DraftKings & FanDuel NASCAR DFS – Super Start Batteries 400 – July 23, 2020 (7/23/20)
High Priced Option
Ryan Blaney – DK: $9,900 | FD: $11,000 – Starting 4th
If you take a glance at Ryan Blaney’s career at Kansas you aren’t going to see any eye-popping numbers, no dominating laps led races, no checker flags even – in fact, Blaney’s best finish here at Kansas was third back in 2017, though he does have a handful of top-five finishes. So what leads Blaney to be a core play this week? Well, this season has been unlike any other with no qualifying or no practice, and we are going to strictly go off of Blaney’s numbers at 1.5 mile, intermediate-sized tracks since the restart and Blaney has done pretty damn well at them. Blaney finished fourth at Atlanta, third at Miami, sixth in Kentucky, and seventh in Texas. All tracks that grade out super similar to the one here in Kansas and all being around 1.5 mile tracks. Just last week at Texas, Blaney led 150 laps that led to a dominating 112.50 fantasy points. The biggest note for me here is just the pure value we get out of Blaney being just $9,900 on DraftKings. Don’t get me wrong, I absolutely love Kevin Harvick again this week, but Blaney’s price doesn’t even handcuff you into a salary position where you can’t play him and Harvick together. If you have watched Blaney recent you also would know how unlucky he has been recently – as he should have won last week at Texas. Blaney should be able to lead some laps and still has dominator upside for the non-expensive dominator price.
Low Priced Option
Michael McDowell – DK: $6,200 | FD: $5,500 – Starting 27th
There is nothing flashy here as I have said before with the low priced pick, but Michael McDowell just keeps turning in great races at a low tier price and there is no real reason to not constantly have exposure to him. McDowell has finished with a positive place differential in nine of his last ten races, including 19, 12, 6, and 20 positive place differentials over his last four. The only hitch in McDowell’s recent box scores is a 40th place finish at Pocono which was caused from an accident. Last year at Kansas, McDowell started 24th and finished sixth. We are just looking for McDowell to finish the race in the 10-14th position which is certainly doable the way this car has run. I think some people still associate McDowell with a car that could run into mechanical issues, but those worries are long put to rest. This Leavine Family racecar has looked great and though you aren’t getting flashy racing, you are getting a consistent return on a low-tier priced pick that probably deserves a price increase into the low $7,000. Until that happens, McDowell remains an elite value option.
$ Tier D High Kevin Harvick (11.5k / 54.48) (14k / 54.48) Chase Elliott (11k / 58.40) (13.4k / 58.40) Denny Hamlin (10.2k / 54.04) (13k / 54.04) Ryan Blaney (9.9k / 48.13) (11k / 48.13) Medium Erik Jones (9k / 51.86) (10k / 51.86) Tyler Reddick (8.3k / 45.78) (8.8k / 45.78) Austin Dillon (7.2k / 29.51) (8.2k / 29.51) Low John Hunter Nemechek (6.8k / 29.16) (6.7k / 29.16) Michael McDowell (6.2k / 18.16) (5.5k / 18.16)