DraftKings & FanDuel NASCAR DFS – Pocono 350 – June 28, 2020 (6/28/20)
Joey Logano – DK: $9,400 | FD: $12,000 – Starting 36th
Joey Logano ran this race very well on Saturday… For about 80 laps, before he blew a left-back tire and was never fully able to recover. Logano was able to grab the second stage victory which will help him for Cup points, but overall for us DFS guys, Logano was a bust on Saturday. So here we are, getting one of the most talented drivers at his cheapest price since early May. To top it all off, he will start 36th. Now, I know I said that Pocano is not a passing track and I will hold true to that notion, but Christopher Bell was optimal on Saturday and he started this far back as well and using the power of comparison – I will take Logano every time. This certainly isn’t Logano’s best track. But we don’t need a lot for this play to hit its value. If you think Logano can finish a race top ten, regardless of starting position, you’re going to hop on the opportunity. This race is hard because this theory applies to a lot of guys, like Kevin Harvick starting 20th, Chase Elliot 25th, and Denny Hamlin 19th. There are so many options out there and with no practice/qualifying, but an entire race the day prior to go off of, I would be wanting exposure to all of these guys.
Erik Jones – DK: $7,400 | FD: $10,000 – Starting 38th
Saturday’s Notes: Speaking of guys who run well at Pocono, look no further than Erik Jones for great mid-tier value. Jones has raced six times at Pocono in his career and has finished inside the top five in four of those races and inside the top ten in five of them. In his two races at Pocono last year, Jones finished 2nd and 3rd. While we have only had a couple of handfuls of laps led, the 19th starting position offers us enough place differential upside for him to easily pay off his DraftKings salary. Again, we are at Pocono, where passing isn’t the easiest thing, but someone with past career success should still be able to find a few gaps.
Sunday Update: I am not exactly sure the route to take with Erik Jones. He was chalk on Saturday and crashed and grabbed his first DNF of the year. I am going to need a car update and need to read it in solid condition to feel confident here, but Jones, starting 38th, and no real price change is going to be chalk again. This is hard to fade with his career statistics at Pocono and he was running well before him and Reddick crashed.
$ Tier D High Kyle Busch (11k / 65.01) (13.5k / 65.01) Kevin Harvick (10.7k / 67.16) (14k / 67.16) Chase Elliott (10.4k / 64.54) (12.2k / 64.54) Denny Hamlin (10.2k / 63.06) (13k / 63.06) Joey Logano (9.4k / 72.70) (12k / 72.70) Clint Bowyer (9k / 37.72) (9.4k / 37.72) Medium William Byron (8.6k / 36.56) (10.4k / 36.56) Alex Bowman (8.5k / 44.36) (10.6k / 44.36) Tyler Reddick (7.6k / 42.25) (8.4k / 42.25) Erik Jones (7.4k / 59.88) (10k / 59.88) Low Chris Buescher (6.4k / 21.01) (7.5k / 21.01) John Hunter Nemechek (6.1k / 18.49) (6.5k / 18.49) Michael McDowell (5.5k / 15.13) (5k / 15.13)