2020 PGA Championship: The Primer – PGA DFS Analysis

Featuring in-depth analysis of The 2020 PGA Championship. Daily fantasy golf analysis for this week’s DFS slate to help you build winning cash game and tournament lineups on DraftKings.

Welcome to The Primer column for the 2020 PGA Championship! We are here to help you build your DFS lineups for FanDuel, DraftKings or whatever other sites you choose to play on (this article does have a DraftKings bias though).

Last Week’s Picks:

  • Bryson DeChambeau – T30
  • Tyrrell Hatton – T69
  • Max Homa – T52
  • Matthew Wolff – T49
  • Ryan Palmer – T15

Last week Justin Thomas picked up the win in the WGC FedEx St. Jude Classic, coming from behind to pass third round leader, Brandon Todd and the rest of the field en route to his win.  This week, we have the only major for 2020’s schedule – so it’s a loaded field event and the pricing is SOFT.  I wouldn’t be shocked to see some very good line-ups leaving over $1k of salary on the table – and just a reminder that can be a great way to differentiate yourself and avoid duplicates, which is of paramount importance, especially if you are playing a top heavy contest like the Milly Maker.

As for the course, TPC Harding Park is a Par 70 playing over 7200 yards with lots of long Par 4’s – so distance here will be important – but even more important when it comes to screening for stats, I’ll be focusing on SG: Tee to Green, looking for players that have the length, and ability to dial in their approach shots in order to handle such a long track for a Par 70.

Let’s have a look at four options that I like along with a bit of a dart throw – `and some rationale for why I think you should include them in your player pool:

The Best of the Best

  • Brooks Koepka, $11,100

I could type more here, but honestly – I think it would be wasting your time.  Koepka comes into the year’s only major fresh off a week where he played great.  I think he’s going to compete in this one and I think he’s worth the high spend for a significant number of your line-ups. Fin.

  • Daniel Berger, $8,800

Berger finished tied for second a week ago, rebounding from his disappointing cut miss at The Memorial.  At this price, he may be the highest owned golfer this week…but I think it’s worth it to use him in a significant number of your line-ups.  Above average metrics in all facets of the game, when you add them all up, you have a player that ranks 13th in SG: TTG and 5th in SG: Total.  He has finished in the top 10 in 6 of his last 7 tournaments, including top 5 finishes in 5 of those 6, including a win at the Charles Schwab.  You could make an argument he should be $10k this week.

The Next Tier

  • Collin Morikawa, $8,600

Morikawa looked great on the weekend last week, finishing the weekend with a 67 and a 66 in the final two rounds at the WGC: St. Jude Invitational.  This week, he heads home as the product of Cal gets to tee it up at a course he’s familiar with.  Sure, this didn’t work out so well for us in Minnesota with EVR – but honestly, this is more about the player Morikawa is…the narrative street doesn’t hurt though.  An elite ball striker, Morikawa ranks 2nd on tour in SG: Approach and 4th in SG: TTG.  If he can get his putter somewhat going, he’ll be right in the mix this weekend.

  • Tyrrell Hatton, $8,000

Hatton was dismal last week, but I’m willing to give him a mulligan on it.  He has been one of the best golfers on tour ranking 14th in SG: TTG and as an excellent putter that ranks 8th on tour in SG: Putting, he ranks 3rd in SG: Total.  The price point here is outstanding for a golfer that has been playing as well as Hatton has, and while I’d like to see him come into this one off a better result a week ago – the price point is simply too much of a discount to ignore.

Do Not Forget About…

  • Ryan Palmer, $6,900

I don’t think you necessarily have to go this cheap when it comes to roster construction – but if you are going to dip below the $7k mark, Palmer is an excellent way to do it.  He comes into this one fresh off two great showings in quality field events, finishing 2nd at The Memorial and 15th at the St. Jude last week.  He was playing great before the pandemic, and comes into this one with great form.  Don’t expect rock bottom ownership levels here – and while I like the ceiling more on players that are $600-1100 more (and think they are worth the spend up as they have a much better shot at competing for a title) – I see nothing wrong with mixing Palmer into your builds to free up a little more salary room, or for differentiation to leave some money on the table.

If you would like to see some more of my favourites for this week’s event, check out The PGA Championship Cheat Sheet!

If you have any questions at all, you can find me on Twitter @bradsgotmoxy.

About Brad

Brad hates the term fantasy sports expert, so instead he is someone who specializes in NFL, NHL and MLB DFS notes and analysis. He had a 68.2% win rate in 2015 NFL cash games to go along with a 83.5% win rate for the 2014 season. For NHL he had a 58.7% win rate in the 2015-16 season for cash games and a 66.2% win rate for the 2014-15 season. You can follow him on Twitter @bradsgotmoxy.

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