DraftKings Xfinity NASCAR DFS – Kansas Lottery 250 – July 25, 2020
Austin Cindric – DK: $11,200 – Starting 4th
I don’t like suggesting the top-priced driver, but right now for Cindric, it feels inevitable that he is our best option week to week until he shows me a reason to believe otherwise. Cindric now has 12 top-ten finished in 16 races with two wins, both of them coming in the last two calendar weeks. Technically Cindric also won last weekend after Kyle Busch’s car failed post-race inspection, but because that won’t show up in the fantasy stats we will label him the second-place finisher. The similarity that we can’t ignore is the track similarities between Kentucky, Texas, and this week at Kansas, as they are all 1.5-mile tracks. Over the last month we have gotten double-digit fastest laps, double digits laps led, and finishes of fifth, first, first, and second. The price is higher here, but this car is not only fast but has been downright dominant. Without practice data, we are always going to be guessing, but his last few week performances paint a pretty solid picture of how he handles intermediate tracks. We do definitely need to note that Cindric at Kansas in 2019 was pretty rough as he was involved in multiple crashes and his two career races here haven’t necessarily been great. However, Cindric’s car and the entire team are so massively better right now that the former races aren’t going to sway my decision too much here.
Brandon Brown – DK: $7,000 – Starting 22nd
Usually, I mark this play with a low priced option I like this week but the truth is is that they are rather uninspiring this week. It will be harder to build Cindric lineups without the lower-priced guys but a lot of them are either in poor car form or starting too far forward to make differential make sense for us. The options I do like are Kyle Weatherman starting 35th and Joe Graf starting 34th, but I don’t know if either are core plays for me. In fact, Weatherman may end up being the highest owned player on the slate due to price and starting position. However, Brandon Brown isn’t priced that high at just $7,000 and though he hasn’t been flashy, he has turned in some strong races the past few months. Over the last two weeks at Kentucky and Texas, we saw a positive place differential of 14 places and 8 places, leading to 45 and 41 fantasy points.
$ Tier D High Austin Cindric (11.2k / 53.15) Chase Briscoe (10.9k / 52.23) Justin Allgaier (10.6k / 58.69) Justin Haley (9k / 43.40) Medium Daniel Hemric (8.8k / 44.19) Brandon Brown (7k / 31.40) Josh Williams (6.8k / 25.68) Low Joe Graf Jr (6.2k / 32.36) Kyle Weatherman (5.9k / 24.18) David Starr (4.7k / 14.86)