The Daily MLB Rundown – DraftKings MLB DFS Picks – September 16, 2020 (9/16/20)

Welcome to the Daily MLB Rundown for DraftKings contests on Wednesday, September 16, 2020.

Eight games on the docket for the Main Slate tonight – led by a couple of 1A aces in great spots tonight.  Let’s have a look at some ways to approach building line-ups on Wednesday night’s MLB DFS action on DraftKings!

Approach to Pitching

Tonight, the main decision will be deciding which – if any of the big arms you’ll want to roster as we have three elite SP’s taking to the mound tonight as deGrom faces the Phillies, Cole the Jays and Giolito draws the Twins.  I’m expecting Cole and deGrom to be the highest owned, probably for good reason as the match-ups are better than the draw for Giolito – and Giolito also was pretty pedestrian in his last start.  I’m not telling you anything that you don’t know already when I say that all three of them are elite arms and worth including in your player pool tonight.  My favourite of the bunch is Cole, who has looked electric in each of his past two starts after a rough stretch in late August.  In his past two outings he has 19 punchouts over 13 innings, while only allowing a single earned run and 6 hits.  Toronto will be in tough facing him tonight, and I think he has the best night of the trio.

If you are looking for a pivot off of the above that frees up a little bit more cash, Dylan Bundy is intriguing.  The numbers are legit: 2.48 ERA, 10.4 K/9, 0.91 WHIP to go along with a SIERA of 3.48 which indicates he’s been a little bit fortunate this season, however – he is trending up…coming into this one fresh off of a 12 K start.  I expect his ownership to be higher in higher entry contests, and the salary savings that he offers is a nice bonus.  I don’t think he has the ceiling of the other three, but he’s pretty darn close.

So – who do you compliment the above with in your player pool on the value side of things?  Brady Singer is going to be the chalk choice, fresh off of 8 shut-out innings in his last start and facing a Detroit line-up that ranks 27th in baseball in wOBA against RHP to go along with a whopping 27.7% K rate.  I think you just eat the chalk here and load up on Singer at $6,200.  For MME formats, I love the idea of using Singer in combination with something like a 35-30-20-15 split between Cole-deGrom-Giolito-Bundy….but pick your weights and have at it.  Or ignore all together, your choice!  Either way, we wish you the best of luck tonight!

Approach to Hitting

Three teams stand out to me tonight in terms of stacking options – and the nice thing is that they cover different price points and projected totals.  That starts with Atlanta, who will be one of – if not the most popular option tonight in terms of being on rosters as they do have the highest projected total on the board, sitting at 5.6 runs.  They draw a plus match-up going up against talented, but green Orioles starter Keegan Allen – who has yet to pitch into the sixth inning in any of his starts.  He has shown signs of immense promise – but in his last start, he was chased in the first inning in a repeat match-up with the Yankees – and things don’t get any easier for him going up against the potent Braves line-up.  I love this spot for the RH sticks that the Braves have – and outside of Acuna, they don’t break the bank from  price standpoint.  They aren’t cheap – but if you have the salary room to include them, I think it’s a great idea to get significant exposure to the likes of Acuna, Ozuna, Swanson, D’Arnaud – and you can even mix in Freddie Freeman as a pivot off of one of the RH sticks as he’ll likely be lower owned than he should be, given the lefty/lefty match-up keeping his ownership levels down.

The second team that I like the spot for tonight is Cleveland going up against Jon Lester.  Lester shut down the Brewers the last time that I wrote about stacking against him – but I have no problem going back to the well one more time to see if he has really ‘found it’ after admittedly looking great in his last start, punching out 8 over 6 strong.  Cleveland has some strong RH sticks here, and while we don’t have a total as I’m writing this in the morning, I’m not expecting it to be approaching any of the highest on the board, meaning you have a team with some RH pop, likely at moderate ownership at the highest against a pitcher that has struggled with the long-ball this season (and with missing bats).  There’s a lot to like here with the likes of Jose Ramirez, Franmil Reyes and company.

Finally, the Royals open up a lot from a price point standpoint as many of their options are affordable, with only Whit Merrifield above $4,500 out of the sticks that I like in this match-up.  They check in projected for a total in the mid 4’s, and while I don’t think you’ll see rock bottom ownership levels on them – they’re the Royals and shouldn’t be chalk.  The match-up against Tarik Skubal is a good one, and Skubal comes into this one fresh off a very poor start against the Cards.  If you are looking to really open things up from a salary standpoint, make sure to include punt OF Edward Oliveras ($2,100) in your pool for Royals stacks.  He’s an intriguing piece that will likely be hitting 7th or 8th in the line-up tonight and is a power/speed threat who hit 18 dingers and swiped 35 bags in AA ball a year ago.

Good luck with your contests today & if you are looking for some more players to include in your player pool – check out today’s Cheat Sheets!

About Brad

Brad hates the term fantasy sports expert, so instead he is someone who specializes in NFL, NHL and MLB DFS notes and analysis. He had a 68.2% win rate in 2015 NFL cash games to go along with a 83.5% win rate for the 2014 season. For NHL he had a 58.7% win rate in the 2015-16 season for cash games and a 66.2% win rate for the 2014-15 season. You can follow him on Twitter @bradsgotmoxy.

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