Welcome to the Daily Rundown for DraftKings KBO DFS contests on Tuesday, May 19, 2020.
We have another 5 games on the Tuesday slate, with things locking at 5:30am EST.
We’re back after an off day in the KBO on Monday, and it looks like we could have some nice high scores with LOT/KIA sitting with a 11.0 total and not too far behind is NC/DOO with 10.0 runs expected.
SK and KIW have a mere 8.5 total (lowest on the slate) which should easily make KIW a heavily owned commodity on the mound (Won Tae Choi). More on that below.
I’m going to be recommending that we focus on the 3 pitchers that have the lowest implied totals on the slate. Not only because they’re in plus spots, but also because they are a combination of strong value(s) and skill to go along with it. I’d love to recommend Mike Wright as I’m a big fan, but at $9,000 and against Doosan, I’m going to sit that one out.
Choi is top chalk on the slate, and for $9,500, he’s still very much worth paying up for. He was just ok in his first start against KIA on May 7th, but was far better against Samsung the next time out with 7.1 IP, 4 H, 2 ER and 6 Ks (no walks) to finish with 22.1 DKP. Over the last calendar year, he has a 3.70 ERA and 1.31 WHIP – both nothing to scoff at in the KBO. What you have to love is the match-up against SK who continue to be the bottom feeders in the league – so this is an easy one to pick on here.
For your SP2, I’d recommend either William Cuevas for KT against HAN, or Chan Gyu Lim for LG against SAM. Lim is the cheaper of the two at $6,900 but Cuevas at only $600 more is going to be very affordable as a complement to Choi. Cuevas has a 3.93 opponent total and has the superior skills/results over the last calendar year. He averaged better than 6.0 innings per start in 2019, was up over the 100 pitcher mark against the Dinos last time out, and has one of the league’s better offences behind him against a soft HAN team (not to mention his 62% win%).
Lim is fine if you really need that extra $600 for the stack(s) you want to deploy – but I’m leaning Choi/Cuevas on this slate.
Hitting Stacks to Target
LOT, KIA and DOO are the teams with the highest implied totals right now at 5.8, 5.2 and 5.2 respectively. That should make LOT pretty popular against Woo (certainly an advisable approach), and rather than pairing them with KIA for a high percentage of my exposure, I’d rather pair them with Doosan (even against the talented Wright) or KT who has a 5.1 total (fourth highest on the slate).
Rather than listing out the chalky LOT group here today as a stack, I’ll let you refer to the cheat sheet below and our FC Cruncher to get in the top 4-5 bats in the order here at are set to do some damage.
I’ll spend a few moments here speaking about why I like KT as a secondary or tertiary stack in your lineup construction approach today.
Firstly, we are having KT go up against Shi-hwan Jang who is fresh off 3 consecutive seasons of 4.3+ ERA and 1.54+ WHIP finishes. Even though last season was the first in that span that he started any games, his 4.2 BB/9 in 125.1 innings was a big negative. He’s had a decent start to the year, but one of those was against SK (the other against KIA) so I’m not looking into those too much. He also gave up 16 hits and 7 walks in those 12 combined innings, so we’re talking about a WHIP once again that is nearly at 2.0 across those 2 starts.
For KT’s sake – I love that as a stack to pick on. Especially since their 5.1 team total will have them lower in the ownership% category than the aforementioned names (LOT, DOO, KIA). There are 3 plus-split names that you’ll want to really consider (Mel Rojas Jr, Baek-Ho Kang, and Min-Hyeok Kim), while some of the lower-third-of-the-order candidates like Kyung-Soo Park, Sung-Woo Jang and Woo-Jun Sim are all good values under the $3,800 mark.
They are highly stackable in an excellent spot, and you can easily go 4 or 5 bats deep here if you’d like.
Best of luck out there!
$ Tier P C 1B 2B 3B SS OF High Won Tae Choi (9.5k / 16.12) Eui-Ji Yang (4.9k / 6.79) Jose Fernandez (6.1k / 8.62) Min-Hyeok Kim (4.5k / 6.67) Jae-Gyun Hwang (4.7k / 5.51) Dixon Machado (5.6k / 7.47) Mel Rojas Jr (6.2k / 8.28) Hyung-Woo Choi (6.3k / 8.91) Hyun-Soo Kim (5.4k / 8.21) Preston Tucker (5.9k / 8.35) Medium William Cuevas (7.5k / 13.50) Dong-Won Park (4k / 4.47) Jae-Il Oh (4.2k / 5.94) Min-woo Park (4.1k / 5.68) Ha-Seong Kim (4.7k / 6.65) Jun-Woo Jeon (4.3k / 7.27) Baek-Ho Kang (5.8k / 8.61) Kyung-Soo Park (3.8k / 3.72) Jung-Hoo Lee (4.1k / 5.81) Dae-Ho Lee (4.5k / 7.60) Byung-Hun Min (4k / 6.75) Low Chan Gyu Lim (6.9k / 9.18) Se-Hyuk Park (2.8k / 2.61) Jae-Hwan Kim (5.1k / 7.21) Won-Joon Choi (2.8k / 3.13) Kyoung-Min Hur (2.7k / 2.25) Woo-Jun Sim (2.5k / 3.72) Chun-Woong Lee (3.5k / 5.32) Sung-Woo Jang (3.3k / 2.89) Keon-Chang Seo (2.5k / 3.55) Chi-Hong An (2.7k / 4.11) Dong-Hee Han (2.6k / 2.90) Jae-Ho Kim (2.3k / 2.57) Eun-Sung Chae (2.6k / 3.96) Roberto Ramos (3.1k / 4.72) Ah-Seop Son (3.4k / 5.75) Joo-Hwan Choi (2.2k / 2.80) Ji-Wan Na (3.7k / 4.71) Soo-Bin Jung (2.1k / 1.28)
Best of luck out there!