Welcome to the Daily Rundown for DraftKings KBO DFS contests on Wednesday, May 20, 2020.
We have another 5 games on the Wednesday slate, with things locking at 5:30am EST.
Today sees an interesting set of options to choose from when it comes to selecting arms to target. We have a couple of large favourites to choose from – Seung Ho Lee who goes up against the dreadful SK Wyverns squad and Je Song Bae, who toes the slab for KT in a game where KT are -155 favourites in a game with a 9.5 over under against HAN. Normally, one or both of these guys would be in the mix for my top two options of the slate – but as both of them have not shown the ability to consistently miss bats, I’m going to focus my two highest exposures on a couple of import arms:
- Dan Straily – had a poor start last time out against HAN, but I like him to bounce back today going up against KIA. Straily has shown the ability to miss bats at a healthy clip so far in a small KBO sample, and he generally did a good job of doing just that in the majors as well. He is priced at a point that doesn’t break the bank, and have no problem locking and loading heavy exposure here. The line seems to support this as it is forecasting HAN for a low projected total of 4.05 runs today.
- Chris Flexen – going up against the 11-1 NC Dinos is a daunting task, but the Dinos haven’t been an elite run producing line-up so far, with their record largely supported from great pitching. Doosan checks in as modest -120 favourites tonight, and Flexen has had a great start to the 2020 KBO season, including punching out 9 K/9 over a small three game stretch. He has pitched 5, 6 and 6 innings with an equal number of K’s in each of his starts – and with all the success the Dinos have had to start the year, I could see Flexen slipping under the radar tonight, being lower owned than he should be.
Chang Mo Koo has shown elite swing and miss stuff so far in a small sample size, but at his price ($10k), I have no problem opting for a fade on Koo, who draws a tough match-up against Doosan. That, in combination with the fact that I really like the spot for Straily and Flexen on Wednesday morning, makes it pretty easy for me to pass on Koo at that price. For a third pitcher to include as part of your builds – for me, it would be Seung Ho Lee, who draws the amazing match-up against SK Wyverns, who have been the poorest hitting team in the KBO by a pretty wide margin so far this season.
Hitting Stacks to Target
The Kiwoom Heroes and the KT Wiz should be very popular stacks with the two highest projected run totals by a pretty far margin – and it goes without saying that both are worth including as part of your builds. Rather than type them out as the stacks of the day, I will cover the players that I like on the cheat sheet below and focus the analysis on another stack that I like that isn’t quite as obvious.
Doosan’s bats have cooled in the last three games compared with the torrid pace that we saw from them in the first week of the season, and yes – they draw a match-up with Chang Mo Koo, who has yet to allow a run in two starts. If you don’t want to opt for this stack as part of your builds, you can focus on the two above, or use a third of your own – but I like the opportunity here to get exposure to an explosive offence at what should be the lowest ownership levels that we’ve seen so far this season on them.
OF Kun-Woo Park will likely be hitting lead-off (or maybe third) for Doosan, and though he hasn’t had a strong start to the season, historically he has been a key cog in the line-up for them, hitting double digit HR’s and plenty of doubles over the past four seasons. Priced at $3,900 – there’s a lot to like here.
1B/2B Jose Fernandez isn’t cheap – but it’s hard for me to imagine building a Doosan stack that doesn’t include him. You’ll have to find some value bats to be able to fit him into your line-ups, but he is well worth the spend, and arguably the hottest bat in the KBO right now – he has been incredible…which lead us to…
SS Jae-Ho Kim is a punt with upside, likely hitting 6th in the line-up and priced at $2,100. If the Doosan bats do get rolling, he is a great near min-priced option that will enable you to spend up on your other hitting spots/team stacks.
Good luck today!
|High||Eui-Ji Yang (5k / 6.51)||Baek-Ho Kang (5.8k / 9.63)||Jose Fernandez (6.3k / 8.49)||Dixon Machado (5.5k / 6.26)||Mel Rojas Jr (5.9k / 8.81)|
|Jae-Hwan Kim (5.2k / 7.01)|
|Medium||Chris Flexen (8.7k / 14.84)||Dong-Won Park (4k / 0.52)||Byung-Ho Park (5k / 8.24)||Kyung-Soo Park (3.9k / 4.27)||Jae-Gyun Hwang (4.7k / 6.16)||Ha-Seong Kim (4.8k / 7.91)||Jung-Hoo Lee (4.2k / 6.93)|
|Seung Ho Lee (8.1k / 9.61)||Jae-Il Oh (4.3k / 5.80)||Tyler Saladino (4.4k / 4.03)||Min-Hyeok Kim (4.6k / 7.63)|
|Suk-Min Park (4.6k / 5.39)||Sung-Bum Na (4.7k / 6.12)|
|Low||Dan Straily (7k / 10.73)||Sung-Woo Jang (3.4k / 3.33)||Keon-Chang Seo (3k / 4.95)||Jae-Ho Kim (2.1k / 2.24)||Chun-Woong Lee (3.4k / 5.64)|
|Heon-Gon Kim (3.7k / 2.83)|
Best of luck out there!