correa
(8 / 6.75)
Joc Pederson
(8 / 4.02)
Yulieski Gurriel
(7 / 4.60)
Chad Pinder
(8 / 4.54)
Willy Adames
(11 / 5.13)
Lewis Brinson
(7 / 2.26)

About Brad

Brad hates the term fantasy sports expert, so instead he is someone who specializes in NFL, NHL and MLB DFS notes and analysis. He had a 68.2% win rate in 2015 NFL cash games to go along with a 83.5% win rate for the 2014 season. For NHL he had a 58.7% win rate in the 2015-16 season for cash games and a 66.2% win rate for the 2014-15 season. You can follow him on Twitter @bradsgotmoxy.

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