Welcome to the Daily MLB Rundown for FanDuel MLB DFS contests on Wednesday, September 16, 2020.
In this column, we’ll be walking you through the top pitchers and hitters (including stacks) to target for the day’s slate (9/16/2020).
Core Pitcher to Target
Jacob deGrom at PHI – $11,700 – The price is way over a comfort threshold for me here, but if you have the salary to pull this off then deGrom tops the list of ace pitchers we have going on this Wednesday slate. deGrom has been magical over his last few starts, though he may also be the NL Cy Young leader right now. deGrom has an elite WHIP of 0.87 and has seven quality starts in his nine starts on the year – including an ERA of just 1.67. Last start out deGrom struck out nine Blue Jays, allowing just one earned. The team he will face on Wednesday, the Phillies, he faced back on September 6th – striking out 12 batters over seven innings. We can’t always bet on an exact repeat performance, but deGrom has shown a floor of around 40 fantasy points consistently this year and gives us double-digit strikeout upside to go along with it.
Aaron Civale at CHC – $8,600 – Typically for the second starting pitcher in this article I am going to try and give you a cheaper option than the first listed. For today, Civale really is the bottom of my comfort level and you will be forced to spend a bit more than usual on pitcher today. Civale hasn’t been anything astonishing as of late, but he has averaged around 35 fantasy points in his last five starts. Though of those last five one was a very low 12, and another a high 52. So using a small sample we have kind of established our floor and ceiling a bit here. The Cubs offense hasn’t been anything extraordinary recently, outside a 12 run game against the Brewers. Besides that, the Cubs have averaged around just four runs per game over their last 12 games (excluding the 12) so even though this is an offense that is perceived to be strong, they actually lead the majors in strikeouts and are just boasting a .227 team average. This is strange considering they are 27-20. All-in-all, Civale shakes out as a decent mid-tier option, though I wouldn’t go too crazy on him. But if you need the savings, I think there is upside here.gtg
GPP Pitcher to Target
Brady Singer at DET, $8,000 – Singer is the easy definition of GPP play today based solely off of his last outing. Singer struck out eight batters over eight innings of one-hit ball against the Indians in his last start to the tune of 58 fantasy points. It had been a rough go for the young pitcher prior to that, but he put it all together last time out. A matchup with the Tiger’s isn’t really a worrisome one and at $8,000 we are just looking to capture lightning in a bottle again.
Core Stacks to Target
The Astros against the Rangers and Kyle Gibson top my favorite stacks of the day. The Astros offense hasn’t been the world beaters we have grown accustomed too, but one thing they do well is not strikeout. Kyle Gibson has not been racking up the K’s this year and has allowed 21 hits over just the last 14 innings. With a WHIP of 1.67, Gibson is allowing a slew of base-runners and is allowing a decently large reverse split, letting RHH hit .302 against him (though he has given up more long balls to lefties 8-6). I don’t think we can go wrong here and an injury to Carlos Correa could open up a little value towards the back end of the lineup. George Springer at $3,600 and Jose Altuve at just $3,000 are a strong starting point for me with a team total of 5.5 (which feels a little bit low to me).
The Braves against Orioles LHP Keegan Akin is another pick I think should be popular on Wednesday. Akin only lasted 0.2 of an inning last game out against the Yankees in a double-header, allowing four earned on three hits. The rookie southpaw looked solid in his first two MLB starts, but was knocked around a bit against a good hitting Yankees team. I think an equally strong hitting Braves team can handle the young lefty with their slew of power RHH bats. Austin Riley, Marcell Ozuna, and Ronald Acuna all looks appealing on paper here – the Braves lead the MLB in RBI’s, 2B’s, and second in HR’s.
I think it is possible the White Sox go under-owned on Wednesday making them a fringe GPP stack for me. Jake Odorizzi will take the mound for the Twins in his first start since August 21st. Over Odorizzi’s first three starts he has gone a total of 10 innings and given up 14 hits and nine earned. It’s possible his first start off the IL has played him back into the pitcher he used to be, but I am a believer it takes a bit to get back into pitching shape post-injury. The White Sox are projected for under five runs which just feels off against a pitcher with an ERA in the upper eights. White Sox bats aren’t too expensive here outside of Anderson and Abreu and I don’t think we see over 10% ownership on any of them.