DraftKings & FanDuel NASCAR DFS – YellaWood 500 – October 4, 2020

DraftKings & FanDuel NASCAR DFS – YellaWood 500 – October 4, 2020

Core Plays

Brendan Gaughan – DK: $9,500 | FD: $5,000 – Starting 39th

Rarely do I use a FanDuel price to drive home a top core play, but in this case, I believe the price is so poor that this is a core play for me on FanDuel but has the ceiling to also pay off on DraftKings. Gaughan isn’t a name we see often at the Cup level, but he is a guy who usually runs (and runs well) at SuperSpeedways. Just a week ago at Daytona, Gaughan started 40th and finished 8th which led to 69.50 fantasy points. His last run at ‘Dega came back on June 21st, in which Gaughan started 39th and finished 21 for 44.50 fantasy points. Gaughan also had a strong showing in the Daytona 500, finishing 7th after starting 39th. The price on DraftKings is on the border of being a bit too much, but the price on FanDuel is almost laughably low. Through five races on the season, Gaughan is averaging 44.1 fantasy points and that is heavily suppressed by one bad run at Daytona on August 16th in which he finished 39th and only completed 46 laps. If we remove that race, Gaughan is averaging 54.5 fantasy points on FanDuel per race and is primed for another strong run at a track he has confidence in. Remember, these races at Talledega and Daytona and Miami, etc are a bit more variable and typically don’t have multiple dominators (if even any) for that fact, differential is a big key and though the price is higher than you are used to or maybe are comfortable with, Gaughan has the chops to pay it off. Outside of an accident, Gaughan is a lock for me on FanDuel.

Justin Haley – DK: $5,400 | FD: N/A – Starting 35th

This is a little bit of a long shot, but as mentioned above, anything really goes at SuperSpeedways and Haley has seen his share of success here at the Xfinity level. First off, Haley will eventually be a Cup driver, at just 21 years old we have a guy who could be ready to compete as early as next year. If you don’t remember, Haley won the Coke Zero 400 at Daytona in July of 2019 in what may have been one of the biggest (albeit fluiest) upset wins of all time. It needs to be noted, the race was called due to rain and he grabbed the lead during a red flag period, but it doesn’t take away the fact that he pulled it off. Haley raced in the Daytona 500 back in February, starting 33rd and finishing 13th for 55 fantasy points. This would prove to be optimal. Back on June 20th at the Xfinity level, Haley took the checkered flag while leading 16 laps. All in all, there is risk to this play, but there is risk to a lot of plays in this field. We are going to want to maximize differential here and I think Haley is as talented and has a better car than almost everyone else starting in the 30 or back position. This is a name to get used to if you don’t follow Xfinity racing and at $5,400 I have no issue with him as my value play. At the time of writing this, Haley is not in the FanDuel player pool. This will be updated when/if he is added.

Cheat Sheet

$ TierD
High
Chase Elliott
(10.5k / 59.69)
(11.8k / 59.69)
Joey Logano
(10.3k / 54.23)
(11.6k / 54.23)
Brendan Gaughan
(9.5k / 39.75)
(5k / 39.75)
Ryan Blaney
(9.1k / 51.30)
(12k / 51.30)
Ricky Stenhouse
(8.8k / 45.79)
(11k / 45.79)
Medium
Aric Almirola
(8.5k / 37.45)
(10.7k / 37.45)
Tyler Reddick
(7.9k / 43.14)
(9.6k / 43.14)
Low
Corey Lajoie
(6.7k / 14.16)
(5.5k / 14.16)
Chris Buescher
(6k / 21.46)
(5.5k / 21.46)
Justin Haley
(5.4k / 31.38)
( / 31.38)

About James Smizek

James is a daily fantasy sports veteran dating all the way back to his days of writing content on DraftStreet.com for contest tickets. James specializes in College Football - qualifying for the CFB World Championship in 2018, though you can find his content for NFL, NBA, MLB, and NASCAR on FantasyCruncher. James also shifted his focus to ESports during the sports shutdown - carving out his niche in League of Legends, Call of Duty, and Rocket League contests. You can find James 150 entering every mini-max under the sun. James currently resides in La Crosse Wisconsin and is a huge Wisconsin sports fan. If you have any questions you can reach out to James @iKezims on Twitter.

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