Two Up, Two Down – FC Insights Season Long Fantasy Football
With the hiatus that we are seeing right now in the DFS landscape, I decided that now would be a great time to start diving in to season long fantasy football coverage here on FantasyCruncher – something I am quite excited about getting going over the next little while.
Look for more articles to be rolled out including rankings to come moving forward as we lead up to the start of the 2020 NFL Season!
I figured to kick things off for the first article, I’d start with a quick article of two players I like significantly better than their current consensus ranking and two players that I won’t be drafting at their current ranking. For reference, I used the consensus rankings for each of them on FantasyPros. I focused all of my options on players that are ranked in the top 60, and I expect at least one of them on each side to be controversial given the comments that I’ve been seeing on Fantasy Twitter over the course of drafts that have been taking place already!
With that said, let’s get right to it…
RB Kenyan Drake – Ranking: 24th OVR (RB12)
Drake was shipped out of Miami mid-season last year and exploded on the scene in Arizona, racking up 643 yards and 8 scores on the ground while chipping in with 28 catches for 271 yards through the air. He was so effective that the Cardinals moved on from David Johnson after an injury plagued end to his tenure on the team – though let’s be honest, given the return they got in the deal, receiving Hopkins, it wasn’t a difficult choice. Nonetheless, Drake should be in line for a heavy workload in an up-tempo offence – and I like his chances of picking up where he left off for the 2020 season. I’d be comfortable picking him in the middle of the second round in 12 teamers, especially if you opt for a WR in the first round. I think Drake cracks the top 8-9 RB’s for the season if he stays healthy and is a great core option when building a roster in an offence that I am expecting big things from in 2020 from a fantasy perspective.
RB Damien Williams – Ranking: 56th OVR (RB22)
This is under the assumption that the Chiefs don’t use an early round draft choice on a RB – and with their addition of Washington this week, I think the odds of a RB being taken in the first couple of rounds by the Chiefs is lower than it was a week ago. Williams was a fantasy disappointment last season given where he was being drafted – before rubbing salt in the wound of all those who took him early with a very strong playoff run for the Chiefs in their Super Bowl run. You have a shot to buy on the dip here, with him going in the middle of the 5th round in 12 teamers…a place in the draft where there aren’t many sure-fire things available. He plays for arguably the best offence in football, has earned the trust of the coaching staff to be heavily involved – and when healthy, has been very productive. He may not have the job for a number of seasons, but for 2020 – I love the value here.
WR Mike Evans – Ranking: 19th OVR (WR7)
This may come as a surprise given the fact that Brady is coming to town for Tampa – but while I expect WR Chris Godwin to be worth his current price of 15th overall, I am not expecting Evans to match the numbers that he has put up the last few seasons. I expect the Bucs to be a better team with Brady due to the fact that they will drastically cut down on their turnovers, but I expect their yardage totals to be a fair bit lower as a result, and scoring to be down as well due to the fact that their defence is not being stressed as much as they were in 2019 due to Winston’s 30 picks. Evans is a fine player, but I’m just not willing to pay the price required to roster him for 2020. To me, it boils down to the fact that I am not expecting Brady to drive the ball down the field to Evans as much Winston did, which was a huge aid in the numbers that Evans was able to post with Jameis under center.
RB Leonard Fournette – Ranking: 22nd OVR (RB11)
Fournette was great in 2019 from a fantasy standpoint. Sure, it would have been nice to see him find the endzone more than he did – and many will point to regression to the mean helping his TD total in 2020, and while that may be true – there are a couple of things that worry me. First, last year was the first season that he was able to stay healthy for the whole season since entering the league, something that even plagued him at LSU. Now, sure – injuries can hinder any RB – but when a player misses chunks of 3 straight seasons with significant injuries – they take a bit of a hit in my books. Second, I am not expecting him to be as heavily involved in the passing game this season. His numbers through the air were quite good from a volume standpoint – but it was more out of necessity than due to the fact that he is a natural receiving threat out of the backfield. I’d be surprised if the Jags don’t add a back that could cut into his work in the passing game in the draft. If that doesn’t play out – I may end up being ‘ok’ with taking him around his current ranking – but if I’m drafting today, I prefer other options on the board. Either way, I put him behind Drake at this point in time. Finally, I am expecting the Jags to be bad, and I think they will struggle to put points on the board. I feel very similar about Fournette in 2020 to how I felt about Mixon in 2019 – and he is going around the same point in drafts as Mixon was at this point in the 2019 draft season.
If you have any questions for me, or if you think I’m an idiot and want to tell me just that – you can find me on twitter @bradsgotmoxy.