Welcome to the Daily MLB Rundown for FanDuel MLB DFS contests on Monday, September 14, 2020.
In this column, we’ll be walking you through the top pitchers and hitters (including stacks) to target for the day’s slate (9/14/2020).
With some double-headers on the slate, FanDuel has reduced its scope for the main group down to just 3 games.
Core Pitchers to Target
We don’t have a starter announced yet for the Dodgers, but Dinelson Lamet is hard to bet against right now for the Padres. His slider has been crazy effective this year with opponents hitting just .099 against it, and his 11.8 K/9 is the best on the slate – not to mention an even more impressive 0.92 WHIP that is other-worldly for a guy that used to struggle with walks. He didn’t have his best stuff against the Dodgers earlier this year (2 ER, 2 Ks), but with 6+ Ks in each of his last 6 and great advanced analytics to back things up – he’s a good spend-up here.
I also don’t mind some Jose Berrios exposure as he goes up against Dylan Cease in a tale of two pitchers going in the opposite directions right now. Berrios has been surging in the last month with a 3.74 SIERA and 12.8 K/9, while Cease has been deteriorating with a 5.4 K/9 and 6.17 SIERA in that same time period. At $9,200 this is a little more than I’d like to see Berrios, but he does hold the slate’s lowest opponent total, a solid win% and is throwing extremely well right now.
Core Stacks to Target
On the hitting side of things, I think you can keep it pretty traditional.
The Twins against a struggling Cease are a good team to stack here. Cease is traditionally worse against LHBs (.368 wOBA lifetime) but isn’t particularly dominant against RHBs by any means (.326 wOBA split). Touki Toussaint and Jorge Lopez face each other in the ATL/BAL tilt that should offer plenty of run production as well, and that’s a very stackable game in itself.
For the Twins, Max Kepler and Jorge Polanco are the plus-split plays here as lefties. Eddie Rosario is a little banged up right now, so it’s possible he gets a day or two off with his elbow contusion. Jake Cave could get the nod at $2,600 in his place (another LHB) who doesn’t have a ton of power, but brings a nice contact% to the table and is a solid value in a deeper Twins stack. Nelson Cruz and Josh Donaldson are always in play, and Donaldson’s $3,100 price point is quite solid with hits in 3 of his last 4 including a HR on Sunday against Triston McKenzie.
For BAL/ATL, I’m expecting a ton of production here, so we can really fire up just about anyone hitting well these days. DJ Stewart is on a heck of a tear right now, and for $2,900 against a RHP, he should be in the middle of the order once again. Ryan Mountcastle is also hitting extremely well these days and is reasonably priced for a guy as hot as he is for $3,500. Both have 256+ wRC+ marks in their last week of action and face a very hittable pitcher here. Renato Nunez, Rio Ruiz and Cedric Mullins are three additional names that I am intrigued by here for deeper stacks.
On the ATL side, you’ll need to get creative as the prices to roster them are not low. Ronald Acuna is nearly $5,000 and Freddie Freeman is a healthy $4,300 himself. Granted that Freeman is one of the best hitters in the game right now (265 wRC+ in his last week of action) and easily the top play on the slate in my eyes as far as high floor goes. Marcell Ozuna is a little overpriced at $4,100 but could easily go deep here, Adam Duvall is arguably the best bang for your buck in the ATL lineup right now for $3,000 and has 4 HR in his last 6 games (210 wRC+). Dansby Swanson for $3,500 is a bit extreme for me as I’d much rather spend $600 less for Polanco (even as a one-off).